Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Ballina Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Ballina Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,224 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Ballina ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--2,2872,2882,3052,385
Deaths--2,5072,5292,6812,876
Natural increase/decrease---219-241-375-491
Net migration--2,4312,1862,4532,656
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0906060

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 442 2035 forecast population change: 453 2034 forecast population change: 452 2033 forecast population change: 420 2032 forecast population change: 458 2031 forecast population change: 416 2030 forecast population change: 450 2029 forecast population change: 429 2028 forecast population change: 459 2027 forecast population change: 384 2026 forecast population change: 425 2025 forecast population change: 376 2024 forecast population change: 411 2023 forecast population change: 349 2022 forecast population change: 474 2021 forecast population change: 443 2020 forecast population change: 423 2019 forecast population change: 405 2018 forecast population change: 464 2017 forecast population change: 477
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -106 2035 Natural increase: -103 2034 Natural increase: -98 2033 Natural increase: -95 2032 Natural increase: -90 2031 Natural increase: -85 2030 Natural increase: -80 2029 Natural increase: -75 2028 Natural increase: -70 2027 Natural increase: -65 2026 Natural increase: -58 2025 Natural increase: -53 2024 Natural increase: -47 2023 Natural increase: -43 2022 Natural increase: -40 2021 Natural increase: -37 2020 Natural increase: -37 2019 Natural increase: -42 2018 Natural increase: -48 2017 Natural increase: -55 2036 Total deaths: 591 2035 Total deaths: 583 2034 Total deaths: 575 2033 Total deaths: 567 2032 Total deaths: 559 2031 Total deaths: 551 2030 Total deaths: 543 2029 Total deaths: 536 2028 Total deaths: 528 2027 Total deaths: 522 2026 Total deaths: 515 2025 Total deaths: 509 2024 Total deaths: 505 2023 Total deaths: 502 2022 Total deaths: 499 2021 Total deaths: 496 2020 Total deaths: 496 2019 Total deaths: 500 2018 Total deaths: 505 2017 Total deaths: 509 2036 Total births: 486 2035 Total births: 481 2034 Total births: 477 2033 Total births: 473 2032 Total births: 469 2031 Total births: 466 2030 Total births: 463 2029 Total births: 461 2028 Total births: 458 2027 Total births: 457 2026 Total births: 457 2025 Total births: 457 2024 Total births: 457 2023 Total births: 459 2022 Total births: 459 2021 Total births: 459 2020 Total births: 459 2019 Total births: 459 2018 Total births: 457 2017 Total births: 454 2036 Natural increase: -106 2035 Natural increase: -103 2034 Natural increase: -98 2033 Natural increase: -95 2032 Natural increase: -90 2031 Natural increase: -85 2030 Natural increase: -80 2029 Natural increase: -75 2028 Natural increase: -70 2027 Natural increase: -65 2026 Natural increase: -58 2025 Natural increase: -53 2024 Natural increase: -47 2023 Natural increase: -43 2022 Natural increase: -40 2021 Natural increase: -37 2020 Natural increase: -37 2019 Natural increase: -42 2018 Natural increase: -48 2017 Natural increase: -55 2036 Total deaths: 591 2035 Total deaths: 583 2034 Total deaths: 575 2033 Total deaths: 567 2032 Total deaths: 559 2031 Total deaths: 551 2030 Total deaths: 543 2029 Total deaths: 536 2028 Total deaths: 528 2027 Total deaths: 522 2026 Total deaths: 515 2025 Total deaths: 509 2024 Total deaths: 505 2023 Total deaths: 502 2022 Total deaths: 499 2021 Total deaths: 496 2020 Total deaths: 496 2019 Total deaths: 500 2018 Total deaths: 505 2017 Total deaths: 509 2036 Total births: 486 2035 Total births: 481 2034 Total births: 477 2033 Total births: 473 2032 Total births: 469 2031 Total births: 466 2030 Total births: 463 2029 Total births: 461 2028 Total births: 458 2027 Total births: 457 2026 Total births: 457 2025 Total births: 457 2024 Total births: 457 2023 Total births: 459 2022 Total births: 459 2021 Total births: 459 2020 Total births: 459 2019 Total births: 459 2018 Total births: 457 2017 Total births: 454
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 547 2035 Total net migration: 555 2034 Total net migration: 521 2033 Total net migration: 514 2032 Total net migration: 518 2031 Total net migration: 501 2030 Total net migration: 500 2029 Total net migration: 504 2028 Total net migration: 499 2027 Total net migration: 449 2026 Total net migration: 453 2025 Total net migration: 428 2024 Total net migration: 428 2023 Total net migration: 392 2022 Total net migration: 484 2021 Total net migration: 480 2020 Total net migration: 460 2019 Total net migration: 447 2018 Total net migration: 512 2017 Total net migration: 532 2036 Total out migration: 3,757 2035 Total out migration: 3,716 2034 Total out migration: 3,686 2033 Total out migration: 3,655 2032 Total out migration: 3,619 2031 Total out migration: 3,587 2030 Total out migration: 3,555 2029 Total out migration: 3,532 2028 Total out migration: 3,495 2027 Total out migration: 3,472 2026 Total out migration: 3,440 2025 Total out migration: 3,424 2024 Total out migration: 3,401 2023 Total out migration: 3,380 2022 Total out migration: 3,354 2021 Total out migration: 3,324 2020 Total out migration: 3,293 2019 Total out migration: 3,268 2018 Total out migration: 3,237 2017 Total out migration: 3,208 2036 Total in migration: 4,304 2035 Total in migration: 4,271 2034 Total in migration: 4,207 2033 Total in migration: 4,169 2032 Total in migration: 4,137 2031 Total in migration: 4,088 2030 Total in migration: 4,054 2029 Total in migration: 4,036 2028 Total in migration: 3,995 2027 Total in migration: 3,921 2026 Total in migration: 3,893 2025 Total in migration: 3,852 2024 Total in migration: 3,829 2023 Total in migration: 3,772 2022 Total in migration: 3,837 2021 Total in migration: 3,804 2020 Total in migration: 3,753 2019 Total in migration: 3,715 2018 Total in migration: 3,749 2017 Total in migration: 3,740 2036 Total net migration: 547 2035 Total net migration: 555 2034 Total net migration: 521 2033 Total net migration: 514 2032 Total net migration: 518 2031 Total net migration: 501 2030 Total net migration: 500 2029 Total net migration: 504 2028 Total net migration: 499 2027 Total net migration: 449 2026 Total net migration: 453 2025 Total net migration: 428 2024 Total net migration: 428 2023 Total net migration: 392 2022 Total net migration: 484 2021 Total net migration: 480 2020 Total net migration: 460 2019 Total net migration: 447 2018 Total net migration: 512 2017 Total net migration: 532 2036 Total out migration: 3,757 2035 Total out migration: 3,716 2034 Total out migration: 3,686 2033 Total out migration: 3,655 2032 Total out migration: 3,619 2031 Total out migration: 3,587 2030 Total out migration: 3,555 2029 Total out migration: 3,532 2028 Total out migration: 3,495 2027 Total out migration: 3,472 2026 Total out migration: 3,440 2025 Total out migration: 3,424 2024 Total out migration: 3,401 2023 Total out migration: 3,380 2022 Total out migration: 3,354 2021 Total out migration: 3,324 2020 Total out migration: 3,293 2019 Total out migration: 3,268 2018 Total out migration: 3,237 2017 Total out migration: 3,208 2036 Total in migration: 4,304 2035 Total in migration: 4,271 2034 Total in migration: 4,207 2033 Total in migration: 4,169 2032 Total in migration: 4,137 2031 Total in migration: 4,088 2030 Total in migration: 4,054 2029 Total in migration: 4,036 2028 Total in migration: 3,995 2027 Total in migration: 3,921 2026 Total in migration: 3,893 2025 Total in migration: 3,852 2024 Total in migration: 3,829 2023 Total in migration: 3,772 2022 Total in migration: 3,837 2021 Total in migration: 3,804 2020 Total in migration: 3,753 2019 Total in migration: 3,715 2018 Total in migration: 3,749 2017 Total in migration: 3,740
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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