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City of BallaratPopulation forecast

Alfredton

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2029, the age structure forecasts for Alfredton indicate a 15.3% increase in females under working age, a 34.1% increase in females of retirement age, and a 17.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ballarat is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Alfredton - Total females202120292036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43626.04476.24886.0+126
5 to 94527.55157.25677.0+115
10 to 145098.45647.86197.7+110
15 to 194557.65587.76067.5+151
20 to 243826.34626.45066.3+124
25 to 293145.23765.24265.3+112
30 to 343766.24245.94645.8+88
35 to 394557.64926.85326.6+77
40 to 444557.65307.45747.1+119
45 to 494156.95197.25717.1+156
50 to 543676.14316.05146.4+147
55 to 593565.94095.74575.7+101
60 to 642964.93575.04085.1+112
65 to 692504.13354.73704.6+120
70 to 742353.92944.13494.3+114
75 to 791542.62072.92743.4+120
80 to 841121.91692.31882.3+76
85 and over811.31111.51531.9+72
Total persons6,026100.07,199100.08,065100.0+2,039
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Alfredton was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.4% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2029 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 104 and account for 7.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2029 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 564 females.

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