idc-logo
svg rectangle color
City of BallaratPopulation forecast

Cardigan - Lucas - Bunkers Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cardigan - Lucas - Bunkers Hill indicate a 49.5% increase in males under working age, a 66.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 46.8% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ballarat is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardigan - Lucas - Bunkers Hill - Total males202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41919.03009.54468.8+255
5 to 91939.12728.64308.5+237
10 to 141768.32658.44138.1+237
15 to 191848.72497.94007.9+216
20 to 241225.82126.73336.6+211
25 to 291366.41946.12985.9+162
30 to 341708.02347.43376.6+167
35 to 391768.32437.73516.9+175
40 to 441416.72227.03326.5+191
45 to 491346.31896.03206.3+186
50 to 541044.91655.22815.5+177
55 to 59904.31284.12294.5+139
60 to 64823.91294.12174.3+135
65 to 69753.51193.82044.0+129
70 to 74592.81013.21883.7+129
75 to 79532.5692.21472.9+94
80 to 8480.4461.4891.8+81
85 and over190.9220.7611.2+42
Total persons2,113100.03,159100.05,076100.0+2,963
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Cardigan - Lucas - Bunkers Hill was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 109 and account for 9.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 300 males.

DISCLAIMER: While all due care has been taken to ensure that the content of this website is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this website.

Please view our Privacy Policy, Terms of use and Legal notices.

ABS Data and the copyright in the ABS Data remains the property of the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The copyright in the way .id has modified, transformed or reconfigured the ABS Data as published on this website remains the property of .id. ABS Data can be accessed from the Australian Bureau of Statistics at www.abs.gov.au. ABS data can be used under license - terms published on ABS website. intermediary.management@abs.gov.au if you have any queries or wish to distribute any ABS data.