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City of BallaratPopulation forecast

City of Ballarat

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Ballarat indicate a 19.8% increase in males under working age, a 30.4% increase in males of retirement age, and a 17.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ballarat is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Ballarat - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,6617.34,0686.74,7196.7+1,058
5 to 93,5257.04,1927.04,8446.9+1,319
10 to 143,2196.44,2047.04,8096.8+1,590
15 to 193,4846.94,3737.35,0117.1+1,527
20 to 244,0208.04,1576.94,8396.9+818
25 to 293,6147.23,8216.34,4126.3+798
30 to 343,2506.53,7956.34,2526.0+1,002
35 to 392,9635.93,9226.54,4326.3+1,470
40 to 443,0896.23,9356.54,5496.5+1,460
45 to 492,9815.93,7486.24,5196.4+1,539
50 to 543,1476.33,6106.04,3456.2+1,198
55 to 592,9265.83,3105.53,9725.6+1,046
60 to 642,7385.53,2375.43,6995.3+961
65 to 692,5725.12,9574.93,3754.8+804
70 to 741,9473.92,6404.43,1144.4+1,167
75 to 791,3462.72,1143.52,5143.6+1,168
80 to 849391.91,3042.21,7562.5+817
85 and over7891.68851.51,2021.7+414
Total persons50,211100.060,272100.070,364100.0+20,153
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in City of Ballarat was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 985 and account for 7.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 4,373 males.

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