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AustraliaPopulation forecast

Queensland

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Queensland indicate a 4.8% increase in males under working age, a 35.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 15.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Australia is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Queensland - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4155,6046.0173,8875.8197,2335.8+41,629
5 to 9173,0186.7180,0596.0197,5995.8+24,581
10 to 14180,9047.0179,8566.0196,0715.8+15,167
15 to 19163,4146.3196,0076.5201,0865.9+37,672
20 to 24169,0666.5218,6637.2216,2416.4+47,175
25 to 29178,3726.9210,7217.0241,0497.1+62,677
30 to 34179,1316.9204,3156.8248,0807.3+68,949
35 to 39178,6586.9202,7876.7228,7366.7+50,078
40 to 44161,9956.3199,7466.6219,9366.5+57,941
45 to 49169,5216.6192,9626.4212,9536.3+43,432
50 to 54164,6006.4169,1535.6203,0826.0+38,482
55 to 59156,0756.0171,0995.7191,2605.6+35,185
60 to 64145,4925.6163,2355.4165,8074.9+20,315
65 to 69127,2224.9152,1235.0165,5184.9+38,296
70 to 74115,6994.5136,1934.5153,2784.5+37,579
75 to 7980,7123.1110,2383.7134,2954.0+53,583
80 to 8449,1921.986,8152.9107,0553.2+57,863
85 and over37,7801.569,9422.3114,3843.4+76,604
Total persons2,586,455100.03,017,800100.03,393,662100.0+807,207
Source: .id SAFi National to State tops-down forecast, 5.1.0, published May 2023. Prepared by .id (informed decisions)

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Queensland was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 7.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 49,597 and account for 7.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 218,663 males.

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