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AustraliaPopulation forecast

South Australia

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for South Australia indicate a 2.4% increase in females under working age, a 26.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 8.5% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Australia is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Australia - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 447,6615.250,1704.952,6844.9+5,023
5 to 951,6635.752,4915.253,6334.9+1,970
10 to 1452,7045.852,9745.254,6925.0+1,988
15 to 1948,9635.457,9355.758,0905.3+9,127
20 to 2454,1935.963,7626.363,3975.8+9,204
25 to 2959,2546.560,9056.067,9216.3+8,667
30 to 3460,7916.764,5516.470,6976.5+9,906
35 to 3960,9086.768,6296.867,7616.2+6,853
40 to 4454,9536.067,2656.669,4596.4+14,506
45 to 4955,7776.164,1486.370,6546.5+14,877
50 to 5458,1206.456,1815.567,6076.2+9,487
55 to 5958,6486.456,3705.664,1255.9+5,477
60 to 6458,2686.458,3165.856,0305.2-2,238
65 to 6952,6165.857,8145.755,4835.1+2,867
70 to 7448,7675.355,8165.556,0165.2+7,249
75 to 7934,8673.847,8904.753,0324.9+18,165
80 to 8424,8992.740,0123.946,7574.3+21,858
85 and over28,7803.238,3363.858,0795.3+29,299
Total persons911,832100.01,013,564100.01,086,119100.0+174,287
Source: .id SAFi National to State tops-down forecast, 5.1.0, published May 2023. Prepared by .id (informed decisions)

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in South Australia was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 6.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 15,113 and account for 3.9% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 68,629 females.

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