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City of ArmadalePopulation forecast

City of Armadale

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in City of Armadale is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Armadale depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas (Harrisdale, Piara Waters, Haynes and Hilbert) are expected to attract predominantly young couples and families, declining post 2016 as Piara Waters and Harrisdale approach being fully developed and as development rates slow owing to competing greenfield development in neighbouring areas and a potential over-supply of housing regionally over the mid-term
  • Gain of young adults (18-24 years) in Armadale North and South
  • Gain of mature and older families into the rural residential areas of the City (Bedfordale and Roleystone)

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