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City of ArmadalePopulation forecast

Piara Waters

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Piara Waters is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Armadale depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Major increase in migration throughout the period to 2026 in most age groups owing to continued greenfield development resulting in a gain to most age groups, although this is expected to decline significantly post 2021 as land supply becomes more constrained and as development rates slow owing to competing greenfield development in neighbouring areas and a potential over-supply of housing regionally over the mid-term
  • Significant gain of young couples, young and mature families (0-54 years) in the earlier period falling to a small net loss in 5-9 and 35-44 year olds post 2021
  • Gain of empty-nesters (aged 50-59 years)
  • Little change through migration in older age groups (60+ years)

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