Alexandrina CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Alexandrina Council

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Alexandrina Council is 55-59 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Alexandrina Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period, with net in-migration increasing slightly over time as residential development opportunities are realised around Goolwa and Strathalbyn in particular
  • There are two main housing markets in Alexandrina, the first consisting of families who are attracted to more affordable housing and the opportunity to live in a semi-rural environment but still be within commuting distance of Adelaide. This is particularly noticeable in the northern part of Alexandrina.
  • The second housing market consists of retirees (typically 55-69 years) who seek lifestyle opportunities in both coastal and inland areas
  • Like most of regional Australia, Alexandrina loses young adults (18-24 years) to Adelaide and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -181 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -108 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 34 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 318 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 521 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 524 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 333 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 243 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 279 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 276 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 231 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 110 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -148 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -283 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 66 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 224 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 304 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -117 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 294 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 439 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 465 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 284 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 261 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 248 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 171 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 72 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -152 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -278 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 215 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 290 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 40 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -81 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 7 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 254 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 381 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 366 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 258 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 203 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 142 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -156 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -279 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 165 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 230 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -14 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -181 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -108 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 34 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 318 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 521 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 524 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 333 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 243 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 279 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 276 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 231 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 110 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: -148 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -283 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 66 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 224 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 304 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -117 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 294 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 439 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 465 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 284 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 261 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 248 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 171 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 72 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -152 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -278 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 215 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 290 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 40 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -81 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 7 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 254 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 381 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 366 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 258 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 203 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 142 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -156 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -279 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 165 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 230
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2018.
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