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City of YarraPopulation forecast

Fitzroy

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Fitzroy indicate a 50.6% increase in population under working age, a 37.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 21.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fitzroy - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44634.47395.59845.0+521
5 to 93433.24743.57383.8+395
10 to 142842.74283.26593.4+375
15 to 192822.74303.26873.5+405
20 to 247607.21,1808.81,7248.8+964
25 to 291,64815.51,90314.22,77214.2+1,124
30 to 341,50614.21,79813.42,47412.6+968
35 to 391,12110.61,38310.31,9139.8+792
40 to 447356.91,0177.61,4527.4+717
45 to 496055.77355.51,2066.2+601
50 to 546035.76184.61,0205.2+417
55 to 595985.65974.58584.4+260
60 to 645275.05494.16553.3+128
65 to 693813.64743.55272.7+146
70 to 743022.83552.64682.4+166
75 to 792021.92692.04082.1+206
80 to 841231.22341.74122.1+289
85 and over1261.22271.76293.2+503
Total persons10,609100.013,409100.019,586100.0+8,977
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Fitzroy was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 15.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 420 and account for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,903 persons.

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