City of YarraPopulation forecast
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City of Yarra

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Yarra indicate a 28.7% increase in population under working age, a 47.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 28.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Yarra - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,0605.15,2425.15,8255.0+1,765
5 to 9 2,8313.63,5883.54,0183.4+1,187
10 to 14 2,2382.82,9182.83,2882.8+1,050
15 to 19 2,6433.33,8043.74,2913.7+1,648
20 to 24 7,0839.08,9458.79,9718.5+2,888
25 to 29 12,37115.714,37013.916,04713.7+3,676
30 to 34 10,49613.313,35312.914,95212.8+4,456
35 to 39 7,4569.410,1749.911,4369.8+3,980
40 to 44 5,7697.37,7417.58,8217.5+3,052
45 to 49 4,7116.06,2906.17,3606.3+2,649
50 to 54 4,2815.45,6235.46,6045.6+2,323
55 to 59 3,8114.85,1285.05,8725.0+2,061
60 to 64 3,4784.44,5384.45,1974.4+1,719
65 to 69 2,4743.13,8113.74,4293.8+1,955
70 to 74 1,7912.32,9452.93,4533.0+1,662
75 to 79 1,5271.92,2762.22,6642.3+1,137
80 to 84 1,0941.41,3721.31,6481.4+554
85 and over8991.11,0721.01,1601.0+261
Total persons79,013100.0103,191100.0117,036100.0+38,023

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2013.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,160 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,648 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,664 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,453 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 4,429 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 5,197 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 5,872 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 6,604 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 7,360 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 8,821 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 11,436 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 14,952 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 16,047 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 9,971 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 4,291 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,288 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 4,018 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 5,825 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,372 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,276 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,945 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,811 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 4,538 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 5,128 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 5,623 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,290 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 7,741 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,174 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 13,353 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 14,370 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 8,945 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,804 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,918 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,588 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,242 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 899 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,094 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,527 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,791 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,474 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 3,478 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 3,811 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 4,281 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 4,711 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 5,769 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 7,456 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 10,496 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 12,371 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 7,083 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,643 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,238 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,831 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 4,060
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2013.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 275 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 388 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 508 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 618 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 659 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 744 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 981 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,069 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,262 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,600 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,677 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,026 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 487 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 370 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 584 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 278 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 749 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,154 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,337 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,060 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 1,317 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 1,579 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 1,972 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 2,718 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 2,857 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 1,999 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 1,862 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 680 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 757 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 1,182
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2013.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Yarra was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 15.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34 , which is expected to increase by 2,857 and account for 12.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 14,370 persons.

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