Wollongong City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Wollongong City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Wollongong City is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2011 to 2016.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wollongong City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively consistent migration profile across the 2011-2026 period, with substantial new housing opportunities in the West Dapto Release Area (parts of Horsley, Kembla Grange, Avondale - Cleveland, Dombarton - Wongawilli - Huntley, Marshall Mount - Haywards Bay - Yallah ) expected to attract predominantly young couples and families from 2013 onwards
  • Substantial gains in youth age groups (18-24 years) throughout the period attracted to education, employment and housing opportunities
  • Minimal population change through migration at age 65 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -107 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -137 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -95 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 48 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 123 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 405 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 939 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,028 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 195 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,301 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 994 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,958 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 686 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 854 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 931 0 2016 to 2021: -184 0 2016 to 2021: -104 0 2016 to 2021: -15 0 2016 to 2021: -92 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: -12 0 2016 to 2021: -167 0 2016 to 2021: 79 0 2016 to 2021: 199 0 2016 to 2021: 718 0 2016 to 2021: 899 0 2016 to 2021: -19 0 2016 to 2021: -1,272 0 2016 to 2021: 1,386 0 2016 to 2021: 2,301 0 2016 to 2021: 391 0 2016 to 2021: 584 0 2016 to 2021: 580 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -185 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -162 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -73 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -18 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 53 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -175 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -156 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 213 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 311 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 726 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 132 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -1,296 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,085 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,397 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 304 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 313 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 384 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -107 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -137 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -95 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 48 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 123 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 405 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 939 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,028 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 195 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,301 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 994 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,958 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 686 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 854 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 931 0 2016 to 2021: -184 0 2016 to 2021: -104 0 2016 to 2021: -15 0 2016 to 2021: -92 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: -12 0 2016 to 2021: -167 0 2016 to 2021: 79 0 2016 to 2021: 199 0 2016 to 2021: 718 0 2016 to 2021: 899 0 2016 to 2021: -19 0 2016 to 2021: -1,272 0 2016 to 2021: 1,386 0 2016 to 2021: 2,301 0 2016 to 2021: 391 0 2016 to 2021: 584 0 2016 to 2021: 580 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -185 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -162 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -73 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -18 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 53 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -175 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -156 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 213 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 311 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 726 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 132 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -1,296 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,085 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,397 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 304 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 313 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 384
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2016.
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