Wollongong City CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Wollongong City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Wollongong City is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Wollongong City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively consistent migration profile across the 2016-2026 period, with substantial new housing opportunities in the West Dapto Release Area (parts of Horsley, Kembla Grange, Avondale - Cleveland, Dombarton - Wongawilli - Huntley, Marshall Mount - Haywards Bay - Yallah ) expected to attract predominantly young couples and families
  • Substantial gains in youth age groups (18-24 years) throughout the period attracted to education, employment and housing opportunities
  • Minimal population change through migration at age 60 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -131 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -122 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -153 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -99 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -56 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 55 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 401 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 907 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,042 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,286 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,203 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,831 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 494 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 802 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 828 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -118 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -95 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -81 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -12 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -158 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 148 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 151 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 804 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 872 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -1,419 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,430 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,313 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 304 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 400 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 416 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -131 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -122 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -153 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -99 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -56 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 55 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 401 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 907 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,042 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,286 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,203 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,831 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 494 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 802 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 828 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -118 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -95 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -10 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -81 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -12 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -158 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 148 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 151 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 804 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 872 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 119 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -1,419 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,430 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,313 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 304 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 400 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 416
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
v17.12.12-1.0.0