Willoughby City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Willoughby City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Willoughby City is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Willoughby City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • The future housing market roles of Willoughby City as a whole exhibit a relatively stable migration profile throughout the forecast period
  • The 2012-2016 period shows lower absolute numbers but this is due to lower levels of residential development in the 2012-2016 period compared to the 2016-2026 period which has a higher level of development
  • There is a strong gain of young persons (aged 17-30 years) migrating to the area for education and employment purposes and to take advantage of the avilable rental housing stock
  • There is also a slight gain of young families in their early 30s with young children aged 0-4 years
  • Willoughby City will also have a loss of established families with children aged 5-14 years who may be leaving the area in search of purchasing their first home in more affordable areas
  • There is a net loss of mature adults aged 40-54 years as well as early retirees and empty nesters aged 55-64 years to outer growth areas, as well as coastal, rural and resort areas
  • With older age groups, there is little notable change as these persons tend to be less mobile and may only move to areas from elsewhere in search of care facilities
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 269 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -44 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -190 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -342 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -532 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -339 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -256 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 474 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 867 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,087 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 695 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -214 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -282 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 186 0 2016 to 2021: 164 0 2016 to 2021: -4 0 2016 to 2021: 7 0 2016 to 2021: -119 0 2016 to 2021: -197 0 2016 to 2021: -172 0 2016 to 2021: -321 0 2016 to 2021: -396 0 2016 to 2021: -330 0 2016 to 2021: -206 0 2016 to 2021: 238 0 2016 to 2021: 417 0 2016 to 2021: 853 0 2016 to 2021: 1,163 0 2016 to 2021: 728 0 2016 to 2021: -172 0 2016 to 2021: -218 0 2016 to 2021: 232 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 6 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -41 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 3 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -76 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -213 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -213 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -306 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -471 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -332 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -365 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 82 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 252 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 747 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,148 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 758 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -86 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -205 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 149 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 269 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -44 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -190 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -342 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -532 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -339 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -256 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 474 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 867 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,087 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 695 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -214 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -282 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 186 0 2016 to 2021: 164 0 2016 to 2021: -4 0 2016 to 2021: 7 0 2016 to 2021: -119 0 2016 to 2021: -197 0 2016 to 2021: -172 0 2016 to 2021: -321 0 2016 to 2021: -396 0 2016 to 2021: -330 0 2016 to 2021: -206 0 2016 to 2021: 238 0 2016 to 2021: 417 0 2016 to 2021: 853 0 2016 to 2021: 1,163 0 2016 to 2021: 728 0 2016 to 2021: -172 0 2016 to 2021: -218 0 2016 to 2021: 232 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 6 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -41 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 3 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -76 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -213 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -213 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -306 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -471 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -332 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -365 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 82 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 252 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 747 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,148 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 758 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -86 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -205 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 149
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
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