City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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City of Whitehorse

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Whitehorse indicate a 10.1% increase in population under working age, a 27.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Whitehorse - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,0835.810,5765.511,2155.4+2,132
5 to 9 8,9905.79,3704.910,0724.9+1,082
10 to 14 8,5805.49,4004.910,1534.9+1,573
15 to 19 9,4106.012,9326.713,3506.5+3,940
20 to 24 13,2868.416,9668.817,1508.3+3,864
25 to 29 11,3307.215,7718.216,3557.9+5,025
30 to 34 9,9836.313,6417.114,6817.1+4,698
35 to 39 10,9256.912,9076.713,8476.7+2,922
40 to 44 11,6287.412,5816.613,5266.6+1,898
45 to 49 10,4756.611,9066.212,9576.3+2,482
50 to 54 10,0256.411,4876.012,1885.9+2,163
55 to 59 8,7015.510,7305.611,1345.4+2,433
60 to 64 8,1035.19,3634.910,1955.0+2,092
65 to 69 6,9534.48,5104.49,4424.6+2,489
70 to 74 5,9803.87,4463.98,4434.1+2,463
75 to 79 5,2483.36,7463.57,6473.7+2,399
80 to 84 4,5372.95,5782.96,4923.2+1,955
85 and over4,3002.76,1373.27,0533.4+2,753
Total persons157,537100.0192,047100.0205,899100.0+48,362

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 7,053 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 6,492 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,647 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 8,443 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 9,442 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 10,195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 11,134 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 12,188 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 12,957 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 13,526 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 13,847 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 14,681 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 16,355 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 17,150 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 13,350 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 10,153 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 10,072 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 11,215 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6,137 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 5,578 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,746 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,446 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 8,510 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,363 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,730 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 11,487 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 11,906 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 12,581 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 12,907 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 13,641 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 15,771 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 16,966 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 12,932 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 9,400 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 9,370 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,576 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 4,300 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 4,537 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 5,248 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 5,980 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 6,953 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 8,103 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 8,701 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 10,025 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 10,475 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 11,628 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 10,925 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 9,983 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 11,330 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 13,286 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 9,410 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 8,580 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 8,990 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 9,083
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 916 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 914 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 900 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 996 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 931 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 832 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 403 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 702 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,051 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 945 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 941 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,039 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 585 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 753 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 702 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 639 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,837 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,498 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,466 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,557 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,260 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 2,029 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 1,462 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 1,431 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 953 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 1,982 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 3,658 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 4,441 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 3,680 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 3,522 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 820 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 380 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 1,493
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Whitehorse was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29 , which is expected to increase by 4,441 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 16,966 persons.

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