Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Warrnambool City will increase by an average of 234 dwellings per annum to 19,937 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Warrnambool City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Warrnambool CityChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Warrnambool City+5,854+41.6
Allansford - Rural East+121+28.3
Bushfield - Woodford+123+34.2
Dennington area+634+110.3
Warrnambool (Botanic)+176+14.2
Warrnambool (Central)+267+12.5
Warrnambool (East - Racecourse)+254+15.4
Warrnambool (North East)+1,694+174.0
Warrnambool (North of Merri)+1,236+439.1
Warrnambool (North)+53+4.5
Warrnambool (South - Merrivale)+341+22.4
Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins)+653+37.8
Warrnambool (West)+302+15.0

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 19,937 2035 Total dwellings: 19,702 2034 Total dwellings: 19,467 2033 Total dwellings: 19,232 2032 Total dwellings: 18,998 2031 Total dwellings: 18,764 2030 Total dwellings: 18,530 2029 Total dwellings: 18,292 2028 Total dwellings: 18,049 2027 Total dwellings: 17,806 2026 Total dwellings: 17,563 2025 Total dwellings: 17,321 2024 Total dwellings: 17,079 2023 Total dwellings: 16,835 2022 Total dwellings: 16,576 2021 Total dwellings: 16,331 2020 Total dwellings: 16,058 2019 Total dwellings: 15,813 2018 Total dwellings: 15,588 2017 Total dwellings: 15,344 2016 Total dwellings: 15,096 2015 Total dwellings: 14,895 2014 Total dwellings: 14,695 2013 Total dwellings: 14,539 2012 Total dwellings: 14,311 2036 Total dwellings: 19,937 2035 Total dwellings: 19,702 2034 Total dwellings: 19,467 2033 Total dwellings: 19,232 2032 Total dwellings: 18,998 2031 Total dwellings: 18,764 2030 Total dwellings: 18,530 2029 Total dwellings: 18,292 2028 Total dwellings: 18,049 2027 Total dwellings: 17,806 2026 Total dwellings: 17,563 2025 Total dwellings: 17,321 2024 Total dwellings: 17,079 2023 Total dwellings: 16,835 2022 Total dwellings: 16,576 2021 Total dwellings: 16,331 2020 Total dwellings: 16,058 2019 Total dwellings: 15,813 2018 Total dwellings: 15,588 2017 Total dwellings: 15,344 2016 Total dwellings: 15,096 2015 Total dwellings: 14,895 2014 Total dwellings: 14,695 2013 Total dwellings: 14,539 2012 Total dwellings: 14,311 2036 Forecast development: 235 2035 Forecast development: 235 2034 Forecast development: 235 2033 Forecast development: 234 2032 Forecast development: 234 2031 Forecast development: 234 2030 Forecast development: 238 2029 Forecast development: 243 2028 Forecast development: 243 2027 Forecast development: 243 2026 Forecast development: 242 2025 Forecast development: 242 2024 Forecast development: 244 2023 Forecast development: 259 2022 Forecast development: 245 2021 Forecast development: 273 2020 Forecast development: 245 2019 Forecast development: 225 2018 Forecast development: 244 2017 Forecast development: 248 2016 Forecast development: 201 2015 Forecast development: 200 2014 Forecast development: 156 2013 Forecast development: 228 2012 Forecast development: 228
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
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