Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Warrnambool City

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Warrnambool City is forecast to grow from 15,320 in 2016 to 18,988 in 2031, with the average household size rising from 2.38 to 2.41 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Warrnambool City. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Warrnambool CityForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population34,24337,22540,32343,30446,209
Change in population (5yrs)--2,9823,0982,9812,905
Average annual change--1.68%1.61%1.44%1.31%
Households14,06715,24616,43117,59318,726
Average household size2.382.392.402.412.42
Population in non private dwellings731781831931981
Dwellings15,32016,55517,78718,98820,161
Dwelling occupancy rate91.8292.0992.3892.6592.88

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.42 2035 Average household size: 2.41 2034 Average household size: 2.41 2033 Average household size: 2.41 2032 Average household size: 2.41 2031 Average household size: 2.41 2030 Average household size: 2.41 2029 Average household size: 2.41 2028 Average household size: 2.41 2027 Average household size: 2.41 2026 Average household size: 2.40 2025 Average household size: 2.40 2024 Average household size: 2.40 2023 Average household size: 2.40 2022 Average household size: 2.39 2021 Average household size: 2.39 2020 Average household size: 2.39 2019 Average household size: 2.39 2018 Average household size: 2.38 2017 Average household size: 2.38 2016 Average household size: 2.38 2036 Average household size: 2.42 2035 Average household size: 2.41 2034 Average household size: 2.41 2033 Average household size: 2.41 2032 Average household size: 2.41 2031 Average household size: 2.41 2030 Average household size: 2.41 2029 Average household size: 2.41 2028 Average household size: 2.41 2027 Average household size: 2.41 2026 Average household size: 2.40 2025 Average household size: 2.40 2024 Average household size: 2.40 2023 Average household size: 2.40 2022 Average household size: 2.39 2021 Average household size: 2.39 2020 Average household size: 2.39 2019 Average household size: 2.39 2018 Average household size: 2.38 2017 Average household size: 2.38 2036 Households: 18,726 2035 Households: 18,498 2034 Households: 18,270 2033 Households: 18,043 2032 Households: 17,817 2031 Households: 17,590 2030 Households: 17,364 2029 Households: 17,135 2028 Households: 16,900 2027 Households: 16,666 2026 Households: 16,432 2025 Households: 16,199 2024 Households: 15,966 2023 Households: 15,732 2022 Households: 15,485 2021 Households: 15,250 2020 Households: 14,991 2019 Households: 14,757 2018 Households: 14,540 2017 Households: 14,306 2016 Households: 14,070 2036 Total population: 46,209 2035 Total population: 45,629 2034 Total population: 45,057 2033 Total population: 44,486 2032 Total population: 43,863 2031 Total population: 43,304 2030 Total population: 42,701 2029 Total population: 42,131 2028 Total population: 41,548 2027 Total population: 40,925 2026 Total population: 40,323 2025 Total population: 39,726 2024 Total population: 39,045 2023 Total population: 38,467 2022 Total population: 37,832 2021 Total population: 37,225 2020 Total population: 36,575 2019 Total population: 35,957 2018 Total population: 35,377 2017 Total population: 34,818 2016 Total population: 34,243
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Warrnambool City was estimated to be 34,243 people. It is expected to increase by over 9,000 people to 43,304 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.38%. This is based on an increase of over 3,500 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.38 to 2.41 by 2031.

v17.12.12-1.0.0