Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Warrnambool City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool City is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2,1066.42,7096.73,0956.6+990
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2,8958.93,8189.44,3909.4+1,495
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2,8378.73,1317.73,6567.8+820
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)3,38610.43,6659.04,2049.0+818
Young workforce (25 to 34)3,98712.24,92012.15,43011.6+1,444
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)6,39119.57,49218.48,62318.4+2,232
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4,13612.64,77911.75,36211.5+1,226
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3,2319.94,42510.94,89410.5+1,662
Seniors (70 to 84)2,9419.04,62611.45,60512.0+2,664
Elderly aged (85 and over)7962.41,1612.91,5023.2+706
Total persons32,705100.040,725100.046,762100.0+14,057

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,502 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 5,605 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 4,894 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 5,362 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 8,623 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 5,430 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 4,204 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 3,656 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 4,390 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 3,095 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 4,626 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 4,425 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 4,779 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 7,492 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 4,920 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 3,665 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 3,131 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 3,818 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,709 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 796 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2011: 2,941 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2011: 3,231 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2011: 4,136 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2011: 6,391 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2011: 3,987 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2011: 3,386 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2011: 2,837 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2011: 2,895 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,106
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 341 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 979 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 469 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 583 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,131 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 511 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 539 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 526 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 572 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 386 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 365 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,685 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,193 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2011 to 2026: 643 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2011 to 2026: 1,101 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2011 to 2026: 933 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2011 to 2026: 279 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2011 to 2026: 294 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2011 to 2026: 923 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 603
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.

Key findings

In Warrnambool City between 2011 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 1,820 (23.2%), and will comprise 23.7% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 3,244 (46.6%) and comprise 25.1% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 7,492 persons.

v17.10.06-1.0.0