Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool City indicate a 27.1% increase in population under working age, a 53.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,1066.42,7096.73,0956.6+990
5 to 9 2,0326.22,7296.73,1306.7+1,099
10 to 14 2,2466.92,6736.63,1106.7+864
15 to 19 2,4647.52,6676.53,0916.6+627
20 to 24 2,3767.32,5446.22,9196.2+543
25 to 29 2,0926.42,4135.92,6665.7+574
30 to 34 1,8945.82,5076.22,7645.9+870
35 to 39 2,0106.12,5366.22,8686.1+858
40 to 44 2,1486.62,5216.22,9046.2+756
45 to 49 2,2346.82,4356.02,8516.1+618
50 to 54 2,1156.52,4135.92,7425.9+627
55 to 59 2,0206.22,3665.82,6205.6+600
60 to 64 1,8165.62,2915.62,5065.4+690
65 to 69 1,4154.32,1345.22,3875.1+972
70 to 74 1,1323.51,8954.72,2024.7+1,070
75 to 79 1,0103.11,5963.91,9004.1+890
80 to 84 7982.41,1342.81,5033.2+705
85 and over7962.41,1612.91,5023.2+706
Total persons32,705100.040,725100.046,762100.0+14,057

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,502 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,503 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,900 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,202 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,387 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,506 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,620 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,742 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,851 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,904 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,868 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,764 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,666 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,919 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 3,091 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,110 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,130 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 3,095 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,134 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,596 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,895 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,134 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,291 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,366 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,413 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,435 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,521 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,536 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,507 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,413 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,544 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,667 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,673 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,729 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,709 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 796 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 798 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,010 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,132 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,415 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,816 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,020 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,115 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,234 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,148 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,010 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,894 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 2,092 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 2,376 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,464 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,246 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,032 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,106
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 341 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 369 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 304 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 306 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 254 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 215 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 254 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 330 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 417 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 383 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 331 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 257 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 254 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 375 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 424 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 437 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 401 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 386 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 365 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 336 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 586 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 764 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 719 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 475 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 373 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 526 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 613 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 320 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 168 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 203 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 427 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 698 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 603
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool City was ages 15 to 19 , which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 764 and account for 4.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,729 persons.

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