Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Warrnambool City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,130 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Warrnambool CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births2,1482,3592,5672,7662,966
Deaths1,4021,5771,7181,8501,969
Natural increase/decrease747782849916996
Net migration1,1592,0502,2312,0671,908
Change in persons in non-private dwellings102505010050

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 587 2035 forecast population change: 589 2034 forecast population change: 580 2033 forecast population change: 617 2032 forecast population change: 581 2031 forecast population change: 624 2030 forecast population change: 582 2029 forecast population change: 612 2028 forecast population change: 658 2027 forecast population change: 606 2026 forecast population change: 609 2025 forecast population change: 686 2024 forecast population change: 594 2023 forecast population change: 637 2022 forecast population change: 606 2021 forecast population change: 648 2020 forecast population change: 633 2019 forecast population change: 517 2018 forecast population change: 541 2017 forecast population change: 543 2016 forecast population change: 410 2015 forecast population change: 377 2014 forecast population change: 367 2013 forecast population change: 481 2012 forecast population change: 371
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 207 2035 Natural increase: 203 2034 Natural increase: 199 2033 Natural increase: 195 2032 Natural increase: 192 2031 Natural increase: 189 2030 Natural increase: 186 2029 Natural increase: 183 2028 Natural increase: 180 2027 Natural increase: 178 2026 Natural increase: 175 2025 Natural increase: 172 2024 Natural increase: 170 2023 Natural increase: 167 2022 Natural increase: 165 2021 Natural increase: 162 2020 Natural increase: 159 2019 Natural increase: 157 2018 Natural increase: 154 2017 Natural increase: 150 2016 Natural increase: 151 2015 Natural increase: 146 2014 Natural increase: 142 2013 Natural increase: 139 2012 Natural increase: 169 2036 Total births: 610 2035 Total births: 601 2034 Total births: 593 2033 Total births: 585 2032 Total births: 577 2031 Total births: 569 2030 Total births: 561 2029 Total births: 553 2028 Total births: 545 2027 Total births: 537 2026 Total births: 530 2025 Total births: 521 2024 Total births: 514 2023 Total births: 505 2022 Total births: 497 2021 Total births: 488 2020 Total births: 480 2019 Total births: 472 2018 Total births: 464 2017 Total births: 455 2016 Total births: 450 2015 Total births: 438 2014 Total births: 431 2013 Total births: 420 2012 Total births: 409 2036 Total deaths: 403 2035 Total deaths: 398 2034 Total deaths: 394 2033 Total deaths: 390 2032 Total deaths: 385 2031 Total deaths: 380 2030 Total deaths: 375 2029 Total deaths: 370 2028 Total deaths: 365 2027 Total deaths: 360 2026 Total deaths: 355 2025 Total deaths: 350 2024 Total deaths: 344 2023 Total deaths: 338 2022 Total deaths: 332 2021 Total deaths: 326 2020 Total deaths: 321 2019 Total deaths: 315 2018 Total deaths: 310 2017 Total deaths: 305 2016 Total deaths: 299 2015 Total deaths: 293 2014 Total deaths: 289 2013 Total deaths: 281 2012 Total deaths: 240 2036 Natural increase: 207 2035 Natural increase: 203 2034 Natural increase: 199 2033 Natural increase: 195 2032 Natural increase: 192 2031 Natural increase: 189 2030 Natural increase: 186 2029 Natural increase: 183 2028 Natural increase: 180 2027 Natural increase: 178 2026 Natural increase: 175 2025 Natural increase: 172 2024 Natural increase: 170 2023 Natural increase: 167 2022 Natural increase: 165 2021 Natural increase: 162 2020 Natural increase: 159 2019 Natural increase: 157 2018 Natural increase: 154 2017 Natural increase: 150 2016 Natural increase: 151 2015 Natural increase: 146 2014 Natural increase: 142 2013 Natural increase: 139 2012 Natural increase: 169 2036 Total births: 610 2035 Total births: 601 2034 Total births: 593 2033 Total births: 585 2032 Total births: 577 2031 Total births: 569 2030 Total births: 561 2029 Total births: 553 2028 Total births: 545 2027 Total births: 537 2026 Total births: 530 2025 Total births: 521 2024 Total births: 514 2023 Total births: 505 2022 Total births: 497 2021 Total births: 488 2020 Total births: 480 2019 Total births: 472 2018 Total births: 464 2017 Total births: 455 2016 Total births: 450 2015 Total births: 438 2014 Total births: 431 2013 Total births: 420 2012 Total births: 409 2036 Total deaths: 403 2035 Total deaths: 398 2034 Total deaths: 394 2033 Total deaths: 390 2032 Total deaths: 385 2031 Total deaths: 380 2030 Total deaths: 375 2029 Total deaths: 370 2028 Total deaths: 365 2027 Total deaths: 360 2026 Total deaths: 355 2025 Total deaths: 350 2024 Total deaths: 344 2023 Total deaths: 338 2022 Total deaths: 332 2021 Total deaths: 326 2020 Total deaths: 321 2019 Total deaths: 315 2018 Total deaths: 310 2017 Total deaths: 305 2016 Total deaths: 299 2015 Total deaths: 293 2014 Total deaths: 289 2013 Total deaths: 281 2012 Total deaths: 240
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 380 2035 Total net migration: 386 2034 Total net migration: 381 2033 Total net migration: 371 2032 Total net migration: 389 2031 Total net migration: 385 2030 Total net migration: 397 2029 Total net migration: 429 2028 Total net migration: 428 2027 Total net migration: 428 2026 Total net migration: 434 2025 Total net migration: 464 2024 Total net migration: 424 2023 Total net migration: 469 2022 Total net migration: 441 2021 Total net migration: 486 2020 Total net migration: 424 2019 Total net migration: 360 2018 Total net migration: 388 2017 Total net migration: 393 2016 Total net migration: 259 2015 Total net migration: 232 2014 Total net migration: 123 2013 Total net migration: 343 2012 Total net migration: 202 2036 Total out migration: 3,753 2035 Total out migration: 3,703 2034 Total out migration: 3,655 2033 Total out migration: 3,609 2032 Total out migration: 3,561 2031 Total out migration: 3,515 2030 Total out migration: 3,469 2029 Total out migration: 3,419 2028 Total out migration: 3,369 2027 Total out migration: 3,322 2026 Total out migration: 3,274 2025 Total out migration: 3,223 2024 Total out migration: 3,176 2023 Total out migration: 3,125 2022 Total out migration: 3,079 2021 Total out migration: 3,028 2020 Total out migration: 2,978 2019 Total out migration: 2,937 2018 Total out migration: 2,897 2017 Total out migration: 2,856 2016 Total out migration: 2,827 2015 Total out migration: 2,804 2014 Total out migration: 2,787 2013 Total out migration: 2,747 2012 Total out migration: 2,724 2036 Total in migration: 4,133 2035 Total in migration: 4,089 2034 Total in migration: 4,036 2033 Total in migration: 3,981 2032 Total in migration: 3,951 2031 Total in migration: 3,900 2030 Total in migration: 3,865 2029 Total in migration: 3,848 2028 Total in migration: 3,797 2027 Total in migration: 3,750 2026 Total in migration: 3,708 2025 Total in migration: 3,687 2024 Total in migration: 3,600 2023 Total in migration: 3,594 2022 Total in migration: 3,519 2021 Total in migration: 3,514 2020 Total in migration: 3,403 2019 Total in migration: 3,297 2018 Total in migration: 3,285 2017 Total in migration: 3,249 2016 Total in migration: 3,086 2015 Total in migration: 3,035 2014 Total in migration: 2,909 2013 Total in migration: 3,090 2012 Total in migration: 2,926 2036 Total net migration: 380 2035 Total net migration: 386 2034 Total net migration: 381 2033 Total net migration: 371 2032 Total net migration: 389 2031 Total net migration: 385 2030 Total net migration: 397 2029 Total net migration: 429 2028 Total net migration: 428 2027 Total net migration: 428 2026 Total net migration: 434 2025 Total net migration: 464 2024 Total net migration: 424 2023 Total net migration: 469 2022 Total net migration: 441 2021 Total net migration: 486 2020 Total net migration: 424 2019 Total net migration: 360 2018 Total net migration: 388 2017 Total net migration: 393 2016 Total net migration: 259 2015 Total net migration: 232 2014 Total net migration: 123 2013 Total net migration: 343 2012 Total net migration: 202 2036 Total out migration: 3,753 2035 Total out migration: 3,703 2034 Total out migration: 3,655 2033 Total out migration: 3,609 2032 Total out migration: 3,561 2031 Total out migration: 3,515 2030 Total out migration: 3,469 2029 Total out migration: 3,419 2028 Total out migration: 3,369 2027 Total out migration: 3,322 2026 Total out migration: 3,274 2025 Total out migration: 3,223 2024 Total out migration: 3,176 2023 Total out migration: 3,125 2022 Total out migration: 3,079 2021 Total out migration: 3,028 2020 Total out migration: 2,978 2019 Total out migration: 2,937 2018 Total out migration: 2,897 2017 Total out migration: 2,856 2016 Total out migration: 2,827 2015 Total out migration: 2,804 2014 Total out migration: 2,787 2013 Total out migration: 2,747 2012 Total out migration: 2,724 2036 Total in migration: 4,133 2035 Total in migration: 4,089 2034 Total in migration: 4,036 2033 Total in migration: 3,981 2032 Total in migration: 3,951 2031 Total in migration: 3,900 2030 Total in migration: 3,865 2029 Total in migration: 3,848 2028 Total in migration: 3,797 2027 Total in migration: 3,750 2026 Total in migration: 3,708 2025 Total in migration: 3,687 2024 Total in migration: 3,600 2023 Total in migration: 3,594 2022 Total in migration: 3,519 2021 Total in migration: 3,514 2020 Total in migration: 3,403 2019 Total in migration: 3,297 2018 Total in migration: 3,285 2017 Total in migration: 3,249 2016 Total in migration: 3,086 2015 Total in migration: 3,035 2014 Total in migration: 2,909 2013 Total in migration: 3,090 2012 Total in migration: 2,926
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
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