Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Warrnambool City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Warrnambool City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,098 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Warrnambool CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--2,3492,5452,7332,924
Deaths--1,6111,7291,8691,990
Natural increase/decrease--739817864934
Net migration--2,1942,2312,0181,921
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--505010050

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 580 2035 forecast population change: 572 2034 forecast population change: 571 2033 forecast population change: 624 2032 forecast population change: 558 2031 forecast population change: 603 2030 forecast population change: 570 2029 forecast population change: 584 2028 forecast population change: 622 2027 forecast population change: 602 2026 forecast population change: 597 2025 forecast population change: 681 2024 forecast population change: 579 2023 forecast population change: 635 2022 forecast population change: 607 2021 forecast population change: 650 2020 forecast population change: 618 2019 forecast population change: 580 2018 forecast population change: 559 2017 forecast population change: 575
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 195 2035 Natural increase: 191 2034 Natural increase: 187 2033 Natural increase: 182 2032 Natural increase: 179 2031 Natural increase: 177 2030 Natural increase: 174 2029 Natural increase: 173 2028 Natural increase: 171 2027 Natural increase: 169 2026 Natural increase: 167 2025 Natural increase: 165 2024 Natural increase: 164 2023 Natural increase: 161 2022 Natural increase: 160 2021 Natural increase: 158 2020 Natural increase: 155 2019 Natural increase: 150 2018 Natural increase: 142 2017 Natural increase: 134 2036 Total deaths: 407 2035 Total deaths: 402 2034 Total deaths: 398 2033 Total deaths: 394 2032 Total deaths: 390 2031 Total deaths: 385 2030 Total deaths: 380 2029 Total deaths: 374 2028 Total deaths: 368 2027 Total deaths: 363 2026 Total deaths: 357 2025 Total deaths: 352 2024 Total deaths: 346 2023 Total deaths: 340 2022 Total deaths: 334 2021 Total deaths: 327 2020 Total deaths: 323 2019 Total deaths: 321 2018 Total deaths: 320 2017 Total deaths: 320 2036 Total births: 601 2035 Total births: 593 2034 Total births: 585 2033 Total births: 576 2032 Total births: 569 2031 Total births: 561 2030 Total births: 554 2029 Total births: 547 2028 Total births: 539 2027 Total births: 532 2026 Total births: 524 2025 Total births: 516 2024 Total births: 509 2023 Total births: 501 2022 Total births: 494 2021 Total births: 485 2020 Total births: 478 2019 Total births: 470 2018 Total births: 462 2017 Total births: 453 2036 Natural increase: 195 2035 Natural increase: 191 2034 Natural increase: 187 2033 Natural increase: 182 2032 Natural increase: 179 2031 Natural increase: 177 2030 Natural increase: 174 2029 Natural increase: 173 2028 Natural increase: 171 2027 Natural increase: 169 2026 Natural increase: 167 2025 Natural increase: 165 2024 Natural increase: 164 2023 Natural increase: 161 2022 Natural increase: 160 2021 Natural increase: 158 2020 Natural increase: 155 2019 Natural increase: 150 2018 Natural increase: 142 2017 Natural increase: 134 2036 Total deaths: 407 2035 Total deaths: 402 2034 Total deaths: 398 2033 Total deaths: 394 2032 Total deaths: 390 2031 Total deaths: 385 2030 Total deaths: 380 2029 Total deaths: 374 2028 Total deaths: 368 2027 Total deaths: 363 2026 Total deaths: 357 2025 Total deaths: 352 2024 Total deaths: 346 2023 Total deaths: 340 2022 Total deaths: 334 2021 Total deaths: 327 2020 Total deaths: 323 2019 Total deaths: 321 2018 Total deaths: 320 2017 Total deaths: 320 2036 Total births: 601 2035 Total births: 593 2034 Total births: 585 2033 Total births: 576 2032 Total births: 569 2031 Total births: 561 2030 Total births: 554 2029 Total births: 547 2028 Total births: 539 2027 Total births: 532 2026 Total births: 524 2025 Total births: 516 2024 Total births: 509 2023 Total births: 501 2022 Total births: 494 2021 Total births: 485 2020 Total births: 478 2019 Total births: 470 2018 Total births: 462 2017 Total births: 453
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 385 2035 Total net migration: 382 2034 Total net migration: 384 2033 Total net migration: 391 2032 Total net migration: 379 2031 Total net migration: 376 2030 Total net migration: 396 2029 Total net migration: 411 2028 Total net migration: 401 2027 Total net migration: 433 2026 Total net migration: 430 2025 Total net migration: 466 2024 Total net migration: 415 2023 Total net migration: 474 2022 Total net migration: 447 2021 Total net migration: 492 2020 Total net migration: 413 2019 Total net migration: 430 2018 Total net migration: 417 2017 Total net migration: 441 2036 Total out migration: 3,704 2035 Total out migration: 3,656 2034 Total out migration: 3,608 2033 Total out migration: 3,560 2032 Total out migration: 3,512 2031 Total out migration: 3,468 2030 Total out migration: 3,420 2029 Total out migration: 3,374 2028 Total out migration: 3,328 2027 Total out migration: 3,279 2026 Total out migration: 3,227 2025 Total out migration: 3,178 2024 Total out migration: 3,133 2023 Total out migration: 3,080 2022 Total out migration: 3,030 2021 Total out migration: 2,978 2020 Total out migration: 2,925 2019 Total out migration: 2,878 2018 Total out migration: 2,837 2017 Total out migration: 2,799 2036 Total in migration: 4,090 2035 Total in migration: 4,038 2034 Total in migration: 3,992 2033 Total in migration: 3,951 2032 Total in migration: 3,891 2031 Total in migration: 3,845 2030 Total in migration: 3,816 2029 Total in migration: 3,785 2028 Total in migration: 3,729 2027 Total in migration: 3,712 2026 Total in migration: 3,657 2025 Total in migration: 3,644 2024 Total in migration: 3,548 2023 Total in migration: 3,553 2022 Total in migration: 3,478 2021 Total in migration: 3,471 2020 Total in migration: 3,338 2019 Total in migration: 3,309 2018 Total in migration: 3,254 2017 Total in migration: 3,240 2036 Total net migration: 385 2035 Total net migration: 382 2034 Total net migration: 384 2033 Total net migration: 391 2032 Total net migration: 379 2031 Total net migration: 376 2030 Total net migration: 396 2029 Total net migration: 411 2028 Total net migration: 401 2027 Total net migration: 433 2026 Total net migration: 430 2025 Total net migration: 466 2024 Total net migration: 415 2023 Total net migration: 474 2022 Total net migration: 447 2021 Total net migration: 492 2020 Total net migration: 413 2019 Total net migration: 430 2018 Total net migration: 417 2017 Total net migration: 441 2036 Total out migration: 3,704 2035 Total out migration: 3,656 2034 Total out migration: 3,608 2033 Total out migration: 3,560 2032 Total out migration: 3,512 2031 Total out migration: 3,468 2030 Total out migration: 3,420 2029 Total out migration: 3,374 2028 Total out migration: 3,328 2027 Total out migration: 3,279 2026 Total out migration: 3,227 2025 Total out migration: 3,178 2024 Total out migration: 3,133 2023 Total out migration: 3,080 2022 Total out migration: 3,030 2021 Total out migration: 2,978 2020 Total out migration: 2,925 2019 Total out migration: 2,878 2018 Total out migration: 2,837 2017 Total out migration: 2,799 2036 Total in migration: 4,090 2035 Total in migration: 4,038 2034 Total in migration: 3,992 2033 Total in migration: 3,951 2032 Total in migration: 3,891 2031 Total in migration: 3,845 2030 Total in migration: 3,816 2029 Total in migration: 3,785 2028 Total in migration: 3,729 2027 Total in migration: 3,712 2026 Total in migration: 3,657 2025 Total in migration: 3,644 2024 Total in migration: 3,548 2023 Total in migration: 3,553 2022 Total in migration: 3,478 2021 Total in migration: 3,471 2020 Total in migration: 3,338 2019 Total in migration: 3,309 2018 Total in migration: 3,254 2017 Total in migration: 3,240
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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