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City of WannerooPopulation forecast

Darch

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Darch indicate a 20.8% decrease in population under working age, a 116.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wanneroo is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Darch - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44125.43964.64324.7+21
5 to 96188.14615.44835.2-135
10 to 147139.45236.15025.4-211
15 to 197449.85886.95295.7-215
20 to 245307.07879.26927.5+162
25 to 293454.66817.96847.4+338
30 to 344005.34925.75626.1+162
35 to 395447.24955.86116.6+66
40 to 446438.55666.65766.2-67
45 to 497299.66267.36016.5-128
50 to 546268.36727.86276.8+1
55 to 594285.66327.46246.7+196
60 to 642823.74295.05165.6+234
65 to 691942.63013.54274.6+233
70 to 741632.22583.04034.3+240
75 to 791081.42342.73343.6+225
80 to 84931.22242.62642.8+170
85 and over140.22192.54024.3+388
Total persons7,588100.08,584100.09,269100.0+1,681
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Darch was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 335 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 787 persons.

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