Tweed Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Tweed Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Tweed Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Tweed Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period, with net in-migration increasing over time as development opportunities are realised eg Cobaki Lakes
  • Dual housing market consisting of families (children aged 0-14 years) and older adults/retirees (50-69 years)
  • Significant loss of young adults (18-24 years), many of whom are leaving the family home and moving elsewhere for education and employment opportunities.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -161 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 154 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 675 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 906 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 814 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 678 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 937 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,238 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,019 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 440 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -572 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -639 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 383 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 911 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,142 0 2016 to 2021: 36 0 2016 to 2021: -85 0 2016 to 2021: -61 0 2016 to 2021: 24 0 2016 to 2021: 240 0 2016 to 2021: 565 0 2016 to 2021: 680 0 2016 to 2021: 687 0 2016 to 2021: 470 0 2016 to 2021: 702 0 2016 to 2021: 950 0 2016 to 2021: 808 0 2016 to 2021: 297 0 2016 to 2021: -603 0 2016 to 2021: -626 0 2016 to 2021: 224 0 2016 to 2021: 671 0 2016 to 2021: 866 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 39 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -126 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -82 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 78 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 246 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 537 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 574 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 472 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 428 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 440 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 870 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 729 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 320 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -653 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -765 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 208 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 551 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 690 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -161 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 154 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 675 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 906 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 814 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 678 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 937 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,238 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,019 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 440 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -572 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -639 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 383 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 911 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,142 0 2016 to 2021: 36 0 2016 to 2021: -85 0 2016 to 2021: -61 0 2016 to 2021: 24 0 2016 to 2021: 240 0 2016 to 2021: 565 0 2016 to 2021: 680 0 2016 to 2021: 687 0 2016 to 2021: 470 0 2016 to 2021: 702 0 2016 to 2021: 950 0 2016 to 2021: 808 0 2016 to 2021: 297 0 2016 to 2021: -603 0 2016 to 2021: -626 0 2016 to 2021: 224 0 2016 to 2021: 671 0 2016 to 2021: 866 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 39 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -126 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -82 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 78 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 246 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 537 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 574 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 472 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 428 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 440 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 870 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 729 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 320 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -653 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -765 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 208 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 551 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 690
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.
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