The Hills Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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The Hills Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in The Hills Shire will increase by an average of 1,509 dwellings per annum to 82,569 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in The Hills Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
The Hills ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
The Hills Shire+30,180+57.6
Annangrove - Nelson - Maraylya+160+22.5
Baulkham Hills+2,943+22.9
Beaumont Hills+131+5.3
Bella Vista+130+5.5
Box Hill+6,742+2149.3
Castle Hill+3,613+30.5
Dural - Middle Dural+452+38.6
Glenhaven+143+6.7
Kellyville+11,724+133.0
Kenthurst+180+11.2
Rouse Hill+2,447+97.2
Rural North+182+12.7
West Pennant Hills+1,333+32.1

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 82,569 2035 Total dwellings: 80,785 2034 Total dwellings: 79,058 2033 Total dwellings: 77,363 2032 Total dwellings: 75,703 2031 Total dwellings: 74,068 2030 Total dwellings: 72,488 2029 Total dwellings: 70,946 2028 Total dwellings: 69,468 2027 Total dwellings: 68,017 2026 Total dwellings: 66,590 2025 Total dwellings: 65,172 2024 Total dwellings: 63,778 2023 Total dwellings: 62,364 2022 Total dwellings: 60,948 2021 Total dwellings: 59,553 2020 Total dwellings: 58,209 2019 Total dwellings: 56,878 2018 Total dwellings: 55,433 2017 Total dwellings: 53,827 2036 Total dwellings: 82,569 2035 Total dwellings: 80,785 2034 Total dwellings: 79,058 2033 Total dwellings: 77,363 2032 Total dwellings: 75,703 2031 Total dwellings: 74,068 2030 Total dwellings: 72,488 2029 Total dwellings: 70,946 2028 Total dwellings: 69,468 2027 Total dwellings: 68,017 2026 Total dwellings: 66,590 2025 Total dwellings: 65,172 2024 Total dwellings: 63,778 2023 Total dwellings: 62,364 2022 Total dwellings: 60,948 2021 Total dwellings: 59,553 2020 Total dwellings: 58,209 2019 Total dwellings: 56,878 2018 Total dwellings: 55,433 2017 Total dwellings: 53,827 2036 Forecast development: 1,784 2035 Forecast development: 1,727 2034 Forecast development: 1,695 2033 Forecast development: 1,660 2032 Forecast development: 1,635 2031 Forecast development: 1,580 2030 Forecast development: 1,542 2029 Forecast development: 1,478 2028 Forecast development: 1,451 2027 Forecast development: 1,427 2026 Forecast development: 1,418 2025 Forecast development: 1,394 2024 Forecast development: 1,414 2023 Forecast development: 1,416 2022 Forecast development: 1,395 2021 Forecast development: 1,344 2020 Forecast development: 1,331 2019 Forecast development: 1,445 2018 Forecast development: 1,606 2017 Forecast development: 1,438
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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