The Hills Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

The Hills Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2021, the age structure forecasts for The Hills Shire indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 24.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of The Hills Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
The Hills Shire - Total persons201620212036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 10,5386.511,4906.316,6656.6+6,128
5 to 9 12,6437.813,2137.218,2797.3+5,637
10 to 14 11,9777.414,3857.918,9157.5+6,937
15 to 19 11,5967.112,9527.117,7217.1+6,125
20 to 24 10,4596.411,1386.115,1656.0+4,706
25 to 29 8,4755.29,8585.413,4685.4+4,993
30 to 34 9,5095.910,6375.814,9356.0+5,426
35 to 39 11,5537.112,8587.017,6077.0+6,054
40 to 44 12,7947.913,8887.618,4997.4+5,705
45 to 49 12,0117.413,6757.517,7297.1+5,718
50 to 54 10,9316.712,0406.616,2096.5+5,279
55 to 59 9,9466.110,5035.814,3625.7+4,416
60 to 64 8,8525.49,4605.212,6625.0+3,811
65 to 69 8,0144.98,2824.510,6184.2+2,604
70 to 74 5,6543.57,3634.09,2313.7+3,576
75 to 79 3,4962.25,0252.87,7833.1+4,288
80 to 84 2,1451.32,8581.65,6902.3+3,545
85 and over1,9321.22,8811.65,4322.2+3,499
Total persons162,525100.0182,506100.0250,971100.0+88,447

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,432 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,690 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,783 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 9,231 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 10,618 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 12,662 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 14,362 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 16,209 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 17,729 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 18,499 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 17,607 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 14,935 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 13,468 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 15,165 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 17,721 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 18,915 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 18,279 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 16,665 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021: 2,881 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021: 2,858 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021: 5,025 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021: 7,363 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021: 8,282 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021: 9,460 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021: 10,503 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021: 12,040 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021: 13,675 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021: 13,888 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021: 12,858 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021: 10,637 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021: 9,858 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021: 11,138 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021: 12,952 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021: 14,385 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021: 13,213 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021: 11,490 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,932 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,496 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5,654 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,014 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 8,852 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 9,946 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 10,931 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 12,011 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 12,794 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 11,553 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 9,509 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 8,475 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 10,459 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 11,596 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 11,977 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 12,643 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,538
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2036: 2,551 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2036: 2,832 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2036: 2,758 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2036: 1,867 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2036: 2,337 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2036: 3,202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2036: 3,860 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2036: 4,169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2036: 4,054 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2036: 4,611 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2036: 4,749 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2036: 4,298 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2036: 3,609 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2036: 4,027 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2036: 4,769 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2036: 4,530 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2036: 5,067 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2036: 5,175 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 948 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 713 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 1,529 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 1,709 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 267 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 608 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 557 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 1,110 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 1,664 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,094 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,305 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,128 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,384 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 679 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,356 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 2,408 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 570 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 953
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in The Hills Shire was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2021 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14 , which is expected to increase by 2,408 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2021 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 14,385 persons.

v17.10.06-1.0.0