Tamworth Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Tamworth Region

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Tamworth Region will increase by an average of 346 dwellings per annum to 34,982 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Tamworth Region. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Tamworth RegionChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Tamworth Region+8,638+32.8
Barraba - Rural North+50+5.4
Calala (Residential)+1,112+84.0
Eastern Highlands+493+23.1
Hillvue+1,570+60.1
Manilla and District+174+10.8
Moore Creek - Daruka - Tintinhull - Hallsville+1,375+97.1
North Tamworth+1,857+79.6
Nundle - Rural South+75+10.9
Oxley Vale+283+18.7
South Tamworth+152+4.6
Tamworth CBD - East Tamworth+465+16.9
Warral - Kingswood - Nemingha - Calala (Rural)+157+16.1
West Tamworth (Central)+50+3.9
West Tamworth (Coledale)+269+22.3
Westdale - Taminda+379+37.9
Western Rural+177+13.8

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 34,982 2040 Total dwellings: 34,639 2039 Total dwellings: 34,297 2038 Total dwellings: 33,955 2037 Total dwellings: 33,611 2036 Total dwellings: 33,267 2035 Total dwellings: 32,926 2034 Total dwellings: 32,583 2033 Total dwellings: 32,237 2032 Total dwellings: 31,890 2031 Total dwellings: 31,549 2030 Total dwellings: 31,208 2029 Total dwellings: 30,867 2028 Total dwellings: 30,525 2027 Total dwellings: 30,181 2026 Total dwellings: 29,837 2025 Total dwellings: 29,495 2024 Total dwellings: 29,152 2023 Total dwellings: 28,809 2022 Total dwellings: 28,465 2021 Total dwellings: 28,121 2020 Total dwellings: 27,779 2019 Total dwellings: 27,431 2018 Total dwellings: 27,086 2017 Total dwellings: 26,743 2041 Total dwellings: 34,982 2040 Total dwellings: 34,639 2039 Total dwellings: 34,297 2038 Total dwellings: 33,955 2037 Total dwellings: 33,611 2036 Total dwellings: 33,267 2035 Total dwellings: 32,926 2034 Total dwellings: 32,583 2033 Total dwellings: 32,237 2032 Total dwellings: 31,890 2031 Total dwellings: 31,549 2030 Total dwellings: 31,208 2029 Total dwellings: 30,867 2028 Total dwellings: 30,525 2027 Total dwellings: 30,181 2026 Total dwellings: 29,837 2025 Total dwellings: 29,495 2024 Total dwellings: 29,152 2023 Total dwellings: 28,809 2022 Total dwellings: 28,465 2021 Total dwellings: 28,121 2020 Total dwellings: 27,779 2019 Total dwellings: 27,431 2018 Total dwellings: 27,086 2017 Total dwellings: 26,743 2041 Forecast development: 343 2040 Forecast development: 342 2039 Forecast development: 342 2038 Forecast development: 344 2037 Forecast development: 344 2036 Forecast development: 341 2035 Forecast development: 343 2034 Forecast development: 346 2033 Forecast development: 347 2032 Forecast development: 341 2031 Forecast development: 341 2030 Forecast development: 341 2029 Forecast development: 342 2028 Forecast development: 344 2027 Forecast development: 344 2026 Forecast development: 342 2025 Forecast development: 343 2024 Forecast development: 343 2023 Forecast development: 344 2022 Forecast development: 344 2021 Forecast development: 342 2020 Forecast development: 348 2019 Forecast development: 345 2018 Forecast development: 343 2017 Forecast development: 399
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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