City of SydneyPopulation forecast
Skip to content

City of Sydney

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Sydney is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Sydney depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • Gain of tertiary students and young adults in their late teens and early twenties
  • Loss of young and mature families (30-39 years and 0-9 years) seeking housing opportunities elsewhere
  • No significant gain or loss from migration in adult age groups 45+
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 638 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -216 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -422 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -503 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -264 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -272 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -951 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -3,308 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -6,088 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -6,184 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 9,139 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 21,787 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 13,537 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 313 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -2,632 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -5,394 0 2016 to 2021: 397 0 2016 to 2021: -157 0 2016 to 2021: -194 0 2016 to 2021: -344 0 2016 to 2021: -481 0 2016 to 2021: -470 0 2016 to 2021: -308 0 2016 to 2021: -188 0 2016 to 2021: -916 0 2016 to 2021: -2,711 0 2016 to 2021: -5,874 0 2016 to 2021: -6,061 0 2016 to 2021: 8,399 0 2016 to 2021: 20,237 0 2016 to 2021: 12,458 0 2016 to 2021: 445 0 2016 to 2021: -2,044 0 2016 to 2021: -4,876 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 135 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -256 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -246 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -311 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -499 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -475 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -288 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -193 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -614 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -2,220 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -4,154 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -5,513 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 7,936 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 19,482 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 11,482 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 450 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -1,256 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -4,136 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 638 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -115 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -216 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -422 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -503 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -264 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -272 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -951 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -3,308 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -6,088 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -6,184 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 9,139 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 21,787 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 13,537 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 313 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -2,632 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -5,394 0 2016 to 2021: 397 0 2016 to 2021: -157 0 2016 to 2021: -194 0 2016 to 2021: -344 0 2016 to 2021: -481 0 2016 to 2021: -470 0 2016 to 2021: -308 0 2016 to 2021: -188 0 2016 to 2021: -916 0 2016 to 2021: -2,711 0 2016 to 2021: -5,874 0 2016 to 2021: -6,061 0 2016 to 2021: 8,399 0 2016 to 2021: 20,237 0 2016 to 2021: 12,458 0 2016 to 2021: 445 0 2016 to 2021: -2,044 0 2016 to 2021: -4,876 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 135 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -256 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -246 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -311 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -499 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -475 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -288 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -193 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -614 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -2,220 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -4,154 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -5,513 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 7,936 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 19,482 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 11,482 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 450 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -1,256 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -4,136
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
v17.08.15-1.0.0