Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Surf Coast Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Surf Coast Shire is forecast to grow from 18,409 in 2016 to 24,132 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.60 to 2.54 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Surf Coast Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Surf Coast ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population30,44534,23037,94841,80145,717
Change in population (5yrs)--3,7853,7173,8543,916
Average annual change--2.37%2.08%1.95%1.81%
Households11,60813,09314,66016,23317,813
Average household size2.602.582.552.542.53
Population in non private dwellings294515550635695
Dwellings18,40920,29722,22424,13226,020
Dwelling occupancy rate63.0664.5165.9667.2768.46

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.53 2035 Average household size: 2.53 2034 Average household size: 2.53 2033 Average household size: 2.53 2032 Average household size: 2.53 2031 Average household size: 2.54 2030 Average household size: 2.54 2029 Average household size: 2.54 2028 Average household size: 2.54 2027 Average household size: 2.55 2026 Average household size: 2.55 2025 Average household size: 2.55 2024 Average household size: 2.56 2023 Average household size: 2.57 2022 Average household size: 2.57 2021 Average household size: 2.58 2020 Average household size: 2.58 2019 Average household size: 2.58 2018 Average household size: 2.59 2017 Average household size: 2.59 2016 Average household size: 2.60 2036 Average household size: 2.53 2035 Average household size: 2.53 2034 Average household size: 2.53 2033 Average household size: 2.53 2032 Average household size: 2.53 2031 Average household size: 2.54 2030 Average household size: 2.54 2029 Average household size: 2.54 2028 Average household size: 2.54 2027 Average household size: 2.55 2026 Average household size: 2.55 2025 Average household size: 2.55 2024 Average household size: 2.56 2023 Average household size: 2.57 2022 Average household size: 2.57 2021 Average household size: 2.58 2020 Average household size: 2.58 2019 Average household size: 2.58 2018 Average household size: 2.59 2017 Average household size: 2.59 2036 Households: 17,812 2035 Households: 17,490 2034 Households: 17,175 2033 Households: 16,861 2032 Households: 16,545 2031 Households: 16,234 2030 Households: 15,919 2029 Households: 15,605 2028 Households: 15,292 2027 Households: 14,973 2026 Households: 14,658 2025 Households: 14,342 2024 Households: 14,027 2023 Households: 13,715 2022 Households: 13,404 2021 Households: 13,092 2020 Households: 12,782 2019 Households: 12,472 2018 Households: 12,174 2017 Households: 11,891 2016 Households: 11,607 2036 Total population: 45,717 2035 Total population: 44,915 2034 Total population: 44,142 2033 Total population: 43,356 2032 Total population: 42,545 2031 Total population: 41,801 2030 Total population: 41,052 2029 Total population: 40,291 2028 Total population: 39,536 2027 Total population: 38,747 2026 Total population: 37,948 2025 Total population: 37,192 2024 Total population: 36,464 2023 Total population: 35,743 2022 Total population: 34,992 2021 Total population: 34,230 2020 Total population: 33,381 2019 Total population: 32,651 2018 Total population: 31,937 2017 Total population: 31,227 2016 Total population: 30,445
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Surf Coast Shire was estimated to be 30,445 people. It is expected to increase by over 11,300 people to 41,801 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 3.22%. This is based on an increase of over 4,600 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.60 to 2.54 by 2031.

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