Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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Surf Coast Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Surf Coast Shire indicate a 23.9% increase in population under working age, a 106.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 25.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Surf Coast Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Surf Coast Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,9007.12,2396.22,6696.1+768
5 to 9 1,9257.22,3756.52,8316.5+906
10 to 14 1,7756.72,3226.42,7616.3+986
15 to 19 1,6456.22,1085.82,4455.6+799
20 to 24 1,3405.01,7394.82,0364.7+696
25 to 29 1,2824.81,6684.61,9844.5+702
30 to 34 1,4295.41,9745.42,3225.3+893
35 to 39 2,0457.72,3906.62,8296.5+784
40 to 44 2,1258.02,4566.72,9426.7+818
45 to 49 1,9227.22,3426.42,8256.5+903
50 to 54 1,9427.32,3726.52,7196.2+777
55 to 59 1,8546.92,3836.62,6806.1+826
60 to 64 1,7326.52,2636.22,6716.1+939
65 to 69 1,2534.72,1635.92,5355.8+1,282
70 to 74 8773.31,9375.32,2935.2+1,417
75 to 79 6742.51,6104.42,0384.7+1,364
80 to 84 4691.81,0392.91,5953.6+1,126
85 and over4871.81,0012.81,5883.6+1,100
Total persons26,675100.036,381100.043,763100.0+17,088

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,588 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,595 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,038 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,293 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,535 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,671 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,680 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,719 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,825 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,942 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,829 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,322 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,984 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,036 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,445 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,761 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,831 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,669 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,001 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,039 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,610 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,937 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,163 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,263 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,383 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,372 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,342 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,456 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,390 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,974 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,668 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,739 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,108 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,322 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,375 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,239 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 487 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 469 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 674 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 877 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,253 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,732 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 1,854 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 1,942 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 1,922 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,125 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,045 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,429 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,282 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,340 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,645 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,775 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,925 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,900
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 587 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 556 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 428 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 357 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 372 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 408 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 297 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 483 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 487 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 439 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 317 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 297 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 439 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 456 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 514 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 571 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 936 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,060 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 909 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 532 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 529 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 420 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 345 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 545 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 386 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 463 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 547 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 450 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 339
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Surf Coast Shire was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 1,060 and account for 5.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 2,456 persons.

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