Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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Surf Coast Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Surf Coast Shire is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Surf Coast Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities focussed in Torquay North and Old Torquay-Torquay West which are expected to attract predominantly young families and older childless couples
  • Gain of young and mature families, older childless couples and retirees
  • Some loss of young adults (18-24 years) leaving home seeking employment and education opportunities elsewhere
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 22 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 49 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 78 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 103 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 184 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 104 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 561 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 566 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 255 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -122 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -199 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 293 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 351 0 2016 to 2021: 39 0 2016 to 2021: 28 0 2016 to 2021: 53 0 2016 to 2021: 43 0 2016 to 2021: 73 0 2016 to 2021: 95 0 2016 to 2021: 159 0 2016 to 2021: 141 0 2016 to 2021: 58 0 2016 to 2021: 165 0 2016 to 2021: 520 0 2016 to 2021: 520 0 2016 to 2021: 227 0 2016 to 2021: -94 0 2016 to 2021: -173 0 2016 to 2021: 50 0 2016 to 2021: 250 0 2016 to 2021: 317 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 30 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 34 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 55 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 53 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 85 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 90 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 127 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 107 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 61 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 50 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 387 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 414 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 175 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -124 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -163 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 34 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 180 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 197 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 22 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 49 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 78 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 103 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 184 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 133 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 104 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 561 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 566 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 255 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -122 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -199 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 293 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 351 0 2016 to 2021: 39 0 2016 to 2021: 28 0 2016 to 2021: 53 0 2016 to 2021: 43 0 2016 to 2021: 73 0 2016 to 2021: 95 0 2016 to 2021: 159 0 2016 to 2021: 141 0 2016 to 2021: 58 0 2016 to 2021: 165 0 2016 to 2021: 520 0 2016 to 2021: 520 0 2016 to 2021: 227 0 2016 to 2021: -94 0 2016 to 2021: -173 0 2016 to 2021: 50 0 2016 to 2021: 250 0 2016 to 2021: 317 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 30 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 34 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 55 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 53 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 85 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 90 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 127 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 107 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 61 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 50 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 387 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 414 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 175 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -124 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -163 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 34 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 180 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 197
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
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