Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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Surf Coast Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Surf Coast Shire is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,691 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Surf Coast ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,7271,8452,0432,2512,456
Deaths8831,0451,2341,4621,727
Natural increase/decrease845800810789729
Net migration1,7912,4702,6992,8182,901
Change in persons in non-private dwellings35221358560

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 758 2035 forecast population change: 735 2034 forecast population change: 731 2033 forecast population change: 763 2032 forecast population change: 702 2031 forecast population change: 716 2030 forecast population change: 719 2029 forecast population change: 726 2028 forecast population change: 757 2027 forecast population change: 774 2026 forecast population change: 714 2025 forecast population change: 699 2024 forecast population change: 709 2023 forecast population change: 710 2022 forecast population change: 712 2021 forecast population change: 795 2020 forecast population change: 700 2019 forecast population change: 656 2018 forecast population change: 638 2017 forecast population change: 702 2016 forecast population change: 536 2015 forecast population change: 509 2014 forecast population change: 380 2013 forecast population change: 549 2012 forecast population change: 697
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 142 2035 Natural increase: 143 2034 Natural increase: 145 2033 Natural increase: 147 2032 Natural increase: 151 2031 Natural increase: 155 2030 Natural increase: 157 2029 Natural increase: 158 2028 Natural increase: 159 2027 Natural increase: 161 2026 Natural increase: 161 2025 Natural increase: 162 2024 Natural increase: 162 2023 Natural increase: 162 2022 Natural increase: 162 2021 Natural increase: 162 2020 Natural increase: 160 2019 Natural increase: 159 2018 Natural increase: 159 2017 Natural increase: 160 2016 Natural increase: 161 2015 Natural increase: 161 2014 Natural increase: 165 2013 Natural increase: 169 2012 Natural increase: 189 2036 Total deaths: 366 2035 Total deaths: 356 2034 Total deaths: 346 2033 Total deaths: 335 2032 Total deaths: 324 2031 Total deaths: 312 2030 Total deaths: 302 2029 Total deaths: 293 2028 Total deaths: 283 2027 Total deaths: 273 2026 Total deaths: 264 2025 Total deaths: 255 2024 Total deaths: 246 2023 Total deaths: 239 2022 Total deaths: 230 2021 Total deaths: 222 2020 Total deaths: 216 2019 Total deaths: 209 2018 Total deaths: 203 2017 Total deaths: 195 2016 Total deaths: 190 2015 Total deaths: 185 2014 Total deaths: 181 2013 Total deaths: 174 2012 Total deaths: 152 2036 Total births: 508 2035 Total births: 499 2034 Total births: 491 2033 Total births: 483 2032 Total births: 475 2031 Total births: 467 2030 Total births: 459 2029 Total births: 450 2028 Total births: 442 2027 Total births: 433 2026 Total births: 425 2025 Total births: 417 2024 Total births: 409 2023 Total births: 401 2022 Total births: 392 2021 Total births: 384 2020 Total births: 376 2019 Total births: 368 2018 Total births: 362 2017 Total births: 355 2016 Total births: 351 2015 Total births: 346 2014 Total births: 346 2013 Total births: 343 2012 Total births: 341 2036 Natural increase: 142 2035 Natural increase: 143 2034 Natural increase: 145 2033 Natural increase: 147 2032 Natural increase: 151 2031 Natural increase: 155 2030 Natural increase: 157 2029 Natural increase: 158 2028 Natural increase: 159 2027 Natural increase: 161 2026 Natural increase: 161 2025 Natural increase: 162 2024 Natural increase: 162 2023 Natural increase: 162 2022 Natural increase: 162 2021 Natural increase: 162 2020 Natural increase: 160 2019 Natural increase: 159 2018 Natural increase: 159 2017 Natural increase: 160 2016 Natural increase: 161 2015 Natural increase: 161 2014 Natural increase: 165 2013 Natural increase: 169 2012 Natural increase: 189 2036 Total deaths: 366 2035 Total deaths: 356 2034 Total deaths: 346 2033 Total deaths: 335 2032 Total deaths: 324 2031 Total deaths: 312 2030 Total deaths: 302 2029 Total deaths: 293 2028 Total deaths: 283 2027 Total deaths: 273 2026 Total deaths: 264 2025 Total deaths: 255 2024 Total deaths: 246 2023 Total deaths: 239 2022 Total deaths: 230 2021 Total deaths: 222 2020 Total deaths: 216 2019 Total deaths: 209 2018 Total deaths: 203 2017 Total deaths: 195 2016 Total deaths: 190 2015 Total deaths: 185 2014 Total deaths: 181 2013 Total deaths: 174 2012 Total deaths: 152 2036 Total births: 508 2035 Total births: 499 2034 Total births: 491 2033 Total births: 483 2032 Total births: 475 2031 Total births: 467 2030 Total births: 459 2029 Total births: 450 2028 Total births: 442 2027 Total births: 433 2026 Total births: 425 2025 Total births: 417 2024 Total births: 409 2023 Total births: 401 2022 Total births: 392 2021 Total births: 384 2020 Total births: 376 2019 Total births: 368 2018 Total births: 362 2017 Total births: 355 2016 Total births: 351 2015 Total births: 346 2014 Total births: 346 2013 Total births: 343 2012 Total births: 341
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 616 2035 Total net migration: 592 2034 Total net migration: 577 2033 Total net migration: 566 2032 Total net migration: 551 2031 Total net migration: 561 2030 Total net migration: 563 2029 Total net migration: 558 2028 Total net migration: 573 2027 Total net migration: 563 2026 Total net migration: 553 2025 Total net migration: 538 2024 Total net migration: 537 2023 Total net migration: 523 2022 Total net migration: 549 2021 Total net migration: 537 2020 Total net migration: 540 2019 Total net migration: 487 2018 Total net migration: 455 2017 Total net migration: 452 2016 Total net migration: 375 2015 Total net migration: 348 2014 Total net migration: 205 2013 Total net migration: 356 2012 Total net migration: 508 2036 Total out migration: 3,329 2035 Total out migration: 3,273 2034 Total out migration: 3,215 2033 Total out migration: 3,159 2032 Total out migration: 3,105 2031 Total out migration: 3,051 2030 Total out migration: 2,996 2029 Total out migration: 2,941 2028 Total out migration: 2,885 2027 Total out migration: 2,829 2026 Total out migration: 2,774 2025 Total out migration: 2,722 2024 Total out migration: 2,670 2023 Total out migration: 2,617 2022 Total out migration: 2,563 2021 Total out migration: 2,511 2020 Total out migration: 2,460 2019 Total out migration: 2,411 2018 Total out migration: 2,369 2017 Total out migration: 2,328 2016 Total out migration: 2,294 2015 Total out migration: 2,264 2014 Total out migration: 2,253 2013 Total out migration: 2,221 2012 Total out migration: 2,200 2036 Total in migration: 3,945 2035 Total in migration: 3,865 2034 Total in migration: 3,791 2033 Total in migration: 3,725 2032 Total in migration: 3,657 2031 Total in migration: 3,612 2030 Total in migration: 3,559 2029 Total in migration: 3,499 2028 Total in migration: 3,458 2027 Total in migration: 3,393 2026 Total in migration: 3,327 2025 Total in migration: 3,259 2024 Total in migration: 3,206 2023 Total in migration: 3,141 2022 Total in migration: 3,112 2021 Total in migration: 3,048 2020 Total in migration: 3,000 2019 Total in migration: 2,898 2018 Total in migration: 2,824 2017 Total in migration: 2,779 2016 Total in migration: 2,669 2015 Total in migration: 2,612 2014 Total in migration: 2,458 2013 Total in migration: 2,577 2012 Total in migration: 2,708 2036 Total net migration: 616 2035 Total net migration: 592 2034 Total net migration: 577 2033 Total net migration: 566 2032 Total net migration: 551 2031 Total net migration: 561 2030 Total net migration: 563 2029 Total net migration: 558 2028 Total net migration: 573 2027 Total net migration: 563 2026 Total net migration: 553 2025 Total net migration: 538 2024 Total net migration: 537 2023 Total net migration: 523 2022 Total net migration: 549 2021 Total net migration: 537 2020 Total net migration: 540 2019 Total net migration: 487 2018 Total net migration: 455 2017 Total net migration: 452 2016 Total net migration: 375 2015 Total net migration: 348 2014 Total net migration: 205 2013 Total net migration: 356 2012 Total net migration: 508 2036 Total out migration: 3,329 2035 Total out migration: 3,273 2034 Total out migration: 3,215 2033 Total out migration: 3,159 2032 Total out migration: 3,105 2031 Total out migration: 3,051 2030 Total out migration: 2,996 2029 Total out migration: 2,941 2028 Total out migration: 2,885 2027 Total out migration: 2,829 2026 Total out migration: 2,774 2025 Total out migration: 2,722 2024 Total out migration: 2,670 2023 Total out migration: 2,617 2022 Total out migration: 2,563 2021 Total out migration: 2,511 2020 Total out migration: 2,460 2019 Total out migration: 2,411 2018 Total out migration: 2,369 2017 Total out migration: 2,328 2016 Total out migration: 2,294 2015 Total out migration: 2,264 2014 Total out migration: 2,253 2013 Total out migration: 2,221 2012 Total out migration: 2,200 2036 Total in migration: 3,945 2035 Total in migration: 3,865 2034 Total in migration: 3,791 2033 Total in migration: 3,725 2032 Total in migration: 3,657 2031 Total in migration: 3,612 2030 Total in migration: 3,559 2029 Total in migration: 3,499 2028 Total in migration: 3,458 2027 Total in migration: 3,393 2026 Total in migration: 3,327 2025 Total in migration: 3,259 2024 Total in migration: 3,206 2023 Total in migration: 3,141 2022 Total in migration: 3,112 2021 Total in migration: 3,048 2020 Total in migration: 3,000 2019 Total in migration: 2,898 2018 Total in migration: 2,824 2017 Total in migration: 2,779 2016 Total in migration: 2,669 2015 Total in migration: 2,612 2014 Total in migration: 2,458 2013 Total in migration: 2,577 2012 Total in migration: 2,708
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
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