Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Surf Coast Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Surf Coast Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,916 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Surf Coast ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,9692,1222,3412,568
Deaths--1,0361,2571,5191,806
Natural increase/decrease--934865821762
Net migration--2,6302,8172,9473,095
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--221358560

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 802 2035 forecast population change: 773 2034 forecast population change: 785 2033 forecast population change: 812 2032 forecast population change: 743 2031 forecast population change: 749 2030 forecast population change: 761 2029 forecast population change: 755 2028 forecast population change: 789 2027 forecast population change: 800 2026 forecast population change: 756 2025 forecast population change: 728 2024 forecast population change: 721 2023 forecast population change: 751 2022 forecast population change: 762 2021 forecast population change: 850 2020 forecast population change: 729 2019 forecast population change: 714 2018 forecast population change: 710 2017 forecast population change: 782
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 149 2035 Natural increase: 150 2034 Natural increase: 151 2033 Natural increase: 154 2032 Natural increase: 157 2031 Natural increase: 161 2030 Natural increase: 163 2029 Natural increase: 164 2028 Natural increase: 166 2027 Natural increase: 168 2026 Natural increase: 169 2025 Natural increase: 171 2024 Natural increase: 172 2023 Natural increase: 175 2022 Natural increase: 178 2021 Natural increase: 179 2020 Natural increase: 181 2019 Natural increase: 187 2018 Natural increase: 192 2017 Natural increase: 195 2036 Total deaths: 383 2035 Total deaths: 373 2034 Total deaths: 362 2033 Total deaths: 350 2032 Total deaths: 338 2031 Total deaths: 325 2030 Total deaths: 315 2029 Total deaths: 304 2028 Total deaths: 293 2027 Total deaths: 282 2026 Total deaths: 271 2025 Total deaths: 261 2024 Total deaths: 252 2023 Total deaths: 242 2022 Total deaths: 232 2021 Total deaths: 224 2020 Total deaths: 217 2019 Total deaths: 207 2018 Total deaths: 197 2017 Total deaths: 191 2036 Total births: 532 2035 Total births: 523 2034 Total births: 513 2033 Total births: 504 2032 Total births: 495 2031 Total births: 487 2030 Total births: 478 2029 Total births: 468 2028 Total births: 459 2027 Total births: 449 2026 Total births: 440 2025 Total births: 432 2024 Total births: 424 2023 Total births: 417 2022 Total births: 409 2021 Total births: 403 2020 Total births: 398 2019 Total births: 394 2018 Total births: 389 2017 Total births: 385 2036 Natural increase: 149 2035 Natural increase: 150 2034 Natural increase: 151 2033 Natural increase: 154 2032 Natural increase: 157 2031 Natural increase: 161 2030 Natural increase: 163 2029 Natural increase: 164 2028 Natural increase: 166 2027 Natural increase: 168 2026 Natural increase: 169 2025 Natural increase: 171 2024 Natural increase: 172 2023 Natural increase: 175 2022 Natural increase: 178 2021 Natural increase: 179 2020 Natural increase: 181 2019 Natural increase: 187 2018 Natural increase: 192 2017 Natural increase: 195 2036 Total deaths: 383 2035 Total deaths: 373 2034 Total deaths: 362 2033 Total deaths: 350 2032 Total deaths: 338 2031 Total deaths: 325 2030 Total deaths: 315 2029 Total deaths: 304 2028 Total deaths: 293 2027 Total deaths: 282 2026 Total deaths: 271 2025 Total deaths: 261 2024 Total deaths: 252 2023 Total deaths: 242 2022 Total deaths: 232 2021 Total deaths: 224 2020 Total deaths: 217 2019 Total deaths: 207 2018 Total deaths: 197 2017 Total deaths: 191 2036 Total births: 532 2035 Total births: 523 2034 Total births: 513 2033 Total births: 504 2032 Total births: 495 2031 Total births: 487 2030 Total births: 478 2029 Total births: 468 2028 Total births: 459 2027 Total births: 449 2026 Total births: 440 2025 Total births: 432 2024 Total births: 424 2023 Total births: 417 2022 Total births: 409 2021 Total births: 403 2020 Total births: 398 2019 Total births: 394 2018 Total births: 389 2017 Total births: 385
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 653 2035 Total net migration: 623 2034 Total net migration: 624 2033 Total net migration: 608 2032 Total net migration: 586 2031 Total net migration: 587 2030 Total net migration: 599 2029 Total net migration: 581 2028 Total net migration: 598 2027 Total net migration: 582 2026 Total net migration: 586 2025 Total net migration: 557 2024 Total net migration: 539 2023 Total net migration: 551 2022 Total net migration: 584 2021 Total net migration: 575 2020 Total net migration: 548 2019 Total net migration: 517 2018 Total net migration: 493 2017 Total net migration: 497 2036 Total out migration: 3,482 2035 Total out migration: 3,422 2034 Total out migration: 3,358 2033 Total out migration: 3,298 2032 Total out migration: 3,241 2031 Total out migration: 3,182 2030 Total out migration: 3,122 2029 Total out migration: 3,065 2028 Total out migration: 3,005 2027 Total out migration: 2,947 2026 Total out migration: 2,890 2025 Total out migration: 2,833 2024 Total out migration: 2,779 2023 Total out migration: 2,723 2022 Total out migration: 2,664 2021 Total out migration: 2,607 2020 Total out migration: 2,556 2019 Total out migration: 2,507 2018 Total out migration: 2,461 2017 Total out migration: 2,417 2036 Total in migration: 4,135 2035 Total in migration: 4,045 2034 Total in migration: 3,983 2033 Total in migration: 3,906 2032 Total in migration: 3,827 2031 Total in migration: 3,770 2030 Total in migration: 3,721 2029 Total in migration: 3,646 2028 Total in migration: 3,603 2027 Total in migration: 3,529 2026 Total in migration: 3,476 2025 Total in migration: 3,390 2024 Total in migration: 3,318 2023 Total in migration: 3,274 2022 Total in migration: 3,248 2021 Total in migration: 3,182 2020 Total in migration: 3,104 2019 Total in migration: 3,024 2018 Total in migration: 2,954 2017 Total in migration: 2,914 2036 Total net migration: 653 2035 Total net migration: 623 2034 Total net migration: 624 2033 Total net migration: 608 2032 Total net migration: 586 2031 Total net migration: 587 2030 Total net migration: 599 2029 Total net migration: 581 2028 Total net migration: 598 2027 Total net migration: 582 2026 Total net migration: 586 2025 Total net migration: 557 2024 Total net migration: 539 2023 Total net migration: 551 2022 Total net migration: 584 2021 Total net migration: 575 2020 Total net migration: 548 2019 Total net migration: 517 2018 Total net migration: 493 2017 Total net migration: 497 2036 Total out migration: 3,482 2035 Total out migration: 3,422 2034 Total out migration: 3,358 2033 Total out migration: 3,298 2032 Total out migration: 3,241 2031 Total out migration: 3,182 2030 Total out migration: 3,122 2029 Total out migration: 3,065 2028 Total out migration: 3,005 2027 Total out migration: 2,947 2026 Total out migration: 2,890 2025 Total out migration: 2,833 2024 Total out migration: 2,779 2023 Total out migration: 2,723 2022 Total out migration: 2,664 2021 Total out migration: 2,607 2020 Total out migration: 2,556 2019 Total out migration: 2,507 2018 Total out migration: 2,461 2017 Total out migration: 2,417 2036 Total in migration: 4,135 2035 Total in migration: 4,045 2034 Total in migration: 3,983 2033 Total in migration: 3,906 2032 Total in migration: 3,827 2031 Total in migration: 3,770 2030 Total in migration: 3,721 2029 Total in migration: 3,646 2028 Total in migration: 3,603 2027 Total in migration: 3,529 2026 Total in migration: 3,476 2025 Total in migration: 3,390 2024 Total in migration: 3,318 2023 Total in migration: 3,274 2022 Total in migration: 3,248 2021 Total in migration: 3,182 2020 Total in migration: 3,104 2019 Total in migration: 3,024 2018 Total in migration: 2,954 2017 Total in migration: 2,914
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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