Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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Surf Coast Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Surf Coast Shire is forecast to grow from 16,748 in 2011 to 22,218 in 2026, with the average household size falling from 2.58 to 2.48 by 2026.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Surf Coast Shire. The period 2011 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Surf Coast ShireForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population26,67529,34632,83736,38140,07343,763
Change in population (5yrs)--2,6713,4913,5443,6923,690
Average annual change--1.93%2.27%2.07%1.95%1.78%
Households10,22911,44612,90814,44615,99917,552
Average household size2.582.542.512.482.472.45
Population in non private dwellings238273494529614674
Dwellings16,74818,40320,29122,21824,12626,014
Dwelling occupancy rate61.0862.2063.6165.0266.3167.47

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.46 2035 Average household size: 2.46 2034 Average household size: 2.46 2033 Average household size: 2.46 2032 Average household size: 2.46 2031 Average household size: 2.47 2030 Average household size: 2.47 2029 Average household size: 2.47 2028 Average household size: 2.48 2027 Average household size: 2.48 2026 Average household size: 2.48 2025 Average household size: 2.49 2024 Average household size: 2.49 2023 Average household size: 2.50 2022 Average household size: 2.50 2021 Average household size: 2.51 2020 Average household size: 2.51 2019 Average household size: 2.52 2018 Average household size: 2.52 2017 Average household size: 2.53 2016 Average household size: 2.54 2015 Average household size: 2.55 2014 Average household size: 2.56 2013 Average household size: 2.56 2012 Average household size: 2.57 2011 Average household size: 2.58 2036 Average household size: 2.46 2035 Average household size: 2.46 2034 Average household size: 2.46 2033 Average household size: 2.46 2032 Average household size: 2.46 2031 Average household size: 2.47 2030 Average household size: 2.47 2029 Average household size: 2.47 2028 Average household size: 2.48 2027 Average household size: 2.48 2026 Average household size: 2.48 2025 Average household size: 2.49 2024 Average household size: 2.49 2023 Average household size: 2.50 2022 Average household size: 2.50 2021 Average household size: 2.51 2020 Average household size: 2.51 2019 Average household size: 2.52 2018 Average household size: 2.52 2017 Average household size: 2.53 2016 Average household size: 2.54 2015 Average household size: 2.55 2014 Average household size: 2.56 2013 Average household size: 2.56 2012 Average household size: 2.57 2036 Households: 17,549 2035 Households: 17,233 2034 Households: 16,923 2033 Households: 16,614 2032 Households: 16,305 2031 Households: 15,999 2030 Households: 15,690 2029 Households: 15,381 2028 Households: 15,072 2027 Households: 14,757 2026 Households: 14,447 2025 Households: 14,135 2024 Households: 13,825 2023 Households: 13,518 2022 Households: 13,211 2021 Households: 12,905 2020 Households: 12,601 2019 Households: 12,296 2018 Households: 12,003 2017 Households: 11,724 2016 Households: 11,446 2015 Households: 11,201 2014 Households: 10,968 2013 Households: 10,783 2012 Households: 10,545 2011 Households: 10,229 2036 Total population: 43,763 2035 Total population: 43,005 2034 Total population: 42,269 2033 Total population: 41,538 2032 Total population: 40,775 2031 Total population: 40,073 2030 Total population: 39,357 2029 Total population: 38,638 2028 Total population: 37,912 2027 Total population: 37,155 2026 Total population: 36,381 2025 Total population: 35,667 2024 Total population: 34,968 2023 Total population: 34,259 2022 Total population: 33,548 2021 Total population: 32,837 2020 Total population: 32,042 2019 Total population: 31,342 2018 Total population: 30,686 2017 Total population: 30,048 2016 Total population: 29,346 2015 Total population: 28,810 2014 Total population: 28,301 2013 Total population: 27,921 2012 Total population: 27,372 2011 Total population: 26,675
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of Surf Coast Shire was estimated to be 26,675 people. It is expected to increase by over 9,700 people to 36,381 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.09%. This is based on an increase of over 4,200 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.58 to 2.48 by 2026.

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