South West GroupPopulation forecast
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South West Group

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South West Group is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across South West Group depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Significant gain of families with young children (0-9 years), attracted to relatively affordable home owning opportunities in the outer south in particular
  • Significant gain of young adults, particularly in the Cities of Fremantle and Cockburn, attracted to lifestyle, employment and education facilities
  • Gain of families with older children (10-18 years), particularly in more established parts of the SW Group
  • Modest loss of older persons (65 years and over).
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -51 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -278 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -260 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -374 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 226 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -82 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,057 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 2,696 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 3,303 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 3,787 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,578 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,424 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,661 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,166 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,063 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 2,451 0 2016 to 2021: -38 0 2016 to 2021: -131 0 2016 to 2021: 7 0 2016 to 2021: -98 0 2016 to 2021: -43 0 2016 to 2021: 358 0 2016 to 2021: 620 0 2016 to 2021: 727 0 2016 to 2021: 1,763 0 2016 to 2021: 4,245 0 2016 to 2021: 5,099 0 2016 to 2021: 5,293 0 2016 to 2021: 5,474 0 2016 to 2021: 6,064 0 2016 to 2021: 4,798 0 2016 to 2021: 2,606 0 2016 to 2021: 2,960 0 2016 to 2021: 4,034 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -67 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -131 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 2 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 26 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -119 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 328 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 615 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 738 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 1,869 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 3,656 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 5,602 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 5,090 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 4,232 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 4,435 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 4,287 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 3,157 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 3,590 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 4,422 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -51 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -278 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -260 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -374 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 226 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -82 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,057 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 2,696 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 3,303 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 3,787 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,578 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,424 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,661 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,166 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,063 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 2,451 0 2016 to 2021: -38 0 2016 to 2021: -131 0 2016 to 2021: 7 0 2016 to 2021: -98 0 2016 to 2021: -43 0 2016 to 2021: 358 0 2016 to 2021: 620 0 2016 to 2021: 727 0 2016 to 2021: 1,763 0 2016 to 2021: 4,245 0 2016 to 2021: 5,099 0 2016 to 2021: 5,293 0 2016 to 2021: 5,474 0 2016 to 2021: 6,064 0 2016 to 2021: 4,798 0 2016 to 2021: 2,606 0 2016 to 2021: 2,960 0 2016 to 2021: 4,034 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -67 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -131 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 2 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 26 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -119 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 328 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 615 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 738 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 1,869 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 3,656 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 5,602 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 5,090 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 4,232 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 4,435 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 4,287 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 3,157 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 3,590 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 4,422
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2017.
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