South West GroupPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South West Group

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South West Group is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 68,099 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South West GroupForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--34,72438,36841,14543,545
Deaths--13,07214,37616,05117,797
Natural increase/decrease--21,65223,99225,09425,748
Net migration--45,89330,00221,06211,222
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--555606471158

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 6,841 2035 forecast population change: 7,125 2034 forecast population change: 7,409 2033 forecast population change: 7,738 2032 forecast population change: 8,013 2031 forecast population change: 8,449 2030 forecast population change: 8,816 2029 forecast population change: 9,192 2028 forecast population change: 9,790 2027 forecast population change: 10,380 2026 forecast population change: 10,471 2025 forecast population change: 10,257 2024 forecast population change: 10,639 2023 forecast population change: 11,155 2022 forecast population change: 12,078 2021 forecast population change: 12,771 2020 forecast population change: 13,289 2019 forecast population change: 14,059 2018 forecast population change: 13,924 2017 forecast population change: 14,058
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 5,165 2035 Natural increase: 5,162 2034 Natural increase: 5,157 2033 Natural increase: 5,142 2032 Natural increase: 5,122 2031 Natural increase: 5,094 2030 Natural increase: 5,060 2029 Natural increase: 5,020 2028 Natural increase: 4,982 2027 Natural increase: 4,936 2026 Natural increase: 4,889 2025 Natural increase: 4,852 2024 Natural increase: 4,808 2023 Natural increase: 4,756 2022 Natural increase: 4,687 2021 Natural increase: 4,600 2020 Natural increase: 4,491 2019 Natural increase: 4,357 2018 Natural increase: 4,198 2017 Natural increase: 4,006 2036 Total deaths: 3,701 2035 Total deaths: 3,633 2034 Total deaths: 3,559 2033 Total deaths: 3,486 2032 Total deaths: 3,418 2031 Total deaths: 3,351 2030 Total deaths: 3,280 2029 Total deaths: 3,212 2028 Total deaths: 3,139 2027 Total deaths: 3,070 2026 Total deaths: 3,003 2025 Total deaths: 2,936 2024 Total deaths: 2,872 2023 Total deaths: 2,812 2022 Total deaths: 2,753 2021 Total deaths: 2,698 2020 Total deaths: 2,649 2019 Total deaths: 2,602 2018 Total deaths: 2,567 2017 Total deaths: 2,555 2036 Total births: 8,866 2035 Total births: 8,794 2034 Total births: 8,716 2033 Total births: 8,629 2032 Total births: 8,540 2031 Total births: 8,445 2030 Total births: 8,341 2029 Total births: 8,232 2028 Total births: 8,122 2027 Total births: 8,006 2026 Total births: 7,891 2025 Total births: 7,788 2024 Total births: 7,680 2023 Total births: 7,567 2022 Total births: 7,441 2021 Total births: 7,298 2020 Total births: 7,141 2019 Total births: 6,959 2018 Total births: 6,765 2017 Total births: 6,561 2036 Natural increase: 5,165 2035 Natural increase: 5,162 2034 Natural increase: 5,157 2033 Natural increase: 5,142 2032 Natural increase: 5,122 2031 Natural increase: 5,094 2030 Natural increase: 5,060 2029 Natural increase: 5,020 2028 Natural increase: 4,982 2027 Natural increase: 4,936 2026 Natural increase: 4,889 2025 Natural increase: 4,852 2024 Natural increase: 4,808 2023 Natural increase: 4,756 2022 Natural increase: 4,687 2021 Natural increase: 4,600 2020 Natural increase: 4,491 2019 Natural increase: 4,357 2018 Natural increase: 4,198 2017 Natural increase: 4,006 2036 Total deaths: 3,701 2035 Total deaths: 3,633 2034 Total deaths: 3,559 2033 Total deaths: 3,486 2032 Total deaths: 3,418 2031 Total deaths: 3,351 2030 Total deaths: 3,280 2029 Total deaths: 3,212 2028 Total deaths: 3,139 2027 Total deaths: 3,070 2026 Total deaths: 3,003 2025 Total deaths: 2,936 2024 Total deaths: 2,872 2023 Total deaths: 2,812 2022 Total deaths: 2,753 2021 Total deaths: 2,698 2020 Total deaths: 2,649 2019 Total deaths: 2,602 2018 Total deaths: 2,567 2017 Total deaths: 2,555 2036 Total births: 8,866 2035 Total births: 8,794 2034 Total births: 8,716 2033 Total births: 8,629 2032 Total births: 8,540 2031 Total births: 8,445 2030 Total births: 8,341 2029 Total births: 8,232 2028 Total births: 8,122 2027 Total births: 8,006 2026 Total births: 7,891 2025 Total births: 7,788 2024 Total births: 7,680 2023 Total births: 7,567 2022 Total births: 7,441 2021 Total births: 7,298 2020 Total births: 7,141 2019 Total births: 6,959 2018 Total births: 6,765 2017 Total births: 6,561
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,670 2035 Total net migration: 1,930 2034 Total net migration: 2,247 2033 Total net migration: 2,590 2032 Total net migration: 2,785 2031 Total net migration: 3,136 2030 Total net migration: 3,721 2029 Total net migration: 4,165 2028 Total net migration: 4,802 2027 Total net migration: 5,237 2026 Total net migration: 5,308 2025 Total net migration: 5,371 2024 Total net migration: 5,825 2023 Total net migration: 6,393 2022 Total net migration: 7,104 2021 Total net migration: 7,887 2020 Total net migration: 8,735 2019 Total net migration: 9,696 2018 Total net migration: 9,720 2017 Total net migration: 9,854 2036 Total out migration: 64,265 2035 Total out migration: 63,609 2034 Total out migration: 62,927 2033 Total out migration: 62,223 2032 Total out migration: 61,553 2031 Total out migration: 60,800 2030 Total out migration: 59,986 2029 Total out migration: 59,145 2028 Total out migration: 58,239 2027 Total out migration: 57,314 2026 Total out migration: 56,373 2025 Total out migration: 55,441 2024 Total out migration: 54,490 2023 Total out migration: 53,474 2022 Total out migration: 52,369 2021 Total out migration: 51,141 2020 Total out migration: 49,840 2019 Total out migration: 48,473 2018 Total out migration: 47,129 2017 Total out migration: 45,619 2036 Total in migration: 65,935 2035 Total in migration: 65,539 2034 Total in migration: 65,174 2033 Total in migration: 64,813 2032 Total in migration: 64,338 2031 Total in migration: 63,936 2030 Total in migration: 63,707 2029 Total in migration: 63,310 2028 Total in migration: 63,041 2027 Total in migration: 62,551 2026 Total in migration: 61,682 2025 Total in migration: 60,812 2024 Total in migration: 60,316 2023 Total in migration: 59,867 2022 Total in migration: 59,473 2021 Total in migration: 59,028 2020 Total in migration: 58,575 2019 Total in migration: 58,169 2018 Total in migration: 56,849 2017 Total in migration: 55,474 2036 Total net migration: 1,670 2035 Total net migration: 1,930 2034 Total net migration: 2,247 2033 Total net migration: 2,590 2032 Total net migration: 2,785 2031 Total net migration: 3,136 2030 Total net migration: 3,721 2029 Total net migration: 4,165 2028 Total net migration: 4,802 2027 Total net migration: 5,237 2026 Total net migration: 5,308 2025 Total net migration: 5,371 2024 Total net migration: 5,825 2023 Total net migration: 6,393 2022 Total net migration: 7,104 2021 Total net migration: 7,887 2020 Total net migration: 8,735 2019 Total net migration: 9,696 2018 Total net migration: 9,720 2017 Total net migration: 9,854 2036 Total out migration: 64,265 2035 Total out migration: 63,609 2034 Total out migration: 62,927 2033 Total out migration: 62,223 2032 Total out migration: 61,553 2031 Total out migration: 60,800 2030 Total out migration: 59,986 2029 Total out migration: 59,145 2028 Total out migration: 58,239 2027 Total out migration: 57,314 2026 Total out migration: 56,373 2025 Total out migration: 55,441 2024 Total out migration: 54,490 2023 Total out migration: 53,474 2022 Total out migration: 52,369 2021 Total out migration: 51,141 2020 Total out migration: 49,840 2019 Total out migration: 48,473 2018 Total out migration: 47,129 2017 Total out migration: 45,619 2036 Total in migration: 65,935 2035 Total in migration: 65,539 2034 Total in migration: 65,174 2033 Total in migration: 64,813 2032 Total in migration: 64,338 2031 Total in migration: 63,936 2030 Total in migration: 63,707 2029 Total in migration: 63,310 2028 Total in migration: 63,041 2027 Total in migration: 62,551 2026 Total in migration: 61,682 2025 Total in migration: 60,812 2024 Total in migration: 60,316 2023 Total in migration: 59,867 2022 Total in migration: 59,473 2021 Total in migration: 59,028 2020 Total in migration: 58,575 2019 Total in migration: 58,169 2018 Total in migration: 56,849 2017 Total in migration: 55,474
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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