South West GroupPopulation forecast
Skip to content

South West Group

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South West Group is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 66,007 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South West GroupForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births28,73334,83038,97241,76244,075
Deaths11,30513,11614,61216,23717,970
Natural increase/decrease17,42821,71524,35925,52526,105
Net migration41,73143,73828,04219,41210,438
Change in persons in non-private dwellings697555606471158

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 6,744 2035 forecast population change: 7,070 2034 forecast population change: 7,301 2033 forecast population change: 7,632 2032 forecast population change: 7,954 2031 forecast population change: 8,306 2030 forecast population change: 8,597 2029 forecast population change: 8,933 2028 forecast population change: 9,553 2027 forecast population change: 10,019 2026 forecast population change: 10,155 2025 forecast population change: 9,973 2024 forecast population change: 10,331 2023 forecast population change: 10,804 2022 forecast population change: 11,745 2021 forecast population change: 12,379 2020 forecast population change: 12,801 2019 forecast population change: 13,546 2018 forecast population change: 13,519 2017 forecast population change: 13,763 2016 forecast population change: 15,063 2015 forecast population change: 14,225 2014 forecast population change: 11,532 2013 forecast population change: 10,064 2012 forecast population change: 8,972
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 5,228 2035 Natural increase: 5,228 2034 Natural increase: 5,228 2033 Natural increase: 5,219 2032 Natural increase: 5,201 2031 Natural increase: 5,176 2030 Natural increase: 5,144 2029 Natural increase: 5,107 2028 Natural increase: 5,070 2027 Natural increase: 5,028 2026 Natural increase: 4,979 2025 Natural increase: 4,937 2024 Natural increase: 4,883 2023 Natural increase: 4,822 2022 Natural increase: 4,738 2021 Natural increase: 4,634 2020 Natural increase: 4,511 2019 Natural increase: 4,364 2018 Natural increase: 4,193 2017 Natural increase: 4,013 2016 Natural increase: 3,801 2015 Natural increase: 3,621 2014 Natural increase: 3,459 2013 Natural increase: 3,338 2012 Natural increase: 3,209 2036 Total births: 8,966 2035 Total births: 8,896 2034 Total births: 8,822 2033 Total births: 8,739 2032 Total births: 8,652 2031 Total births: 8,559 2030 Total births: 8,459 2029 Total births: 8,356 2028 Total births: 8,249 2027 Total births: 8,139 2026 Total births: 8,027 2025 Total births: 7,920 2024 Total births: 7,805 2023 Total births: 7,682 2022 Total births: 7,538 2021 Total births: 7,377 2020 Total births: 7,196 2019 Total births: 6,987 2018 Total births: 6,756 2017 Total births: 6,515 2016 Total births: 6,235 2015 Total births: 5,991 2014 Total births: 5,706 2013 Total births: 5,578 2012 Total births: 5,223 2036 Total deaths: 3,738 2035 Total deaths: 3,668 2034 Total deaths: 3,594 2033 Total deaths: 3,520 2032 Total deaths: 3,450 2031 Total deaths: 3,383 2030 Total deaths: 3,315 2029 Total deaths: 3,249 2028 Total deaths: 3,179 2027 Total deaths: 3,111 2026 Total deaths: 3,048 2025 Total deaths: 2,983 2024 Total deaths: 2,921 2023 Total deaths: 2,860 2022 Total deaths: 2,800 2021 Total deaths: 2,743 2020 Total deaths: 2,685 2019 Total deaths: 2,623 2018 Total deaths: 2,562 2017 Total deaths: 2,502 2016 Total deaths: 2,433 2015 Total deaths: 2,370 2014 Total deaths: 2,247 2013 Total deaths: 2,240 2012 Total deaths: 2,015 2036 Natural increase: 5,228 2035 Natural increase: 5,228 2034 Natural increase: 5,228 2033 Natural increase: 5,219 2032 Natural increase: 5,201 2031 Natural increase: 5,176 2030 Natural increase: 5,144 2029 Natural increase: 5,107 2028 Natural increase: 5,070 2027 Natural increase: 5,028 2026 Natural increase: 4,979 2025 Natural increase: 4,937 2024 Natural increase: 4,883 2023 Natural increase: 4,822 2022 Natural increase: 4,738 2021 Natural increase: 4,634 2020 Natural increase: 4,511 2019 Natural increase: 4,364 2018 Natural increase: 4,193 2017 Natural increase: 4,013 2016 Natural increase: 3,801 2015 Natural increase: 3,621 2014 Natural increase: 3,459 2013 Natural increase: 3,338 2012 Natural increase: 3,209 2036 Total births: 8,966 2035 Total births: 8,896 2034 Total births: 8,822 2033 Total births: 8,739 2032 Total births: 8,652 2031 Total births: 8,559 2030 Total births: 8,459 2029 Total births: 8,356 2028 Total births: 8,249 2027 Total births: 8,139 2026 Total births: 8,027 2025 Total births: 7,920 2024 Total births: 7,805 2023 Total births: 7,682 2022 Total births: 7,538 2021 Total births: 7,377 2020 Total births: 7,196 2019 Total births: 6,987 2018 Total births: 6,756 2017 Total births: 6,515 2016 Total births: 6,235 2015 Total births: 5,991 2014 Total births: 5,706 2013 Total births: 5,578 2012 Total births: 5,223 2036 Total deaths: 3,738 2035 Total deaths: 3,668 2034 Total deaths: 3,594 2033 Total deaths: 3,520 2032 Total deaths: 3,450 2031 Total deaths: 3,383 2030 Total deaths: 3,315 2029 Total deaths: 3,249 2028 Total deaths: 3,179 2027 Total deaths: 3,111 2026 Total deaths: 3,048 2025 Total deaths: 2,983 2024 Total deaths: 2,921 2023 Total deaths: 2,860 2022 Total deaths: 2,800 2021 Total deaths: 2,743 2020 Total deaths: 2,685 2019 Total deaths: 2,623 2018 Total deaths: 2,562 2017 Total deaths: 2,502 2016 Total deaths: 2,433 2015 Total deaths: 2,370 2014 Total deaths: 2,247 2013 Total deaths: 2,240 2012 Total deaths: 2,015
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,510 2035 Total net migration: 1,807 2034 Total net migration: 2,067 2033 Total net migration: 2,407 2032 Total net migration: 2,647 2031 Total net migration: 2,911 2030 Total net migration: 3,419 2029 Total net migration: 3,821 2028 Total net migration: 4,476 2027 Total net migration: 4,785 2026 Total net migration: 4,902 2025 Total net migration: 5,002 2024 Total net migration: 5,441 2023 Total net migration: 5,976 2022 Total net migration: 6,721 2021 Total net migration: 7,461 2020 Total net migration: 8,228 2019 Total net migration: 9,176 2018 Total net migration: 9,320 2017 Total net migration: 9,554 2016 Total net migration: 10,979 2015 Total net migration: 10,429 2014 Total net migration: 7,938 2013 Total net migration: 6,627 2012 Total net migration: 5,758 2036 Total out migration: 65,098 2035 Total out migration: 64,443 2034 Total out migration: 63,774 2033 Total out migration: 63,080 2032 Total out migration: 62,410 2031 Total out migration: 61,673 2030 Total out migration: 60,888 2029 Total out migration: 60,085 2028 Total out migration: 59,220 2027 Total out migration: 58,347 2026 Total out migration: 57,463 2025 Total out migration: 56,579 2024 Total out migration: 55,671 2023 Total out migration: 54,708 2022 Total out migration: 53,645 2021 Total out migration: 52,473 2020 Total out migration: 51,242 2019 Total out migration: 49,935 2018 Total out migration: 48,623 2017 Total out migration: 47,203 2016 Total out migration: 45,723 2015 Total out migration: 44,334 2014 Total out migration: 43,297 2013 Total out migration: 42,262 2012 Total out migration: 42,915 2036 Total in migration: 66,608 2035 Total in migration: 66,251 2034 Total in migration: 65,841 2033 Total in migration: 65,487 2032 Total in migration: 65,057 2031 Total in migration: 64,584 2030 Total in migration: 64,307 2029 Total in migration: 63,906 2028 Total in migration: 63,696 2027 Total in migration: 63,132 2026 Total in migration: 62,364 2025 Total in migration: 61,581 2024 Total in migration: 61,112 2023 Total in migration: 60,684 2022 Total in migration: 60,366 2021 Total in migration: 59,933 2020 Total in migration: 59,470 2019 Total in migration: 59,111 2018 Total in migration: 57,943 2017 Total in migration: 56,757 2016 Total in migration: 56,702 2015 Total in migration: 54,764 2014 Total in migration: 51,235 2013 Total in migration: 48,889 2012 Total in migration: 48,673 2036 Total net migration: 1,510 2035 Total net migration: 1,807 2034 Total net migration: 2,067 2033 Total net migration: 2,407 2032 Total net migration: 2,647 2031 Total net migration: 2,911 2030 Total net migration: 3,419 2029 Total net migration: 3,821 2028 Total net migration: 4,476 2027 Total net migration: 4,785 2026 Total net migration: 4,902 2025 Total net migration: 5,002 2024 Total net migration: 5,441 2023 Total net migration: 5,976 2022 Total net migration: 6,721 2021 Total net migration: 7,461 2020 Total net migration: 8,228 2019 Total net migration: 9,176 2018 Total net migration: 9,320 2017 Total net migration: 9,554 2016 Total net migration: 10,979 2015 Total net migration: 10,429 2014 Total net migration: 7,938 2013 Total net migration: 6,627 2012 Total net migration: 5,758 2036 Total out migration: 65,098 2035 Total out migration: 64,443 2034 Total out migration: 63,774 2033 Total out migration: 63,080 2032 Total out migration: 62,410 2031 Total out migration: 61,673 2030 Total out migration: 60,888 2029 Total out migration: 60,085 2028 Total out migration: 59,220 2027 Total out migration: 58,347 2026 Total out migration: 57,463 2025 Total out migration: 56,579 2024 Total out migration: 55,671 2023 Total out migration: 54,708 2022 Total out migration: 53,645 2021 Total out migration: 52,473 2020 Total out migration: 51,242 2019 Total out migration: 49,935 2018 Total out migration: 48,623 2017 Total out migration: 47,203 2016 Total out migration: 45,723 2015 Total out migration: 44,334 2014 Total out migration: 43,297 2013 Total out migration: 42,262 2012 Total out migration: 42,915 2036 Total in migration: 66,608 2035 Total in migration: 66,251 2034 Total in migration: 65,841 2033 Total in migration: 65,487 2032 Total in migration: 65,057 2031 Total in migration: 64,584 2030 Total in migration: 64,307 2029 Total in migration: 63,906 2028 Total in migration: 63,696 2027 Total in migration: 63,132 2026 Total in migration: 62,364 2025 Total in migration: 61,581 2024 Total in migration: 61,112 2023 Total in migration: 60,684 2022 Total in migration: 60,366 2021 Total in migration: 59,933 2020 Total in migration: 59,470 2019 Total in migration: 59,111 2018 Total in migration: 57,943 2017 Total in migration: 56,757 2016 Total in migration: 56,702 2015 Total in migration: 54,764 2014 Total in migration: 51,235 2013 Total in migration: 48,889 2012 Total in migration: 48,673
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2017.
v17.08.15-1.0.0