South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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South Gippsland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in South Gippsland Shire will increase by an average of 190 dwellings per annum to 19,959 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in South Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
South Gippsland ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
South Gippsland Shire+4,747+31.2
Korumburra+1,204+64.1
Leongatha+1,251+51.6
Mirboo North - Baromi+194+20.5
Nyora - Poowong and District+809+73.2
Rural North East+75+5.4
Rural West+156+15.5
South East Coastal District+600+15.4
South West Coastal District+458+17.9

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 19,959 2035 Total dwellings: 19,753 2034 Total dwellings: 19,547 2033 Total dwellings: 19,340 2032 Total dwellings: 19,133 2031 Total dwellings: 18,926 2030 Total dwellings: 18,720 2029 Total dwellings: 18,516 2028 Total dwellings: 18,312 2027 Total dwellings: 18,108 2026 Total dwellings: 17,906 2025 Total dwellings: 17,703 2024 Total dwellings: 17,505 2023 Total dwellings: 17,309 2022 Total dwellings: 17,112 2021 Total dwellings: 16,916 2020 Total dwellings: 16,726 2019 Total dwellings: 16,535 2018 Total dwellings: 16,355 2017 Total dwellings: 16,180 2016 Total dwellings: 16,016 2015 Total dwellings: 15,857 2014 Total dwellings: 15,707 2013 Total dwellings: 15,572 2012 Total dwellings: 15,390 2036 Total dwellings: 19,959 2035 Total dwellings: 19,753 2034 Total dwellings: 19,547 2033 Total dwellings: 19,340 2032 Total dwellings: 19,133 2031 Total dwellings: 18,926 2030 Total dwellings: 18,720 2029 Total dwellings: 18,516 2028 Total dwellings: 18,312 2027 Total dwellings: 18,108 2026 Total dwellings: 17,906 2025 Total dwellings: 17,703 2024 Total dwellings: 17,505 2023 Total dwellings: 17,309 2022 Total dwellings: 17,112 2021 Total dwellings: 16,916 2020 Total dwellings: 16,726 2019 Total dwellings: 16,535 2018 Total dwellings: 16,355 2017 Total dwellings: 16,180 2016 Total dwellings: 16,016 2015 Total dwellings: 15,857 2014 Total dwellings: 15,707 2013 Total dwellings: 15,572 2012 Total dwellings: 15,390 2036 Forecast development: 206 2035 Forecast development: 206 2034 Forecast development: 207 2033 Forecast development: 207 2032 Forecast development: 207 2031 Forecast development: 206 2030 Forecast development: 204 2029 Forecast development: 204 2028 Forecast development: 204 2027 Forecast development: 202 2026 Forecast development: 203 2025 Forecast development: 198 2024 Forecast development: 196 2023 Forecast development: 197 2022 Forecast development: 196 2021 Forecast development: 190 2020 Forecast development: 191 2019 Forecast development: 180 2018 Forecast development: 175 2017 Forecast development: 164 2016 Forecast development: 159 2015 Forecast development: 150 2014 Forecast development: 135 2013 Forecast development: 182 2012 Forecast development: 178
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
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