South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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South Gippsland Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in South Gippsland Shire is forecast to grow from 15,212 in 2011 to 17,906 in 2026, with the average household size falling from 2.40 to 2.32 by 2026.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in South Gippsland Shire. The period 2011 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
South Gippsland ShireForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population27,51628,52329,96331,71933,68435,637
Change in population (5yrs)--1,0071,4401,7561,9661,953
Average annual change--0.72%0.99%1.15%1.21%1.13%
Households11,32011,95212,67613,50414,35815,233
Average household size2.402.362.332.322.312.31
Population in non private dwellings360360380380490490
Dwellings15,21216,01616,91617,90618,92619,959
Dwelling occupancy rate74.4174.6374.9375.4275.8676.32

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.31 2035 Average household size: 2.31 2034 Average household size: 2.31 2033 Average household size: 2.31 2032 Average household size: 2.31 2031 Average household size: 2.31 2030 Average household size: 2.31 2029 Average household size: 2.31 2028 Average household size: 2.32 2027 Average household size: 2.32 2026 Average household size: 2.32 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.32 2023 Average household size: 2.33 2022 Average household size: 2.33 2021 Average household size: 2.33 2020 Average household size: 2.34 2019 Average household size: 2.34 2018 Average household size: 2.35 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.36 2015 Average household size: 2.36 2014 Average household size: 2.37 2013 Average household size: 2.38 2012 Average household size: 2.39 2011 Average household size: 2.40 2036 Average household size: 2.31 2035 Average household size: 2.31 2034 Average household size: 2.31 2033 Average household size: 2.31 2032 Average household size: 2.31 2031 Average household size: 2.31 2030 Average household size: 2.31 2029 Average household size: 2.31 2028 Average household size: 2.32 2027 Average household size: 2.32 2026 Average household size: 2.32 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.32 2023 Average household size: 2.33 2022 Average household size: 2.33 2021 Average household size: 2.33 2020 Average household size: 2.34 2019 Average household size: 2.34 2018 Average household size: 2.35 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.36 2015 Average household size: 2.36 2014 Average household size: 2.37 2013 Average household size: 2.38 2012 Average household size: 2.39 2036 Households: 15,233 2035 Households: 15,060 2034 Households: 14,887 2033 Households: 14,714 2032 Households: 14,540 2031 Households: 14,362 2030 Households: 14,190 2029 Households: 14,020 2028 Households: 13,849 2027 Households: 13,677 2026 Households: 13,505 2025 Households: 13,335 2024 Households: 13,170 2023 Households: 13,007 2022 Households: 12,842 2021 Households: 12,676 2020 Households: 12,521 2019 Households: 12,366 2018 Households: 12,221 2017 Households: 12,083 2016 Households: 11,953 2015 Households: 11,828 2014 Households: 11,714 2013 Households: 11,609 2012 Households: 11,463 2011 Households: 11,324 2036 Total population: 35,637 2035 Total population: 35,249 2034 Total population: 34,861 2033 Total population: 34,468 2032 Total population: 34,081 2031 Total population: 33,684 2030 Total population: 33,304 2029 Total population: 32,931 2028 Total population: 32,559 2027 Total population: 32,186 2026 Total population: 31,719 2025 Total population: 31,346 2024 Total population: 30,999 2023 Total population: 30,667 2022 Total population: 30,318 2021 Total population: 29,963 2020 Total population: 29,628 2019 Total population: 29,313 2018 Total population: 29,041 2017 Total population: 28,789 2016 Total population: 28,523 2015 Total population: 28,297 2014 Total population: 28,127 2013 Total population: 27,967 2012 Total population: 27,759 2011 Total population: 27,516
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of South Gippsland Shire was estimated to be 27,516 people. It is expected to increase by over 4,200 people to 31,719 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.95%. This is based on an increase of over 2,100 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.40 to 2.32 by 2026.

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