South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South Gippsland Shire indicate a 10.5% increase in population under working age, a 27.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Gippsland Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,6965.91,7515.51,9655.5+269
5 to 9 1,8416.42,0156.32,2456.2+405
10 to 14 1,7666.12,0966.52,3196.4+553
15 to 19 1,6285.61,6895.31,8775.2+249
20 to 24 1,2194.21,1813.71,3593.8+140
25 to 29 1,3124.51,3044.11,4374.0+125
30 to 34 1,3664.71,5144.71,6734.7+307
35 to 39 1,3694.71,7995.62,0015.6+632
40 to 44 1,6985.91,9286.02,1956.1+497
45 to 49 1,8906.51,8865.92,2536.3+362
50 to 54 2,0777.22,0256.32,2946.4+217
55 to 59 2,2127.62,1696.82,3086.4+96
60 to 64 2,2577.82,3717.42,4746.9+217
65 to 69 2,2747.92,3927.42,4926.9+217
70 to 74 1,6515.72,1436.72,3246.5+673
75 to 79 1,1403.91,8365.72,0195.6+879
80 to 84 7452.61,1563.61,5154.2+770
85 and over7922.78612.71,2333.4+441
Total persons28,934100.032,116100.035,982100.0+7,049

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,233 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,515 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,019 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,324 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,492 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,474 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,308 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,294 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,253 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,195 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,001 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,673 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,437 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,359 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,877 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,319 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,245 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,965 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 861 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,156 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,836 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,143 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,392 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,371 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,169 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,025 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,886 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,928 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,799 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,514 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,304 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,689 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,096 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,015 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,751 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 792 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 745 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,651 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,274 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,257 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,077 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,890 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,698 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,369 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,366 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,312 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,219 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,628 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,766 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,841 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,696
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 372 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 359 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 181 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 100 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 104 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 367 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 266 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 202 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 159 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 178 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 223 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 213 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 410 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 696 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 492 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 117 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 430 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 330 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 55
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South Gippsland Shire was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 696 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 2,392 persons.

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