South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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South Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South Gippsland Shire indicate a 14.1% increase in population under working age, a 49.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Gippsland Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,5795.71,7785.61,9905.6+411
5 to 9 1,6886.12,0216.42,2606.3+572
10 to 14 1,8646.82,0576.52,3346.6+470
15 to 19 1,6896.11,6745.31,8885.3+199
20 to 24 1,2744.61,2153.81,3643.8+90
25 to 29 1,2984.71,3304.21,4704.1+172
30 to 34 1,2054.41,5414.91,7054.8+500
35 to 39 1,5655.71,7995.72,0155.7+450
40 to 44 1,7506.41,9286.12,1926.1+441
45 to 49 1,9167.01,9226.12,2346.3+319
50 to 54 2,0747.52,0246.42,2716.4+196
55 to 59 2,0667.52,1196.72,3026.5+235
60 to 64 2,1677.92,2957.22,4486.9+281
65 to 69 1,7196.22,3147.32,4276.8+708
70 to 74 1,3244.82,0506.52,2286.3+904
75 to 79 9343.41,7175.41,9205.4+986
80 to 84 7442.71,0973.51,4294.0+685
85 and over6592.48372.61,1613.3+502
Total persons27,516100.031,719100.035,637100.0+8,121

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,429 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,920 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,228 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,427 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,448 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,302 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,271 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,234 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,192 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,015 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,705 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,470 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,364 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,888 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,334 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,260 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,990 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 837 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,097 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,717 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,050 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,314 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,295 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,119 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,024 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,922 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,928 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,799 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,541 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,330 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,215 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,674 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,057 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,021 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,778 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 659 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 744 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 934 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,324 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,719 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,167 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,066 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,074 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 1,916 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 1,750 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 1,565 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,205 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,298 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,274 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,689 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,864 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,688 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,579
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 324 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 332 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 203 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 178 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 112 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 153 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 247 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 312 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 264 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 216 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 149 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 213 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 212 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 353 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 783 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 726 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 596 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 128 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 336 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 193 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 198
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in South Gippsland Shire was ages 60 to 64 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 783 and account for 5.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 2,314 persons.

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