South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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South Gippsland Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South Gippsland Shire is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across South Gippsland Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • South Gippsland has a dual housing market, attracting both retirees/lifestylers and families. Retirees primarily settle in areas with natural amenity such as the coastal strip and the Strzelecki Ranges. In contrast, families are more likely to settle in regional towns such as Leongatha and Korumburra, or those parts of the Shire in the north and west which are increasingly accessible to labour markets in south eastern Melbourne.
  • Like most of regional Australia, South Gippsland loses young adults (15-24 years) to Melbourne and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -13 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -75 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 21 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 217 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 197 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 158 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 174 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 218 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 340 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 318 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 176 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -145 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -482 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 61 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 293 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 368 0 2016 to 2021: -4 0 2016 to 2021: -22 0 2016 to 2021: -31 0 2016 to 2021: -62 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: 189 0 2016 to 2021: 152 0 2016 to 2021: 130 0 2016 to 2021: 134 0 2016 to 2021: 207 0 2016 to 2021: 296 0 2016 to 2021: 260 0 2016 to 2021: 114 0 2016 to 2021: -212 0 2016 to 2021: -447 0 2016 to 2021: 46 0 2016 to 2021: 253 0 2016 to 2021: 315 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -7 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -15 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 168 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 131 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 83 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 110 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 129 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 253 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 214 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 82 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -222 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -494 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 42 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 185 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 279 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -13 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -75 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 21 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 217 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 197 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 158 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 174 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 218 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 340 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 318 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 176 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -145 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -482 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 61 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 293 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 368 0 2016 to 2021: -4 0 2016 to 2021: -22 0 2016 to 2021: -31 0 2016 to 2021: -62 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: 189 0 2016 to 2021: 152 0 2016 to 2021: 130 0 2016 to 2021: 134 0 2016 to 2021: 207 0 2016 to 2021: 296 0 2016 to 2021: 260 0 2016 to 2021: 114 0 2016 to 2021: -212 0 2016 to 2021: -447 0 2016 to 2021: 46 0 2016 to 2021: 253 0 2016 to 2021: 315 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -7 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -15 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 168 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 131 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 83 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 110 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 129 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 253 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 214 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 82 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -222 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -494 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 42 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 185 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 279
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
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