South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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South Gippsland Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South Gippsland Shire is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,965 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South Gippsland ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,4631,5111,5621,6331,736
Deaths1,3021,4191,5241,6551,781
Natural increase/decrease1619138-22-45
Net migration8901,3281,7181,8781,998
Change in persons in non-private dwellings02001100

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 388 2035 forecast population change: 388 2034 forecast population change: 393 2033 forecast population change: 387 2032 forecast population change: 397 2031 forecast population change: 381 2030 forecast population change: 373 2029 forecast population change: 372 2028 forecast population change: 373 2027 forecast population change: 467 2026 forecast population change: 372 2025 forecast population change: 347 2024 forecast population change: 333 2023 forecast population change: 349 2022 forecast population change: 355 2021 forecast population change: 335 2020 forecast population change: 315 2019 forecast population change: 272 2018 forecast population change: 252 2017 forecast population change: 265 2016 forecast population change: 227 2015 forecast population change: 170 2014 forecast population change: 160 2013 forecast population change: 208 2012 forecast population change: 243
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -8 2035 Natural increase: -10 2034 Natural increase: -10 2033 Natural increase: -9 2032 Natural increase: -8 2031 Natural increase: -7 2030 Natural increase: -7 2029 Natural increase: -5 2028 Natural increase: -3 2027 Natural increase: 0 2026 Natural increase: 2 2025 Natural increase: 5 2024 Natural increase: 8 2023 Natural increase: 10 2022 Natural increase: 14 2021 Natural increase: 16 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 20 2017 Natural increase: 20 2016 Natural increase: 20 2015 Natural increase: 24 2014 Natural increase: 20 2013 Natural increase: 18 2012 Natural increase: 80 2036 Total births: 357 2035 Total births: 352 2034 Total births: 347 2033 Total births: 343 2032 Total births: 338 2031 Total births: 334 2030 Total births: 330 2029 Total births: 326 2028 Total births: 323 2027 Total births: 320 2026 Total births: 317 2025 Total births: 314 2024 Total births: 312 2023 Total births: 310 2022 Total births: 308 2021 Total births: 306 2020 Total births: 304 2019 Total births: 302 2018 Total births: 300 2017 Total births: 298 2016 Total births: 296 2015 Total births: 293 2014 Total births: 291 2013 Total births: 286 2012 Total births: 298 2036 Total deaths: 365 2035 Total deaths: 362 2034 Total deaths: 357 2033 Total deaths: 351 2032 Total deaths: 346 2031 Total deaths: 341 2030 Total deaths: 337 2029 Total deaths: 331 2028 Total deaths: 326 2027 Total deaths: 320 2026 Total deaths: 315 2025 Total deaths: 310 2024 Total deaths: 305 2023 Total deaths: 300 2022 Total deaths: 295 2021 Total deaths: 290 2020 Total deaths: 287 2019 Total deaths: 284 2018 Total deaths: 280 2017 Total deaths: 278 2016 Total deaths: 275 2015 Total deaths: 270 2014 Total deaths: 271 2013 Total deaths: 268 2012 Total deaths: 218 2036 Natural increase: -8 2035 Natural increase: -10 2034 Natural increase: -10 2033 Natural increase: -9 2032 Natural increase: -8 2031 Natural increase: -7 2030 Natural increase: -7 2029 Natural increase: -5 2028 Natural increase: -3 2027 Natural increase: 0 2026 Natural increase: 2 2025 Natural increase: 5 2024 Natural increase: 8 2023 Natural increase: 10 2022 Natural increase: 14 2021 Natural increase: 16 2020 Natural increase: 17 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 20 2017 Natural increase: 20 2016 Natural increase: 20 2015 Natural increase: 24 2014 Natural increase: 20 2013 Natural increase: 18 2012 Natural increase: 80 2036 Total births: 357 2035 Total births: 352 2034 Total births: 347 2033 Total births: 343 2032 Total births: 338 2031 Total births: 334 2030 Total births: 330 2029 Total births: 326 2028 Total births: 323 2027 Total births: 320 2026 Total births: 317 2025 Total births: 314 2024 Total births: 312 2023 Total births: 310 2022 Total births: 308 2021 Total births: 306 2020 Total births: 304 2019 Total births: 302 2018 Total births: 300 2017 Total births: 298 2016 Total births: 296 2015 Total births: 293 2014 Total births: 291 2013 Total births: 286 2012 Total births: 298 2036 Total deaths: 365 2035 Total deaths: 362 2034 Total deaths: 357 2033 Total deaths: 351 2032 Total deaths: 346 2031 Total deaths: 341 2030 Total deaths: 337 2029 Total deaths: 331 2028 Total deaths: 326 2027 Total deaths: 320 2026 Total deaths: 315 2025 Total deaths: 310 2024 Total deaths: 305 2023 Total deaths: 300 2022 Total deaths: 295 2021 Total deaths: 290 2020 Total deaths: 287 2019 Total deaths: 284 2018 Total deaths: 280 2017 Total deaths: 278 2016 Total deaths: 275 2015 Total deaths: 270 2014 Total deaths: 271 2013 Total deaths: 268 2012 Total deaths: 218
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 396 2035 Total net migration: 398 2034 Total net migration: 403 2033 Total net migration: 396 2032 Total net migration: 405 2031 Total net migration: 388 2030 Total net migration: 380 2029 Total net migration: 377 2028 Total net migration: 376 2027 Total net migration: 357 2026 Total net migration: 371 2025 Total net migration: 342 2024 Total net migration: 325 2023 Total net migration: 338 2022 Total net migration: 341 2021 Total net migration: 319 2020 Total net migration: 298 2019 Total net migration: 254 2018 Total net migration: 232 2017 Total net migration: 226 2016 Total net migration: 206 2015 Total net migration: 146 2014 Total net migration: 140 2013 Total net migration: 234 2012 Total net migration: 163 2036 Total out migration: 2,688 2035 Total out migration: 2,657 2034 Total out migration: 2,626 2033 Total out migration: 2,595 2032 Total out migration: 2,564 2031 Total out migration: 2,533 2030 Total out migration: 2,504 2029 Total out migration: 2,475 2028 Total out migration: 2,446 2027 Total out migration: 2,416 2026 Total out migration: 2,388 2025 Total out migration: 2,363 2024 Total out migration: 2,340 2023 Total out migration: 2,314 2022 Total out migration: 2,280 2021 Total out migration: 2,257 2020 Total out migration: 2,237 2019 Total out migration: 2,221 2018 Total out migration: 2,206 2017 Total out migration: 2,183 2016 Total out migration: 2,171 2015 Total out migration: 2,166 2014 Total out migration: 2,157 2013 Total out migration: 2,151 2012 Total out migration: 2,147 2036 Total in migration: 3,084 2035 Total in migration: 3,055 2034 Total in migration: 3,029 2033 Total in migration: 2,991 2032 Total in migration: 2,969 2031 Total in migration: 2,921 2030 Total in migration: 2,884 2029 Total in migration: 2,853 2028 Total in migration: 2,821 2027 Total in migration: 2,773 2026 Total in migration: 2,759 2025 Total in migration: 2,706 2024 Total in migration: 2,665 2023 Total in migration: 2,653 2022 Total in migration: 2,621 2021 Total in migration: 2,576 2020 Total in migration: 2,535 2019 Total in migration: 2,474 2018 Total in migration: 2,438 2017 Total in migration: 2,409 2016 Total in migration: 2,378 2015 Total in migration: 2,312 2014 Total in migration: 2,297 2013 Total in migration: 2,384 2012 Total in migration: 2,310 2036 Total net migration: 396 2035 Total net migration: 398 2034 Total net migration: 403 2033 Total net migration: 396 2032 Total net migration: 405 2031 Total net migration: 388 2030 Total net migration: 380 2029 Total net migration: 377 2028 Total net migration: 376 2027 Total net migration: 357 2026 Total net migration: 371 2025 Total net migration: 342 2024 Total net migration: 325 2023 Total net migration: 338 2022 Total net migration: 341 2021 Total net migration: 319 2020 Total net migration: 298 2019 Total net migration: 254 2018 Total net migration: 232 2017 Total net migration: 226 2016 Total net migration: 206 2015 Total net migration: 146 2014 Total net migration: 140 2013 Total net migration: 234 2012 Total net migration: 163 2036 Total out migration: 2,688 2035 Total out migration: 2,657 2034 Total out migration: 2,626 2033 Total out migration: 2,595 2032 Total out migration: 2,564 2031 Total out migration: 2,533 2030 Total out migration: 2,504 2029 Total out migration: 2,475 2028 Total out migration: 2,446 2027 Total out migration: 2,416 2026 Total out migration: 2,388 2025 Total out migration: 2,363 2024 Total out migration: 2,340 2023 Total out migration: 2,314 2022 Total out migration: 2,280 2021 Total out migration: 2,257 2020 Total out migration: 2,237 2019 Total out migration: 2,221 2018 Total out migration: 2,206 2017 Total out migration: 2,183 2016 Total out migration: 2,171 2015 Total out migration: 2,166 2014 Total out migration: 2,157 2013 Total out migration: 2,151 2012 Total out migration: 2,147 2036 Total in migration: 3,084 2035 Total in migration: 3,055 2034 Total in migration: 3,029 2033 Total in migration: 2,991 2032 Total in migration: 2,969 2031 Total in migration: 2,921 2030 Total in migration: 2,884 2029 Total in migration: 2,853 2028 Total in migration: 2,821 2027 Total in migration: 2,773 2026 Total in migration: 2,759 2025 Total in migration: 2,706 2024 Total in migration: 2,665 2023 Total in migration: 2,653 2022 Total in migration: 2,621 2021 Total in migration: 2,576 2020 Total in migration: 2,535 2019 Total in migration: 2,474 2018 Total in migration: 2,438 2017 Total in migration: 2,409 2016 Total in migration: 2,378 2015 Total in migration: 2,312 2014 Total in migration: 2,297 2013 Total in migration: 2,384 2012 Total in migration: 2,310
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2015.
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