South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South Gippsland Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in South Gippsland Shire is forecast to grow from 16,057 in 2016 to 18,959 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.35 to 2.29 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in South Gippsland Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
South Gippsland ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population28,93430,43632,11634,02335,982
Change in population (5yrs)--1,5021,6801,9081,959
Average annual change--1.02%1.08%1.16%1.13%
Households12,18212,92713,77014,63115,518
Average household size2.352.332.312.292.29
Population in non private dwellings341361361471471
Dwellings16,05716,96217,95118,95919,995
Dwelling occupancy rate75.8776.2176.7177.1777.61

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.29 2035 Average household size: 2.29 2034 Average household size: 2.29 2033 Average household size: 2.29 2032 Average household size: 2.29 2031 Average household size: 2.29 2030 Average household size: 2.30 2029 Average household size: 2.30 2028 Average household size: 2.30 2027 Average household size: 2.30 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.31 2024 Average household size: 2.31 2023 Average household size: 2.32 2022 Average household size: 2.32 2021 Average household size: 2.33 2020 Average household size: 2.33 2019 Average household size: 2.33 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2016 Average household size: 2.35 2036 Average household size: 2.29 2035 Average household size: 2.29 2034 Average household size: 2.29 2033 Average household size: 2.29 2032 Average household size: 2.29 2031 Average household size: 2.29 2030 Average household size: 2.30 2029 Average household size: 2.30 2028 Average household size: 2.30 2027 Average household size: 2.30 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.31 2024 Average household size: 2.31 2023 Average household size: 2.32 2022 Average household size: 2.32 2021 Average household size: 2.33 2020 Average household size: 2.33 2019 Average household size: 2.33 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.35 2036 Households: 15,515 2035 Households: 15,339 2034 Households: 15,163 2033 Households: 14,987 2032 Households: 14,810 2031 Households: 14,628 2030 Households: 14,453 2029 Households: 14,280 2028 Households: 14,109 2027 Households: 13,938 2026 Households: 13,767 2025 Households: 13,597 2024 Households: 13,430 2023 Households: 13,264 2022 Households: 13,096 2021 Households: 12,926 2020 Households: 12,763 2019 Households: 12,605 2018 Households: 12,457 2017 Households: 12,316 2016 Households: 12,179 2036 Total population: 35,982 2035 Total population: 35,588 2034 Total population: 35,201 2033 Total population: 34,815 2032 Total population: 34,431 2031 Total population: 34,023 2030 Total population: 33,649 2029 Total population: 33,267 2028 Total population: 32,910 2027 Total population: 32,561 2026 Total population: 32,116 2025 Total population: 31,762 2024 Total population: 31,435 2023 Total population: 31,116 2022 Total population: 30,775 2021 Total population: 30,436 2020 Total population: 30,092 2019 Total population: 29,780 2018 Total population: 29,522 2017 Total population: 29,263 2016 Total population: 28,934
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of South Gippsland Shire was estimated to be 28,934 people. It is expected to increase by over 5,000 people to 34,023 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 1.63%. This is based on an increase of over 2,400 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.35 to 2.29 by 2031.

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