Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Shellharbour City

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shellharbour City will increase by an average of 349 dwellings per annum to 33,467 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shellharbour City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Shellharbour CityChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Shellharbour City+8,727+35.3
Albion Park+549+12.4
Albion Park Rail+202+7.5
Barrack Heights+198+8.4
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre+849+67.6
Flinders+496+26.7
Lake Illawarra+79+5.0
Mount Warrigal+57+3.1
Oak Flats+200+7.8
Rural Balance+4,124+1126.8
Shell Cove+1,571+117.5
Shellharbour - Barrack Point+232+13.6
Warilla+170+6.2

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2014.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 33,467 2035 Total dwellings: 33,131 2034 Total dwellings: 32,796 2033 Total dwellings: 32,460 2032 Total dwellings: 32,123 2031 Total dwellings: 31,786 2030 Total dwellings: 31,447 2029 Total dwellings: 31,108 2028 Total dwellings: 30,783 2027 Total dwellings: 30,437 2026 Total dwellings: 30,049 2025 Total dwellings: 29,653 2024 Total dwellings: 29,261 2023 Total dwellings: 28,887 2022 Total dwellings: 28,541 2021 Total dwellings: 28,192 2020 Total dwellings: 27,807 2019 Total dwellings: 27,438 2018 Total dwellings: 27,082 2017 Total dwellings: 26,707 2016 Total dwellings: 26,351 2015 Total dwellings: 25,966 2014 Total dwellings: 25,566 2013 Total dwellings: 25,220 2012 Total dwellings: 24,961 2036 Total dwellings: 33,467 2035 Total dwellings: 33,131 2034 Total dwellings: 32,796 2033 Total dwellings: 32,460 2032 Total dwellings: 32,123 2031 Total dwellings: 31,786 2030 Total dwellings: 31,447 2029 Total dwellings: 31,108 2028 Total dwellings: 30,783 2027 Total dwellings: 30,437 2026 Total dwellings: 30,049 2025 Total dwellings: 29,653 2024 Total dwellings: 29,261 2023 Total dwellings: 28,887 2022 Total dwellings: 28,541 2021 Total dwellings: 28,192 2020 Total dwellings: 27,807 2019 Total dwellings: 27,438 2018 Total dwellings: 27,082 2017 Total dwellings: 26,707 2016 Total dwellings: 26,351 2015 Total dwellings: 25,966 2014 Total dwellings: 25,566 2013 Total dwellings: 25,220 2012 Total dwellings: 24,961 2036 Forecast development: 336 2035 Forecast development: 335 2034 Forecast development: 336 2033 Forecast development: 337 2032 Forecast development: 337 2031 Forecast development: 339 2030 Forecast development: 339 2029 Forecast development: 325 2028 Forecast development: 346 2027 Forecast development: 388 2026 Forecast development: 396 2025 Forecast development: 392 2024 Forecast development: 374 2023 Forecast development: 346 2022 Forecast development: 349 2021 Forecast development: 385 2020 Forecast development: 369 2019 Forecast development: 356 2018 Forecast development: 375 2017 Forecast development: 356 2016 Forecast development: 385 2015 Forecast development: 400 2014 Forecast development: 346 2013 Forecast development: 259 2012 Forecast development: 221
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.
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