Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Shellharbour City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Shellharbour City indicate a 12.6% increase in population under working age, a 55.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shellharbour City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shellharbour City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,4276.74,9376.45,3506.3+923
5 to 9 4,6227.05,3496.95,7956.8+1,173
10 to 14 4,9087.45,4237.05,9497.0+1,041
15 to 19 4,9687.54,9936.55,5156.5+547
20 to 24 4,1836.34,3135.64,6685.5+485
25 to 29 3,9426.04,1765.44,3515.1+409
30 to 34 3,8035.74,3915.74,6075.4+804
35 to 39 4,5816.94,7946.25,2006.1+619
40 to 44 4,5386.95,0276.55,5266.5+988
45 to 49 4,8377.34,9166.45,4626.4+625
50 to 54 4,5416.94,9346.45,3136.2+772
55 to 59 3,9115.94,7746.25,2216.1+1,310
60 to 64 3,5545.44,7686.25,2096.1+1,655
65 to 69 2,9634.54,3695.64,8195.7+1,856
70 to 74 2,3913.63,6194.74,2965.0+1,905
75 to 79 1,7892.72,9353.83,5314.1+1,742
80 to 84 1,3462.02,0562.72,5243.0+1,178
85 and over9141.41,6042.11,9262.3+1,012
Total persons66,218100.077,379100.085,262100.0+19,044

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2014.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,926 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,524 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,531 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 4,296 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 4,819 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 5,209 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 5,221 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 5,313 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 5,462 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 5,526 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 5,200 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 4,607 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 4,351 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,668 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,515 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 5,949 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 5,795 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 5,350 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,604 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,056 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,935 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,619 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,369 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 4,768 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 4,774 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 4,934 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,916 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 5,027 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,794 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,391 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,176 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,313 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,993 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,423 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,349 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 4,937 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 914 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,346 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,789 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 2,391 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,963 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 3,554 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 3,911 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 4,541 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 4,837 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 4,538 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 4,581 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 3,803 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 3,942 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 4,183 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 4,968 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 4,908 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 4,622 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 4,427
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 468 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 596 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 677 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 450 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 441 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 448 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 546 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 499 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 406 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 216 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 175 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 355 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 522 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 526 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 446 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 413 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 690 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 710 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,146 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,228 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,406 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,214 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 863 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 393 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 588 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 234 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 515 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 727 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 510
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Shellharbour City was ages 15 to 19 , which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69 , which is expected to increase by 1,406 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 5,423 persons.

v17.10.06-1.0.0