Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shellharbour City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Shellharbour City indicate a 11.9% increase in population under working age, a 32.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Shellharbour City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shellharbour City - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,6846.65,0366.45,3876.2+703
5 to 9 4,9077.05,4626.95,8636.7+956
10 to 14 4,7136.75,5067.06,0647.0+1,351
15 to 19 4,9087.05,0766.45,6426.5+734
20 to 24 4,6136.54,2795.44,7395.4+126
25 to 29 4,2106.04,2575.44,3875.0+177
30 to 34 4,3956.24,5335.74,6885.4+293
35 to 39 4,1575.94,9546.35,3396.1+1,182
40 to 44 4,6976.75,1506.55,6096.4+912
45 to 49 4,5616.54,8576.15,5576.4+996
50 to 54 4,7656.84,9966.35,4586.3+693
55 to 59 4,5856.54,8806.25,2806.1+695
60 to 64 3,9335.64,9216.25,3166.1+1,383
65 to 69 3,6755.24,5715.84,9825.7+1,307
70 to 74 2,7994.03,7104.74,4865.1+1,687
75 to 79 2,1283.03,0463.93,7154.3+1,587
80 to 84 1,4192.02,1072.72,6413.0+1,222
85 and over1,3621.91,6702.12,0472.3+685
Total persons70,511100.079,010100.087,199100.0+16,688

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,047 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,641 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,715 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 4,486 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 4,982 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 5,316 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 5,280 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 5,458 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 5,557 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 5,609 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 5,339 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 4,688 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 4,387 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,739 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,642 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 6,064 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 5,863 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 5,387 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,670 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,107 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,046 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,710 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,571 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 4,921 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 4,880 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 4,996 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,857 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 5,150 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,954 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,533 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,257 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,279 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,076 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,506 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,462 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,036 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,362 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,419 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,128 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,799 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,675 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,933 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 4,585 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 4,765 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 4,561 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 4,697 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,157 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,395 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,210 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 4,613 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,908 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4,713 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,907 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 4,684
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 535 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 669 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 775 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 394 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 401 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 463 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 700 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 459 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 385 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 129 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 460 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 566 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 558 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 401 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 351 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 688 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 918 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 911 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 896 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 988 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 797 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -334 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 168 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 793 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 555 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 352
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Shellharbour City was ages 15 to 19 , which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64 , which is expected to increase by 988 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 5,506 persons.

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