Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Shellharbour City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Shellharbour City is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Shellharbour City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Significant new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in Rural Balance and Shell Cove, which are expected to attract predominantly (but not exclusively) young families and couples (25-34 years)
  • Significant out-migration of young adults (15-24 years) to Wollongong and Sydney, primarily for employment and education purposes
  • Relatively stable migration profile for mature adults and older persons
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 36 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -140 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -69 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 57 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 159 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 196 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 66 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 149 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 425 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 631 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 446 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -9 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -433 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -344 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 202 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 523 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 594 0 2016 to 2021: 63 0 2016 to 2021: -13 0 2016 to 2021: -46 0 2016 to 2021: -52 0 2016 to 2021: 87 0 2016 to 2021: 139 0 2016 to 2021: 48 0 2016 to 2021: 77 0 2016 to 2021: 104 0 2016 to 2021: 366 0 2016 to 2021: 520 0 2016 to 2021: 391 0 2016 to 2021: -61 0 2016 to 2021: -441 0 2016 to 2021: -293 0 2016 to 2021: 156 0 2016 to 2021: 410 0 2016 to 2021: 481 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 51 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 25 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -2 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 18 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 107 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 120 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 7 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -63 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 40 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 104 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 453 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 316 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -63 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -508 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -337 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 89 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 350 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 455 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 36 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -140 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -69 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 57 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 159 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 196 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 66 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 149 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 425 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 631 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 446 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -9 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -433 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -344 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 202 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 523 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 594 0 2016 to 2021: 63 0 2016 to 2021: -13 0 2016 to 2021: -46 0 2016 to 2021: -52 0 2016 to 2021: 87 0 2016 to 2021: 139 0 2016 to 2021: 48 0 2016 to 2021: 77 0 2016 to 2021: 104 0 2016 to 2021: 366 0 2016 to 2021: 520 0 2016 to 2021: 391 0 2016 to 2021: -61 0 2016 to 2021: -441 0 2016 to 2021: -293 0 2016 to 2021: 156 0 2016 to 2021: 410 0 2016 to 2021: 481 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 51 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 25 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -2 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 18 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 107 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 120 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 7 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -63 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 40 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 104 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 453 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 316 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -63 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -508 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -337 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 89 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 350 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 455
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.
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