Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shellharbour City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Shellharbour City is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Shellharbour City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Significant new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in Rural Balance and Shell Cove, which are expected to attract predominantly (but not exclusively) young families and couples (25-39 years)
  • Significant out-migration of young adults (15-24 years) to Wollongong and Sydney, primarily for employment and education purposes
  • Modest gain of older adults and retirees (50-69 years) attracted to coastal suburbs.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 103 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 80 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 152 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 240 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 206 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 423 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 515 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 490 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -429 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -313 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 235 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 527 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 475 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 95 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -36 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 93 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 181 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 138 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 202 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 120 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 405 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 470 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 267 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -79 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -533 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -284 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 201 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 426 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 330 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 103 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -15 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 80 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 152 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 240 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 206 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 423 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 515 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 490 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -429 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -313 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 235 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 527 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 475 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 95 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -36 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -63 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 93 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 181 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 138 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 202 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 120 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 405 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 470 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 267 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -79 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -533 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -284 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 201 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 426 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 330
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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