Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Shellharbour City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shellharbour City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,428 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shellharbour CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--4,7764,7974,8705,053
Deaths--2,8153,0513,3263,545
Natural increase/decrease--1,9611,7461,5441,508
Net migration--1,9812,6532,7842,294
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--128303030

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 764 2035 forecast population change: 736 2034 forecast population change: 753 2033 forecast population change: 756 2032 forecast population change: 823 2031 forecast population change: 846 2030 forecast population change: 900 2029 forecast population change: 856 2028 forecast population change: 851 2027 forecast population change: 905 2026 forecast population change: 831 2025 forecast population change: 802 2024 forecast population change: 864 2023 forecast population change: 921 2022 forecast population change: 1,013 2021 forecast population change: 981 2020 forecast population change: 896 2019 forecast population change: 823 2018 forecast population change: 787 2017 forecast population change: 582
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 305 2035 Natural increase: 302 2034 Natural increase: 300 2033 Natural increase: 300 2032 Natural increase: 300 2031 Natural increase: 302 2030 Natural increase: 303 2029 Natural increase: 307 2028 Natural increase: 313 2027 Natural increase: 319 2026 Natural increase: 328 2025 Natural increase: 339 2024 Natural increase: 349 2023 Natural increase: 360 2022 Natural increase: 371 2021 Natural increase: 381 2020 Natural increase: 390 2019 Natural increase: 397 2018 Natural increase: 400 2017 Natural increase: 393 2036 Total deaths: 723 2035 Total deaths: 717 2034 Total deaths: 710 2033 Total deaths: 702 2032 Total deaths: 693 2031 Total deaths: 684 2030 Total deaths: 675 2029 Total deaths: 666 2028 Total deaths: 656 2027 Total deaths: 645 2026 Total deaths: 634 2025 Total deaths: 623 2024 Total deaths: 611 2023 Total deaths: 598 2022 Total deaths: 585 2021 Total deaths: 574 2020 Total deaths: 565 2019 Total deaths: 558 2018 Total deaths: 555 2017 Total deaths: 564 2036 Total births: 1,029 2035 Total births: 1,019 2034 Total births: 1,010 2033 Total births: 1,002 2032 Total births: 994 2031 Total births: 986 2030 Total births: 979 2029 Total births: 973 2028 Total births: 968 2027 Total births: 964 2026 Total births: 962 2025 Total births: 961 2024 Total births: 960 2023 Total births: 958 2022 Total births: 956 2021 Total births: 955 2020 Total births: 954 2019 Total births: 955 2018 Total births: 955 2017 Total births: 957 2036 Natural increase: 305 2035 Natural increase: 302 2034 Natural increase: 300 2033 Natural increase: 300 2032 Natural increase: 300 2031 Natural increase: 302 2030 Natural increase: 303 2029 Natural increase: 307 2028 Natural increase: 313 2027 Natural increase: 319 2026 Natural increase: 328 2025 Natural increase: 339 2024 Natural increase: 349 2023 Natural increase: 360 2022 Natural increase: 371 2021 Natural increase: 381 2020 Natural increase: 390 2019 Natural increase: 397 2018 Natural increase: 400 2017 Natural increase: 393 2036 Total deaths: 723 2035 Total deaths: 717 2034 Total deaths: 710 2033 Total deaths: 702 2032 Total deaths: 693 2031 Total deaths: 684 2030 Total deaths: 675 2029 Total deaths: 666 2028 Total deaths: 656 2027 Total deaths: 645 2026 Total deaths: 634 2025 Total deaths: 623 2024 Total deaths: 611 2023 Total deaths: 598 2022 Total deaths: 585 2021 Total deaths: 574 2020 Total deaths: 565 2019 Total deaths: 558 2018 Total deaths: 555 2017 Total deaths: 564 2036 Total births: 1,029 2035 Total births: 1,019 2034 Total births: 1,010 2033 Total births: 1,002 2032 Total births: 994 2031 Total births: 986 2030 Total births: 979 2029 Total births: 973 2028 Total births: 968 2027 Total births: 964 2026 Total births: 962 2025 Total births: 961 2024 Total births: 960 2023 Total births: 958 2022 Total births: 956 2021 Total births: 955 2020 Total births: 954 2019 Total births: 955 2018 Total births: 955 2017 Total births: 957
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 458 2035 Total net migration: 434 2034 Total net migration: 453 2033 Total net migration: 456 2032 Total net migration: 492 2031 Total net migration: 544 2030 Total net migration: 597 2029 Total net migration: 549 2028 Total net migration: 538 2027 Total net migration: 556 2026 Total net migration: 503 2025 Total net migration: 463 2024 Total net migration: 515 2023 Total net migration: 561 2022 Total net migration: 612 2021 Total net migration: 600 2020 Total net migration: 506 2019 Total net migration: 362 2018 Total net migration: 323 2017 Total net migration: 189 2036 Total out migration: 6,976 2035 Total out migration: 6,917 2034 Total out migration: 6,857 2033 Total out migration: 6,798 2032 Total out migration: 6,736 2031 Total out migration: 6,669 2030 Total out migration: 6,600 2029 Total out migration: 6,539 2028 Total out migration: 6,479 2027 Total out migration: 6,419 2026 Total out migration: 6,368 2025 Total out migration: 6,321 2024 Total out migration: 6,267 2023 Total out migration: 6,205 2022 Total out migration: 6,133 2021 Total out migration: 6,076 2020 Total out migration: 6,009 2019 Total out migration: 5,974 2018 Total out migration: 5,913 2017 Total out migration: 5,948 2036 Total in migration: 7,435 2035 Total in migration: 7,351 2034 Total in migration: 7,310 2033 Total in migration: 7,254 2032 Total in migration: 7,228 2031 Total in migration: 7,213 2030 Total in migration: 7,198 2029 Total in migration: 7,087 2028 Total in migration: 7,018 2027 Total in migration: 6,975 2026 Total in migration: 6,871 2025 Total in migration: 6,784 2024 Total in migration: 6,781 2023 Total in migration: 6,765 2022 Total in migration: 6,745 2021 Total in migration: 6,677 2020 Total in migration: 6,515 2019 Total in migration: 6,336 2018 Total in migration: 6,236 2017 Total in migration: 6,137 2036 Total net migration: 458 2035 Total net migration: 434 2034 Total net migration: 453 2033 Total net migration: 456 2032 Total net migration: 492 2031 Total net migration: 544 2030 Total net migration: 597 2029 Total net migration: 549 2028 Total net migration: 538 2027 Total net migration: 556 2026 Total net migration: 503 2025 Total net migration: 463 2024 Total net migration: 515 2023 Total net migration: 561 2022 Total net migration: 612 2021 Total net migration: 600 2020 Total net migration: 506 2019 Total net migration: 362 2018 Total net migration: 323 2017 Total net migration: 189 2036 Total out migration: 6,976 2035 Total out migration: 6,917 2034 Total out migration: 6,857 2033 Total out migration: 6,798 2032 Total out migration: 6,736 2031 Total out migration: 6,669 2030 Total out migration: 6,600 2029 Total out migration: 6,539 2028 Total out migration: 6,479 2027 Total out migration: 6,419 2026 Total out migration: 6,368 2025 Total out migration: 6,321 2024 Total out migration: 6,267 2023 Total out migration: 6,205 2022 Total out migration: 6,133 2021 Total out migration: 6,076 2020 Total out migration: 6,009 2019 Total out migration: 5,974 2018 Total out migration: 5,913 2017 Total out migration: 5,948 2036 Total in migration: 7,435 2035 Total in migration: 7,351 2034 Total in migration: 7,310 2033 Total in migration: 7,254 2032 Total in migration: 7,228 2031 Total in migration: 7,213 2030 Total in migration: 7,198 2029 Total in migration: 7,087 2028 Total in migration: 7,018 2027 Total in migration: 6,975 2026 Total in migration: 6,871 2025 Total in migration: 6,784 2024 Total in migration: 6,781 2023 Total in migration: 6,765 2022 Total in migration: 6,745 2021 Total in migration: 6,677 2020 Total in migration: 6,515 2019 Total in migration: 6,336 2018 Total in migration: 6,236 2017 Total in migration: 6,137
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
v17.12.12-1.0.0