Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Shellharbour City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Shellharbour City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,086 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shellharbour CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births4,3594,5084,6214,7965,005
Deaths2,3972,7292,9813,1973,368
Natural increase/decrease1,9621,7791,6391,5991,638
Net migration1,1631,9362,4172,3272,259
Change in persons in non-private dwellings17064303030

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2014.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 799 2035 forecast population change: 770 2034 forecast population change: 779 2033 forecast population change: 773 2032 forecast population change: 806 2031 forecast population change: 771 2030 forecast population change: 768 2029 forecast population change: 706 2028 forecast population change: 777 2027 forecast population change: 934 2026 forecast population change: 923 2025 forecast population change: 882 2024 forecast population change: 813 2023 forecast population change: 733 2022 forecast population change: 736 2021 forecast population change: 789 2020 forecast population change: 733 2019 forecast population change: 676 2018 forecast population change: 759 2017 forecast population change: 823 2016 forecast population change: 875 2015 forecast population change: 808 2014 forecast population change: 649 2013 forecast population change: 411 2012 forecast population change: 552
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 336 2035 Natural increase: 331 2034 Natural increase: 327 2033 Natural increase: 323 2032 Natural increase: 321 2031 Natural increase: 320 2030 Natural increase: 319 2029 Natural increase: 320 2028 Natural increase: 320 2027 Natural increase: 320 2026 Natural increase: 321 2025 Natural increase: 323 2024 Natural increase: 326 2023 Natural increase: 332 2022 Natural increase: 337 2021 Natural increase: 343 2020 Natural increase: 349 2019 Natural increase: 356 2018 Natural increase: 364 2017 Natural increase: 367 2016 Natural increase: 372 2015 Natural increase: 380 2014 Natural increase: 391 2013 Natural increase: 409 2012 Natural increase: 410 2036 Total births: 1,021 2035 Total births: 1,011 2034 Total births: 1,001 2033 Total births: 991 2032 Total births: 981 2031 Total births: 973 2030 Total births: 965 2029 Total births: 960 2028 Total births: 953 2027 Total births: 945 2026 Total births: 936 2025 Total births: 929 2024 Total births: 923 2023 Total births: 918 2022 Total births: 915 2021 Total births: 910 2020 Total births: 906 2019 Total births: 902 2018 Total births: 898 2017 Total births: 892 2016 Total births: 886 2015 Total births: 880 2014 Total births: 876 2013 Total births: 877 2012 Total births: 840 2036 Total deaths: 685 2035 Total deaths: 680 2034 Total deaths: 674 2033 Total deaths: 668 2032 Total deaths: 661 2031 Total deaths: 653 2030 Total deaths: 647 2029 Total deaths: 640 2028 Total deaths: 633 2027 Total deaths: 625 2026 Total deaths: 615 2025 Total deaths: 606 2024 Total deaths: 596 2023 Total deaths: 587 2022 Total deaths: 577 2021 Total deaths: 567 2020 Total deaths: 557 2019 Total deaths: 546 2018 Total deaths: 534 2017 Total deaths: 526 2016 Total deaths: 514 2015 Total deaths: 500 2014 Total deaths: 485 2013 Total deaths: 468 2012 Total deaths: 430 2036 Natural increase: 336 2035 Natural increase: 331 2034 Natural increase: 327 2033 Natural increase: 323 2032 Natural increase: 321 2031 Natural increase: 320 2030 Natural increase: 319 2029 Natural increase: 320 2028 Natural increase: 320 2027 Natural increase: 320 2026 Natural increase: 321 2025 Natural increase: 323 2024 Natural increase: 326 2023 Natural increase: 332 2022 Natural increase: 337 2021 Natural increase: 343 2020 Natural increase: 349 2019 Natural increase: 356 2018 Natural increase: 364 2017 Natural increase: 367 2016 Natural increase: 372 2015 Natural increase: 380 2014 Natural increase: 391 2013 Natural increase: 409 2012 Natural increase: 410 2036 Total births: 1,021 2035 Total births: 1,011 2034 Total births: 1,001 2033 Total births: 991 2032 Total births: 981 2031 Total births: 973 2030 Total births: 965 2029 Total births: 960 2028 Total births: 953 2027 Total births: 945 2026 Total births: 936 2025 Total births: 929 2024 Total births: 923 2023 Total births: 918 2022 Total births: 915 2021 Total births: 910 2020 Total births: 906 2019 Total births: 902 2018 Total births: 898 2017 Total births: 892 2016 Total births: 886 2015 Total births: 880 2014 Total births: 876 2013 Total births: 877 2012 Total births: 840 2036 Total deaths: 685 2035 Total deaths: 680 2034 Total deaths: 674 2033 Total deaths: 668 2032 Total deaths: 661 2031 Total deaths: 653 2030 Total deaths: 647 2029 Total deaths: 640 2028 Total deaths: 633 2027 Total deaths: 625 2026 Total deaths: 615 2025 Total deaths: 606 2024 Total deaths: 596 2023 Total deaths: 587 2022 Total deaths: 577 2021 Total deaths: 567 2020 Total deaths: 557 2019 Total deaths: 546 2018 Total deaths: 534 2017 Total deaths: 526 2016 Total deaths: 514 2015 Total deaths: 500 2014 Total deaths: 485 2013 Total deaths: 468 2012 Total deaths: 430
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 463 2035 Total net migration: 439 2034 Total net migration: 452 2033 Total net migration: 450 2032 Total net migration: 455 2031 Total net migration: 451 2030 Total net migration: 450 2029 Total net migration: 386 2028 Total net migration: 456 2027 Total net migration: 584 2026 Total net migration: 602 2025 Total net migration: 559 2024 Total net migration: 487 2023 Total net migration: 401 2022 Total net migration: 368 2021 Total net migration: 446 2020 Total net migration: 384 2019 Total net migration: 319 2018 Total net migration: 395 2017 Total net migration: 392 2016 Total net migration: 439 2015 Total net migration: 428 2014 Total net migration: 258 2013 Total net migration: 2 2012 Total net migration: 36 2036 Total out migration: 6,839 2035 Total out migration: 6,776 2034 Total out migration: 6,713 2033 Total out migration: 6,652 2032 Total out migration: 6,591 2031 Total out migration: 6,531 2030 Total out migration: 6,473 2029 Total out migration: 6,424 2028 Total out migration: 6,367 2027 Total out migration: 6,297 2026 Total out migration: 6,229 2025 Total out migration: 6,166 2024 Total out migration: 6,110 2023 Total out migration: 6,061 2022 Total out migration: 6,012 2021 Total out migration: 5,964 2020 Total out migration: 5,913 2019 Total out migration: 5,876 2018 Total out migration: 5,816 2017 Total out migration: 5,803 2016 Total out migration: 5,739 2015 Total out migration: 5,690 2014 Total out migration: 5,648 2013 Total out migration: 5,636 2012 Total out migration: 5,686 2036 Total in migration: 7,302 2035 Total in migration: 7,215 2034 Total in migration: 7,166 2033 Total in migration: 7,102 2032 Total in migration: 7,046 2031 Total in migration: 6,982 2030 Total in migration: 6,923 2029 Total in migration: 6,810 2028 Total in migration: 6,823 2027 Total in migration: 6,881 2026 Total in migration: 6,831 2025 Total in migration: 6,725 2024 Total in migration: 6,597 2023 Total in migration: 6,462 2022 Total in migration: 6,380 2021 Total in migration: 6,411 2020 Total in migration: 6,297 2019 Total in migration: 6,195 2018 Total in migration: 6,211 2017 Total in migration: 6,195 2016 Total in migration: 6,178 2015 Total in migration: 6,118 2014 Total in migration: 5,906 2013 Total in migration: 5,638 2012 Total in migration: 5,722 2036 Total net migration: 463 2035 Total net migration: 439 2034 Total net migration: 452 2033 Total net migration: 450 2032 Total net migration: 455 2031 Total net migration: 451 2030 Total net migration: 450 2029 Total net migration: 386 2028 Total net migration: 456 2027 Total net migration: 584 2026 Total net migration: 602 2025 Total net migration: 559 2024 Total net migration: 487 2023 Total net migration: 401 2022 Total net migration: 368 2021 Total net migration: 446 2020 Total net migration: 384 2019 Total net migration: 319 2018 Total net migration: 395 2017 Total net migration: 392 2016 Total net migration: 439 2015 Total net migration: 428 2014 Total net migration: 258 2013 Total net migration: 2 2012 Total net migration: 36 2036 Total out migration: 6,839 2035 Total out migration: 6,776 2034 Total out migration: 6,713 2033 Total out migration: 6,652 2032 Total out migration: 6,591 2031 Total out migration: 6,531 2030 Total out migration: 6,473 2029 Total out migration: 6,424 2028 Total out migration: 6,367 2027 Total out migration: 6,297 2026 Total out migration: 6,229 2025 Total out migration: 6,166 2024 Total out migration: 6,110 2023 Total out migration: 6,061 2022 Total out migration: 6,012 2021 Total out migration: 5,964 2020 Total out migration: 5,913 2019 Total out migration: 5,876 2018 Total out migration: 5,816 2017 Total out migration: 5,803 2016 Total out migration: 5,739 2015 Total out migration: 5,690 2014 Total out migration: 5,648 2013 Total out migration: 5,636 2012 Total out migration: 5,686 2036 Total in migration: 7,302 2035 Total in migration: 7,215 2034 Total in migration: 7,166 2033 Total in migration: 7,102 2032 Total in migration: 7,046 2031 Total in migration: 6,982 2030 Total in migration: 6,923 2029 Total in migration: 6,810 2028 Total in migration: 6,823 2027 Total in migration: 6,881 2026 Total in migration: 6,831 2025 Total in migration: 6,725 2024 Total in migration: 6,597 2023 Total in migration: 6,462 2022 Total in migration: 6,380 2021 Total in migration: 6,411 2020 Total in migration: 6,297 2019 Total in migration: 6,195 2018 Total in migration: 6,211 2017 Total in migration: 6,195 2016 Total in migration: 6,178 2015 Total in migration: 6,118 2014 Total in migration: 5,906 2013 Total in migration: 5,638 2012 Total in migration: 5,722
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2014.
v17.08.15-1.0.0