Shire of Serpentine JarrahdalePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Significant new housing opportunities across the Shire, particularly in Byford and later in Mundijong
  • Major gain of young and established families (0-14 and 20-44 years)
  • Minor gain of older adults, empty-nesters and retirees (45-64 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 17 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 123 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 261 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 361 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 460 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 513 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 465 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 762 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,270 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,319 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 759 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 594 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 564 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 806 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -44 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -12 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -14 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 157 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 273 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 378 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 590 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 658 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 605 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 748 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 931 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 563 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 557 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 538 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 806 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 17 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -7 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -11 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 123 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 261 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 361 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 460 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 513 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 465 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 762 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,270 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,319 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 759 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 594 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 564 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 806 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -44 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -12 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -14 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 157 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 273 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 378 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 590 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 658 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 605 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 748 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 931 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 563 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 557 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 538 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 806
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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