Shire of Serpentine JarrahdalePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 10,789 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shire of Serpentine-JarrahdaleForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--2,3893,0944,0114,952
Deaths--5827188781,049
Natural increase/decrease--1,8062,3763,1333,903
Net migration--6,8958,1707,6066,580
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--47475068

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,129 2035 forecast population change: 2,170 2034 forecast population change: 2,088 2033 forecast population change: 2,102 2032 forecast population change: 2,062 2031 forecast population change: 2,152 2030 forecast population change: 2,176 2029 forecast population change: 2,163 2028 forecast population change: 2,124 2027 forecast population change: 2,175 2026 forecast population change: 2,162 2025 forecast population change: 2,247 2024 forecast population change: 2,183 2023 forecast population change: 2,088 2022 forecast population change: 1,913 2021 forecast population change: 1,880 2020 forecast population change: 1,812 2019 forecast population change: 1,671 2018 forecast population change: 1,703 2017 forecast population change: 1,683
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 840 2035 Natural increase: 810 2034 Natural increase: 781 2033 Natural increase: 751 2032 Natural increase: 721 2031 Natural increase: 688 2030 Natural increase: 657 2029 Natural increase: 627 2028 Natural increase: 596 2027 Natural increase: 565 2026 Natural increase: 534 2025 Natural increase: 503 2024 Natural increase: 473 2023 Natural increase: 445 2022 Natural increase: 420 2021 Natural increase: 397 2020 Natural increase: 378 2019 Natural increase: 361 2018 Natural increase: 344 2017 Natural increase: 326 2036 Total deaths: 224 2035 Total deaths: 217 2034 Total deaths: 210 2033 Total deaths: 202 2032 Total deaths: 196 2031 Total deaths: 190 2030 Total deaths: 182 2029 Total deaths: 175 2028 Total deaths: 169 2027 Total deaths: 161 2026 Total deaths: 155 2025 Total deaths: 149 2024 Total deaths: 143 2023 Total deaths: 137 2022 Total deaths: 133 2021 Total deaths: 128 2020 Total deaths: 122 2019 Total deaths: 117 2018 Total deaths: 111 2017 Total deaths: 104 2036 Total births: 1,064 2035 Total births: 1,027 2034 Total births: 991 2033 Total births: 953 2032 Total births: 917 2031 Total births: 878 2030 Total births: 840 2029 Total births: 802 2028 Total births: 765 2027 Total births: 727 2026 Total births: 690 2025 Total births: 652 2024 Total births: 616 2023 Total births: 583 2022 Total births: 553 2021 Total births: 526 2020 Total births: 501 2019 Total births: 478 2018 Total births: 455 2017 Total births: 430 2036 Natural increase: 840 2035 Natural increase: 810 2034 Natural increase: 781 2033 Natural increase: 751 2032 Natural increase: 721 2031 Natural increase: 688 2030 Natural increase: 657 2029 Natural increase: 627 2028 Natural increase: 596 2027 Natural increase: 565 2026 Natural increase: 534 2025 Natural increase: 503 2024 Natural increase: 473 2023 Natural increase: 445 2022 Natural increase: 420 2021 Natural increase: 397 2020 Natural increase: 378 2019 Natural increase: 361 2018 Natural increase: 344 2017 Natural increase: 326 2036 Total deaths: 224 2035 Total deaths: 217 2034 Total deaths: 210 2033 Total deaths: 202 2032 Total deaths: 196 2031 Total deaths: 190 2030 Total deaths: 182 2029 Total deaths: 175 2028 Total deaths: 169 2027 Total deaths: 161 2026 Total deaths: 155 2025 Total deaths: 149 2024 Total deaths: 143 2023 Total deaths: 137 2022 Total deaths: 133 2021 Total deaths: 128 2020 Total deaths: 122 2019 Total deaths: 117 2018 Total deaths: 111 2017 Total deaths: 104 2036 Total births: 1,064 2035 Total births: 1,027 2034 Total births: 991 2033 Total births: 953 2032 Total births: 917 2031 Total births: 878 2030 Total births: 840 2029 Total births: 802 2028 Total births: 765 2027 Total births: 727 2026 Total births: 690 2025 Total births: 652 2024 Total births: 616 2023 Total births: 583 2022 Total births: 553 2021 Total births: 526 2020 Total births: 501 2019 Total births: 478 2018 Total births: 455 2017 Total births: 430
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,290 2035 Total net migration: 1,292 2034 Total net migration: 1,307 2033 Total net migration: 1,350 2032 Total net migration: 1,341 2031 Total net migration: 1,465 2030 Total net migration: 1,469 2029 Total net migration: 1,536 2028 Total net migration: 1,527 2027 Total net migration: 1,610 2026 Total net migration: 1,627 2025 Total net migration: 1,697 2024 Total net migration: 1,710 2023 Total net migration: 1,642 2022 Total net migration: 1,493 2021 Total net migration: 1,482 2020 Total net migration: 1,387 2019 Total net migration: 1,310 2018 Total net migration: 1,359 2017 Total net migration: 1,357 2036 Total out migration: 6,026 2035 Total out migration: 5,837 2034 Total out migration: 5,649 2033 Total out migration: 5,458 2032 Total out migration: 5,271 2031 Total out migration: 5,076 2030 Total out migration: 4,881 2029 Total out migration: 4,684 2028 Total out migration: 4,491 2027 Total out migration: 4,289 2026 Total out migration: 4,090 2025 Total out migration: 3,885 2024 Total out migration: 3,681 2023 Total out migration: 3,490 2022 Total out migration: 3,320 2021 Total out migration: 3,148 2020 Total out migration: 2,987 2019 Total out migration: 2,839 2018 Total out migration: 2,683 2017 Total out migration: 2,543 2036 Total in migration: 7,315 2035 Total in migration: 7,129 2034 Total in migration: 6,956 2033 Total in migration: 6,808 2032 Total in migration: 6,613 2031 Total in migration: 6,541 2030 Total in migration: 6,350 2029 Total in migration: 6,220 2028 Total in migration: 6,019 2027 Total in migration: 5,899 2026 Total in migration: 5,717 2025 Total in migration: 5,582 2024 Total in migration: 5,391 2023 Total in migration: 5,132 2022 Total in migration: 4,813 2021 Total in migration: 4,630 2020 Total in migration: 4,374 2019 Total in migration: 4,149 2018 Total in migration: 4,041 2017 Total in migration: 3,901 2036 Total net migration: 1,290 2035 Total net migration: 1,292 2034 Total net migration: 1,307 2033 Total net migration: 1,350 2032 Total net migration: 1,341 2031 Total net migration: 1,465 2030 Total net migration: 1,469 2029 Total net migration: 1,536 2028 Total net migration: 1,527 2027 Total net migration: 1,610 2026 Total net migration: 1,627 2025 Total net migration: 1,697 2024 Total net migration: 1,710 2023 Total net migration: 1,642 2022 Total net migration: 1,493 2021 Total net migration: 1,482 2020 Total net migration: 1,387 2019 Total net migration: 1,310 2018 Total net migration: 1,359 2017 Total net migration: 1,357 2036 Total out migration: 6,026 2035 Total out migration: 5,837 2034 Total out migration: 5,649 2033 Total out migration: 5,458 2032 Total out migration: 5,271 2031 Total out migration: 5,076 2030 Total out migration: 4,881 2029 Total out migration: 4,684 2028 Total out migration: 4,491 2027 Total out migration: 4,289 2026 Total out migration: 4,090 2025 Total out migration: 3,885 2024 Total out migration: 3,681 2023 Total out migration: 3,490 2022 Total out migration: 3,320 2021 Total out migration: 3,148 2020 Total out migration: 2,987 2019 Total out migration: 2,839 2018 Total out migration: 2,683 2017 Total out migration: 2,543 2036 Total in migration: 7,315 2035 Total in migration: 7,129 2034 Total in migration: 6,956 2033 Total in migration: 6,808 2032 Total in migration: 6,613 2031 Total in migration: 6,541 2030 Total in migration: 6,350 2029 Total in migration: 6,220 2028 Total in migration: 6,019 2027 Total in migration: 5,899 2026 Total in migration: 5,717 2025 Total in migration: 5,582 2024 Total in migration: 5,391 2023 Total in migration: 5,132 2022 Total in migration: 4,813 2021 Total in migration: 4,630 2020 Total in migration: 4,374 2019 Total in migration: 4,149 2018 Total in migration: 4,041 2017 Total in migration: 3,901
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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