Shire of Serpentine JarrahdalePopulation forecast
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Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 10,734 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Shire of Serpentine-JarrahdaleForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,5662,3393,0914,0174,945
Deaths4185747098681,044
Natural increase/decrease1,1481,7652,3823,1503,901
Net migration8,0426,7428,1487,5356,544
Change in persons in non-private dwellings3347475068

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,131 2035 forecast population change: 2,156 2034 forecast population change: 2,059 2033 forecast population change: 2,115 2032 forecast population change: 2,052 2031 forecast population change: 2,145 2030 forecast population change: 2,156 2029 forecast population change: 2,152 2028 forecast population change: 2,099 2027 forecast population change: 2,183 2026 forecast population change: 2,151 2025 forecast population change: 2,250 2024 forecast population change: 2,164 2023 forecast population change: 2,081 2022 forecast population change: 1,931 2021 forecast population change: 1,885 2020 forecast population change: 1,774 2019 forecast population change: 1,618 2018 forecast population change: 1,652 2017 forecast population change: 1,624 2016 forecast population change: 2,893 2015 forecast population change: 2,694 2014 forecast population change: 1,089 2013 forecast population change: 1,181 2012 forecast population change: 1,275
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 838 2035 Natural increase: 809 2034 Natural increase: 780 2033 Natural increase: 752 2032 Natural increase: 722 2031 Natural increase: 690 2030 Natural increase: 661 2029 Natural increase: 630 2028 Natural increase: 600 2027 Natural increase: 569 2026 Natural increase: 537 2025 Natural increase: 505 2024 Natural increase: 475 2023 Natural increase: 446 2022 Natural increase: 419 2021 Natural increase: 394 2020 Natural increase: 373 2019 Natural increase: 353 2018 Natural increase: 333 2017 Natural increase: 311 2016 Natural increase: 265 2015 Natural increase: 224 2014 Natural increase: 211 2013 Natural increase: 256 2012 Natural increase: 192 2036 Total births: 1,061 2035 Total births: 1,025 2034 Total births: 990 2033 Total births: 953 2032 Total births: 917 2031 Total births: 878 2030 Total births: 841 2029 Total births: 803 2028 Total births: 767 2027 Total births: 728 2026 Total births: 691 2025 Total births: 653 2024 Total births: 616 2023 Total births: 581 2022 Total births: 550 2021 Total births: 520 2020 Total births: 493 2019 Total births: 468 2018 Total births: 442 2017 Total births: 416 2016 Total births: 361 2015 Total births: 312 2014 Total births: 296 2013 Total births: 337 2012 Total births: 260 2036 Total deaths: 223 2035 Total deaths: 216 2034 Total deaths: 209 2033 Total deaths: 201 2032 Total deaths: 194 2031 Total deaths: 188 2030 Total deaths: 180 2029 Total deaths: 173 2028 Total deaths: 167 2027 Total deaths: 160 2026 Total deaths: 153 2025 Total deaths: 147 2024 Total deaths: 141 2023 Total deaths: 136 2022 Total deaths: 131 2021 Total deaths: 126 2020 Total deaths: 120 2019 Total deaths: 115 2018 Total deaths: 109 2017 Total deaths: 104 2016 Total deaths: 96 2015 Total deaths: 88 2014 Total deaths: 84 2013 Total deaths: 81 2012 Total deaths: 69 2036 Natural increase: 838 2035 Natural increase: 809 2034 Natural increase: 780 2033 Natural increase: 752 2032 Natural increase: 722 2031 Natural increase: 690 2030 Natural increase: 661 2029 Natural increase: 630 2028 Natural increase: 600 2027 Natural increase: 569 2026 Natural increase: 537 2025 Natural increase: 505 2024 Natural increase: 475 2023 Natural increase: 446 2022 Natural increase: 419 2021 Natural increase: 394 2020 Natural increase: 373 2019 Natural increase: 353 2018 Natural increase: 333 2017 Natural increase: 311 2016 Natural increase: 265 2015 Natural increase: 224 2014 Natural increase: 211 2013 Natural increase: 256 2012 Natural increase: 192 2036 Total births: 1,061 2035 Total births: 1,025 2034 Total births: 990 2033 Total births: 953 2032 Total births: 917 2031 Total births: 878 2030 Total births: 841 2029 Total births: 803 2028 Total births: 767 2027 Total births: 728 2026 Total births: 691 2025 Total births: 653 2024 Total births: 616 2023 Total births: 581 2022 Total births: 550 2021 Total births: 520 2020 Total births: 493 2019 Total births: 468 2018 Total births: 442 2017 Total births: 416 2016 Total births: 361 2015 Total births: 312 2014 Total births: 296 2013 Total births: 337 2012 Total births: 260 2036 Total deaths: 223 2035 Total deaths: 216 2034 Total deaths: 209 2033 Total deaths: 201 2032 Total deaths: 194 2031 Total deaths: 188 2030 Total deaths: 180 2029 Total deaths: 173 2028 Total deaths: 167 2027 Total deaths: 160 2026 Total deaths: 153 2025 Total deaths: 147 2024 Total deaths: 141 2023 Total deaths: 136 2022 Total deaths: 131 2021 Total deaths: 126 2020 Total deaths: 120 2019 Total deaths: 115 2018 Total deaths: 109 2017 Total deaths: 104 2016 Total deaths: 96 2015 Total deaths: 88 2014 Total deaths: 84 2013 Total deaths: 81 2012 Total deaths: 69
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,293 2035 Total net migration: 1,279 2034 Total net migration: 1,279 2033 Total net migration: 1,364 2032 Total net migration: 1,330 2031 Total net migration: 1,454 2030 Total net migration: 1,445 2029 Total net migration: 1,522 2028 Total net migration: 1,499 2027 Total net migration: 1,614 2026 Total net migration: 1,614 2025 Total net migration: 1,697 2024 Total net migration: 1,689 2023 Total net migration: 1,635 2022 Total net migration: 1,512 2021 Total net migration: 1,491 2020 Total net migration: 1,354 2019 Total net migration: 1,265 2018 Total net migration: 1,319 2017 Total net migration: 1,313 2016 Total net migration: 2,628 2015 Total net migration: 2,437 2014 Total net migration: 878 2013 Total net migration: 1,016 2012 Total net migration: 1,083 2036 Total out migration: 5,997 2035 Total out migration: 5,811 2034 Total out migration: 5,627 2033 Total out migration: 5,436 2032 Total out migration: 5,252 2031 Total out migration: 5,056 2030 Total out migration: 4,864 2029 Total out migration: 4,668 2028 Total out migration: 4,476 2027 Total out migration: 4,274 2026 Total out migration: 4,074 2025 Total out migration: 3,868 2024 Total out migration: 3,666 2023 Total out migration: 3,474 2022 Total out migration: 3,295 2021 Total out migration: 3,121 2020 Total out migration: 2,961 2019 Total out migration: 2,813 2018 Total out migration: 2,661 2017 Total out migration: 2,510 2016 Total out migration: 2,213 2015 Total out migration: 1,937 2014 Total out migration: 1,832 2013 Total out migration: 1,721 2012 Total out migration: 1,630 2036 Total in migration: 7,290 2035 Total in migration: 7,090 2034 Total in migration: 6,906 2033 Total in migration: 6,800 2032 Total in migration: 6,582 2031 Total in migration: 6,510 2030 Total in migration: 6,309 2029 Total in migration: 6,190 2028 Total in migration: 5,975 2027 Total in migration: 5,888 2026 Total in migration: 5,689 2025 Total in migration: 5,565 2024 Total in migration: 5,355 2023 Total in migration: 5,109 2022 Total in migration: 4,807 2021 Total in migration: 4,612 2020 Total in migration: 4,315 2019 Total in migration: 4,078 2018 Total in migration: 3,980 2017 Total in migration: 3,822 2016 Total in migration: 4,841 2015 Total in migration: 4,375 2014 Total in migration: 2,710 2013 Total in migration: 2,737 2012 Total in migration: 2,713 2036 Total net migration: 1,293 2035 Total net migration: 1,279 2034 Total net migration: 1,279 2033 Total net migration: 1,364 2032 Total net migration: 1,330 2031 Total net migration: 1,454 2030 Total net migration: 1,445 2029 Total net migration: 1,522 2028 Total net migration: 1,499 2027 Total net migration: 1,614 2026 Total net migration: 1,614 2025 Total net migration: 1,697 2024 Total net migration: 1,689 2023 Total net migration: 1,635 2022 Total net migration: 1,512 2021 Total net migration: 1,491 2020 Total net migration: 1,354 2019 Total net migration: 1,265 2018 Total net migration: 1,319 2017 Total net migration: 1,313 2016 Total net migration: 2,628 2015 Total net migration: 2,437 2014 Total net migration: 878 2013 Total net migration: 1,016 2012 Total net migration: 1,083 2036 Total out migration: 5,997 2035 Total out migration: 5,811 2034 Total out migration: 5,627 2033 Total out migration: 5,436 2032 Total out migration: 5,252 2031 Total out migration: 5,056 2030 Total out migration: 4,864 2029 Total out migration: 4,668 2028 Total out migration: 4,476 2027 Total out migration: 4,274 2026 Total out migration: 4,074 2025 Total out migration: 3,868 2024 Total out migration: 3,666 2023 Total out migration: 3,474 2022 Total out migration: 3,295 2021 Total out migration: 3,121 2020 Total out migration: 2,961 2019 Total out migration: 2,813 2018 Total out migration: 2,661 2017 Total out migration: 2,510 2016 Total out migration: 2,213 2015 Total out migration: 1,937 2014 Total out migration: 1,832 2013 Total out migration: 1,721 2012 Total out migration: 1,630 2036 Total in migration: 7,290 2035 Total in migration: 7,090 2034 Total in migration: 6,906 2033 Total in migration: 6,800 2032 Total in migration: 6,582 2031 Total in migration: 6,510 2030 Total in migration: 6,309 2029 Total in migration: 6,190 2028 Total in migration: 5,975 2027 Total in migration: 5,888 2026 Total in migration: 5,689 2025 Total in migration: 5,565 2024 Total in migration: 5,355 2023 Total in migration: 5,109 2022 Total in migration: 4,807 2021 Total in migration: 4,612 2020 Total in migration: 4,315 2019 Total in migration: 4,078 2018 Total in migration: 3,980 2017 Total in migration: 3,822 2016 Total in migration: 4,841 2015 Total in migration: 4,375 2014 Total in migration: 2,710 2013 Total in migration: 2,737 2012 Total in migration: 2,713
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2017.
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