City of SalisburyPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Salisbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Salisbury indicate a 5.3% increase in population under working age, a 22.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Salisbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Salisbury - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 10,0907.210,2536.810,1716.6+81
5 to 9 9,5966.89,9056.69,7056.3+109
10 to 14 8,4066.09,4336.39,3826.1+976
15 to 19 8,8996.39,7466.59,7576.4+858
20 to 24 10,6797.610,2926.910,5696.9-110
25 to 29 10,7907.710,8777.310,9337.1+142
30 to 34 11,3788.110,6947.110,4476.8-931
35 to 39 9,6166.810,1296.810,0386.5+422
40 to 44 9,0186.410,0836.79,7876.4+769
45 to 49 8,9456.39,3676.29,5086.2+562
50 to 54 8,9216.38,8485.99,3136.1+392
55 to 59 8,1375.88,5045.78,6575.6+521
60 to 64 7,0925.08,1415.48,0565.2+964
65 to 69 6,4224.67,1774.87,4724.9+1,050
70 to 74 4,7523.46,0304.06,8614.5+2,109
75 to 79 3,6352.64,9563.35,6783.7+2,043
80 to 84 2,3771.73,1842.14,1262.7+1,749
85 and over2,1521.52,3341.63,0602.0+908
Total persons140,907100.0149,953100.0153,520100.0+12,613

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,060 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,678 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 6,861 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 7,472 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 8,056 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 8,657 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 9,313 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 9,508 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 9,787 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 10,038 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 10,447 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 10,933 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 10,569 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 9,757 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,382 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 9,705 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 10,171 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,334 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,184 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,956 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 6,030 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,177 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,141 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 8,504 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 8,848 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 9,367 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 10,083 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,129 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 10,694 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 10,877 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 10,292 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 9,746 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 9,433 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 9,905 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,253 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,152 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,377 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,635 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 4,752 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 6,422 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,092 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 8,137 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 8,921 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 8,945 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 9,018 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,616 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 11,378 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 10,790 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 10,679 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 8,899 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 8,406 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 9,596 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,090
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 726 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 943 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 722 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 831 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -85 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 153 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -296 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -91 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -246 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -201 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -82 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 806 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,320 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,278 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 755 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,049 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 367 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -74 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 422 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 513 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -685 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -388 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 847 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,027 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 310 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 163
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Salisbury was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 1,320 and account for 3.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 10,877 persons.

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