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City of RydePopulation forecast

Marsfield

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Marsfield indicate a 3.8% decrease in population under working age, a 4.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ryde is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Marsfield - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46204.95834.54743.6-147
5 to 96885.45864.54833.7-204
10 to 146595.27245.65864.5-73
15 to 194953.97545.87005.3+205
20 to 248486.78456.59367.1+88
25 to 299717.77575.87815.9-190
30 to 349887.88706.77375.6-251
35 to 391,0408.21,0037.78156.2-225
40 to 449487.51,0117.88566.5-91
45 to 498126.49287.18736.6+61
50 to 547255.78386.48976.8+173
55 to 597616.07936.19307.1+169
60 to 646845.48086.29147.0+230
65 to 696034.86855.38306.3+227
70 to 745634.45694.47295.6+167
75 to 794093.25174.06605.0+251
80 to 843863.03752.95123.9+127
85 and over4513.63772.94223.2-29
Total persons12,650100.013,022100.013,137100.0+487
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Marsfield was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 259 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,011 persons.

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