City of PerthPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Perth

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Perth is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Perth depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The migration profile for the City of Perth is heavily influenced by the movement of young adults and couples, many of whom are seeking accommodation close to education, employment and lifestyle opportunities. As they reach their thirties and start their own family, they tend to move to the suburbs where more suitable family housing is available.
  • Contrary to media driven myths, the in-migration of empty nesters is not significant, but modest gains of 45-59 year olds are assumed to occur across the City in line with established trends.
  • There is minimal population change through migration at age 60 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group 0 2021 to 2026: 76 0 2021 to 2026: -65 0 2021 to 2026: -87 0 2021 to 2026: -94 0 2021 to 2026: -115 0 2021 to 2026: -81 0 2021 to 2026: 125 0 2021 to 2026: 260 0 2021 to 2026: 212 0 2021 to 2026: -277 0 2021 to 2026: -1,038 0 2021 to 2026: -1,098 0 2021 to 2026: 1,283 0 2021 to 2026: 2,567 0 2021 to 2026: 2,012 0 2021 to 2026: 92 0 2021 to 2026: -292 0 2021 to 2026: -943 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 81 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -40 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -56 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -87 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -110 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -57 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 197 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 359 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 293 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 38 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -670 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -878 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,245 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,788 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,133 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 147 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -135 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -755 0 2021 to 2026: 76 0 2021 to 2026: -65 0 2021 to 2026: -87 0 2021 to 2026: -94 0 2021 to 2026: -115 0 2021 to 2026: -81 0 2021 to 2026: 125 0 2021 to 2026: 260 0 2021 to 2026: 212 0 2021 to 2026: -277 0 2021 to 2026: -1,038 0 2021 to 2026: -1,098 0 2021 to 2026: 1,283 0 2021 to 2026: 2,567 0 2021 to 2026: 2,012 0 2021 to 2026: 92 0 2021 to 2026: -292 0 2021 to 2026: -943 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 81 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -40 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -56 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -87 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -110 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -57 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 197 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 359 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 293 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 38 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -670 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -878 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,245 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,788 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,133 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 147 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -135 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -755
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
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