City of PerthPopulation forecast
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City of Perth

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Perth is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Perth depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • The migration profile for the City of Perth is heavily influenced by the movement of young adults and couples, many of whom are seeking accommodation close to education, employment and lifestyle opportunities. As they reach their thirties and start their own family, they tend to move to the suburbs where more suitable family housing is available.
  • Contrary to media driven myths, the in-migration of empty nesters is not significant, but modest gains of 45-59 year olds are assumed to occur across the City in line with established trends.
  • There is minimal population change through migration at age 60 years and over.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 82 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -50 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -82 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -98 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 112 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 253 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 174 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -212 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -949 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,299 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 924 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,353 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,237 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 67 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -277 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -862 0 2016 to 2021: 100 0 2016 to 2021: -15 0 2016 to 2021: -40 0 2016 to 2021: -53 0 2016 to 2021: -71 0 2016 to 2021: -70 0 2016 to 2021: 164 0 2016 to 2021: 325 0 2016 to 2021: 256 0 2016 to 2021: -17 0 2016 to 2021: -617 0 2016 to 2021: -775 0 2016 to 2021: 1,313 0 2016 to 2021: 2,331 0 2016 to 2021: 2,183 0 2016 to 2021: 104 0 2016 to 2021: -192 0 2016 to 2021: -645 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 107 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 6 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -7 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -16 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -61 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -56 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 104 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 240 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 176 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 38 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -297 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -764 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 572 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 2,271 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,093 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 125 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -65 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -486 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 82 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -50 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -82 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -98 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 112 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 253 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 174 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -212 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -949 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,299 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 924 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,353 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,237 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 67 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -277 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -862 0 2016 to 2021: 100 0 2016 to 2021: -15 0 2016 to 2021: -40 0 2016 to 2021: -53 0 2016 to 2021: -71 0 2016 to 2021: -70 0 2016 to 2021: 164 0 2016 to 2021: 325 0 2016 to 2021: 256 0 2016 to 2021: -17 0 2016 to 2021: -617 0 2016 to 2021: -775 0 2016 to 2021: 1,313 0 2016 to 2021: 2,331 0 2016 to 2021: 2,183 0 2016 to 2021: 104 0 2016 to 2021: -192 0 2016 to 2021: -645 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 107 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 6 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -7 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -16 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -61 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -56 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 104 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 240 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 176 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 38 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -297 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -764 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 572 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 2,271 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,093 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 125 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -65 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -486
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2016.
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