Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Penrith City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Penrith City indicate a 25.1% increase in population under working age, a 91.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Penrith City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Penrith City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 13,7347.417,5997.618,7877.3+5,054
5 to 9 12,7986.916,4047.017,5736.9+4,776
10 to 14 12,8156.915,2086.516,4566.4+3,641
15 to 19 13,5817.415,1196.516,3976.4+2,816
20 to 24 14,6327.916,3677.017,8387.0+3,206
25 to 29 14,6647.917,7057.619,1647.5+4,500
30 to 34 13,4697.317,4887.518,6787.3+5,208
35 to 39 13,3417.216,5677.117,7666.9+4,425
40 to 44 12,5736.815,4606.616,8056.6+4,232
45 to 49 12,2836.714,4456.215,9176.2+3,634
50 to 54 12,6366.813,6235.914,8885.8+2,252
55 to 59 10,9435.912,2295.313,4195.2+2,476
60 to 64 9,6695.211,1384.812,0044.7+2,335
65 to 69 6,3703.510,3474.410,6774.2+4,307
70 to 74 4,1512.28,6113.79,6233.8+5,472
75 to 79 2,9611.66,8652.98,4273.3+5,466
80 to 84 2,1191.14,0341.76,1282.4+4,009
85 and over1,8761.03,5601.55,5042.1+3,628
Total persons184,615100.0232,770100.0256,051100.0+71,436

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,504 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 6,128 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 8,427 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 9,623 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 10,677 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 12,004 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 13,419 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 14,888 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 15,917 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 16,805 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 17,766 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 18,678 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 19,164 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 17,838 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 16,397 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 16,456 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 17,573 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 18,787 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,560 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,034 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,865 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 8,611 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 10,347 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 11,138 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 12,229 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 13,623 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 14,445 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,460 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 16,567 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 17,488 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 17,705 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 16,367 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 15,119 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 15,208 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 16,404 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 17,599 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,876 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 2,119 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 2,961 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 4,151 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 6,370 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 9,669 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 10,943 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 12,636 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 12,283 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 12,573 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 13,341 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 13,469 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 14,664 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 14,632 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 13,581 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 12,815 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 12,798 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 13,734
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,945 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,093 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,562 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,011 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 330 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 866 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,190 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,265 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,472 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,344 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,190 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,458 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,471 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,277 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,248 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,170 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,189 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,683 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,916 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 3,904 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 4,460 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 3,977 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,469 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 1,287 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 987 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 2,161 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 2,888 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 3,226 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 4,019 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 3,042 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 1,735 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 1,539 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 2,393 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 3,606 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 3,865
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Penrith City was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 4,460 and account for 3.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 17,705 persons.

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