Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Penrith City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Penrith City indicate a 14.8% increase in population under working age, a 44.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Penrith City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Penrith City - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 15,4477.717,6527.619,0737.4+3,626
5 to 9 14,6717.316,4987.117,7906.9+3,118
10 to 14 12,9666.415,3026.616,6286.4+3,662
15 to 19 13,4736.715,2126.516,5006.4+3,028
20 to 24 15,1377.516,2607.018,0547.0+2,917
25 to 29 16,1518.017,8357.719,5817.6+3,430
30 to 34 15,8527.917,5537.518,9497.3+3,097
35 to 39 14,2037.116,5987.118,0067.0+3,804
40 to 44 13,7246.815,6486.717,0116.6+3,287
45 to 49 12,7606.314,5206.216,0826.2+3,322
50 to 54 12,1606.013,6455.915,0755.8+2,914
55 to 59 12,0156.012,2005.213,5065.2+1,491
60 to 64 10,1495.010,9734.712,0384.7+1,889
65 to 69 8,7444.310,2764.410,6664.1+1,922
70 to 74 5,5882.88,5543.79,5723.7+3,985
75 to 79 3,7171.86,7842.98,4183.3+4,701
80 to 84 2,3921.23,9071.76,0342.3+3,642
85 and over2,2561.13,3361.45,2112.0+2,955
Total persons201,404100.0232,754100.0258,195100.0+56,791

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,211 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 6,034 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 8,418 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 9,572 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 10,666 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 12,038 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 13,506 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 15,075 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 16,082 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 17,011 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 18,006 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 18,949 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 19,581 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 18,054 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 16,500 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 16,628 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 17,790 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 19,073 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,336 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,907 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,784 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 8,554 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 10,276 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 10,973 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 12,200 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 13,645 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 14,520 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,648 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 16,598 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 17,553 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 17,835 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 16,260 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 15,212 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 15,302 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 16,498 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 17,652 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,256 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,392 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,717 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5,588 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,744 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 10,149 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 12,015 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 12,160 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 12,760 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 13,724 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 14,203 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 15,852 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 16,151 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 15,137 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 13,473 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 12,966 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 14,671 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 15,447
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,875 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,127 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,634 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,018 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 389 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,306 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,429 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,562 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,363 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,408 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,396 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,746 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,795 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,288 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,326 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,291 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,421 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,515 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 3,067 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 2,966 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,533 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 825 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,485 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,761 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,924 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,395 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,701 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,684 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,122 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,740 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 2,336 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,827 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 2,205
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Penrith City was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 3,067 and account for 2.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 17,835 persons.

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