Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Penrith City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Penrith City is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Penrith City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial gain in young adults and students (18-29 years) attracted to education opportunities as well as affordable housing, with higher density development development around Penrith, Kingswood, Werrington and St Marys
  • A gain of families (0-14 and 25-44 years) to 2021 owing to the continuned development of Jordan Springs and Glenmore Park and thereafter a net loss as these areas become completely developed
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (50-79 years), downgrading to housing elsewhere in Sydney and, to a more limited extent, coastal NSW
  • Minimal change through migration to numbers of older people (80+ years)
  • Forecast net migration by age group
    Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 117 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -177 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -238 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -370 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -496 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -466 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 44 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -173 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -105 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,748 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,334 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 988 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -237 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -357 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -367 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 168 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -268 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -367 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -519 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -376 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 85 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 237 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 457 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 349 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 257 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,920 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,397 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,282 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 259 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 98 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 183 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 117 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -48 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -177 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -238 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -370 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -496 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -466 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 44 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -139 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -173 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -105 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,748 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,334 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 988 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -237 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -357 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -367 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 168 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 31 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -268 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -367 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -519 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -376 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 85 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 237 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 457 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 349 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 257 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,920 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,397 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,282 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 259 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 98 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 183
    Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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