Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Penrith City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Penrith City is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Penrith City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial gain in young adults and students (18-29 years) attracted to education opportunities as well as affordable housing, increasing overtime with higher density development development around Penrith, Kingswood, Werrington and St Marys
  • A gain of families (0-14 and 25-44 years) to 2021 owing to the continuned development of Jordan Springs and Glenmore Park and thereafter a net loss as these areas become completely developed
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (50-79 years), downgrading to housing elsewhere in Sydney and, to a more limited extent, coastal NSW
  • Minimal change through migration to numbers of older people (80+ years)
  • Forecast net migration by age group
    Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 128 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -41 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -237 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -377 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -525 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -513 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -299 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -200 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -172 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,608 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,181 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 940 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -199 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -387 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -418 0 2016 to 2021: 174 0 2016 to 2021: 58 0 2016 to 2021: -76 0 2016 to 2021: -270 0 2016 to 2021: -350 0 2016 to 2021: -502 0 2016 to 2021: -400 0 2016 to 2021: 27 0 2016 to 2021: 224 0 2016 to 2021: 310 0 2016 to 2021: 429 0 2016 to 2021: 322 0 2016 to 2021: 1,891 0 2016 to 2021: 2,354 0 2016 to 2021: 1,203 0 2016 to 2021: 283 0 2016 to 2021: 245 0 2016 to 2021: 153 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 88 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 3 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -36 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -155 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -284 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -383 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -374 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -14 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 390 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 393 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 843 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 752 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 1,549 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,687 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 842 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 525 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 609 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 417 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 128 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -41 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -237 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -377 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -525 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -513 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -299 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -200 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -172 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,608 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,181 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 940 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -199 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -387 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -418 0 2016 to 2021: 174 0 2016 to 2021: 58 0 2016 to 2021: -76 0 2016 to 2021: -270 0 2016 to 2021: -350 0 2016 to 2021: -502 0 2016 to 2021: -400 0 2016 to 2021: 27 0 2016 to 2021: 224 0 2016 to 2021: 310 0 2016 to 2021: 429 0 2016 to 2021: 322 0 2016 to 2021: 1,891 0 2016 to 2021: 2,354 0 2016 to 2021: 1,203 0 2016 to 2021: 283 0 2016 to 2021: 245 0 2016 to 2021: 153 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 88 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 3 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -36 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -155 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -284 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -383 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -374 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -14 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 390 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 393 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 843 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 752 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 1,549 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,687 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 842 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 525 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 609 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 417
    Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.
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