Penrith City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Penrith City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Penrith City is forecast for the period from 2012 to 2016, which is expected to have a net increase of 17,726 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Penrith CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births15,17116,89117,82518,33318,932
Deaths4,7895,5156,2687,1108,002
Natural increase/decrease10,38211,37611,55711,22210,929
Net migration6,8516,0741,171355523
Change in persons in non-private dwellings49425002510

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,340 2035 forecast population change: 2,305 2034 forecast population change: 2,284 2033 forecast population change: 2,260 2032 forecast population change: 2,264 2031 forecast population change: 2,290 2030 forecast population change: 2,302 2029 forecast population change: 2,330 2028 forecast population change: 2,342 2027 forecast population change: 2,564 2026 forecast population change: 2,396 2025 forecast population change: 2,427 2024 forecast population change: 2,490 2023 forecast population change: 2,683 2022 forecast population change: 2,732 2021 forecast population change: 3,096 2020 forecast population change: 3,220 2019 forecast population change: 3,750 2018 forecast population change: 3,798 2017 forecast population change: 3,836 2016 forecast population change: 4,180 2015 forecast population change: 4,020 2014 forecast population change: 3,748 2013 forecast population change: 3,538 2012 forecast population change: 2,241
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 2,172 2035 Natural increase: 2,177 2034 Natural increase: 2,184 2033 Natural increase: 2,193 2032 Natural increase: 2,204 2031 Natural increase: 2,214 2030 Natural increase: 2,227 2029 Natural increase: 2,243 2028 Natural increase: 2,261 2027 Natural increase: 2,278 2026 Natural increase: 2,291 2025 Natural increase: 2,305 2024 Natural increase: 2,317 2023 Natural increase: 2,320 2022 Natural increase: 2,323 2021 Natural increase: 2,312 2020 Natural increase: 2,301 2019 Natural increase: 2,280 2018 Natural increase: 2,255 2017 Natural increase: 2,227 2016 Natural increase: 2,186 2015 Natural increase: 2,140 2014 Natural increase: 2,098 2013 Natural increase: 2,056 2012 Natural increase: 1,902 2036 Total births: 3,843 2035 Total births: 3,813 2034 Total births: 3,785 2033 Total births: 3,758 2032 Total births: 3,733 2031 Total births: 3,709 2030 Total births: 3,686 2029 Total births: 3,665 2028 Total births: 3,645 2027 Total births: 3,628 2026 Total births: 3,609 2025 Total births: 3,590 2024 Total births: 3,570 2023 Total births: 3,542 2022 Total births: 3,514 2021 Total births: 3,475 2020 Total births: 3,435 2019 Total births: 3,384 2018 Total births: 3,328 2017 Total births: 3,270 2016 Total births: 3,201 2015 Total births: 3,127 2014 Total births: 3,059 2013 Total births: 2,992 2012 Total births: 2,793 2036 Total deaths: 1,670 2035 Total deaths: 1,636 2034 Total deaths: 1,601 2033 Total deaths: 1,565 2032 Total deaths: 1,529 2031 Total deaths: 1,494 2030 Total deaths: 1,459 2029 Total deaths: 1,422 2028 Total deaths: 1,385 2027 Total deaths: 1,350 2026 Total deaths: 1,318 2025 Total deaths: 1,285 2024 Total deaths: 1,252 2023 Total deaths: 1,222 2022 Total deaths: 1,192 2021 Total deaths: 1,163 2020 Total deaths: 1,134 2019 Total deaths: 1,104 2018 Total deaths: 1,072 2017 Total deaths: 1,042 2016 Total deaths: 1,015 2015 Total deaths: 987 2014 Total deaths: 960 2013 Total deaths: 936 2012 Total deaths: 891 2036 Natural increase: 2,172 2035 Natural increase: 2,177 2034 Natural increase: 2,184 2033 Natural increase: 2,193 2032 Natural increase: 2,204 2031 Natural increase: 2,214 2030 Natural increase: 2,227 2029 Natural increase: 2,243 2028 Natural increase: 2,261 2027 Natural increase: 2,278 2026 Natural increase: 2,291 2025 Natural increase: 2,305 2024 Natural increase: 2,317 2023 Natural increase: 2,320 2022 Natural increase: 2,323 2021 Natural increase: 2,312 2020 Natural increase: 2,301 2019 Natural increase: 2,280 2018 Natural increase: 2,255 2017 Natural increase: 2,227 2016 Natural increase: 2,186 2015 Natural increase: 2,140 2014 Natural increase: 2,098 2013 Natural increase: 2,056 2012 Natural increase: 1,902 2036 Total births: 3,843 2035 Total births: 3,813 2034 Total births: 3,785 2033 Total births: 3,758 2032 Total births: 3,733 2031 Total births: 3,709 2030 Total births: 3,686 2029 Total births: 3,665 2028 Total births: 3,645 2027 Total births: 3,628 2026 Total births: 3,609 2025 Total births: 3,590 2024 Total births: 3,570 2023 Total births: 3,542 2022 Total births: 3,514 2021 Total births: 3,475 2020 Total births: 3,435 2019 Total births: 3,384 2018 Total births: 3,328 2017 Total births: 3,270 2016 Total births: 3,201 2015 Total births: 3,127 2014 Total births: 3,059 2013 Total births: 2,992 2012 Total births: 2,793 2036 Total deaths: 1,670 2035 Total deaths: 1,636 2034 Total deaths: 1,601 2033 Total deaths: 1,565 2032 Total deaths: 1,529 2031 Total deaths: 1,494 2030 Total deaths: 1,459 2029 Total deaths: 1,422 2028 Total deaths: 1,385 2027 Total deaths: 1,350 2026 Total deaths: 1,318 2025 Total deaths: 1,285 2024 Total deaths: 1,252 2023 Total deaths: 1,222 2022 Total deaths: 1,192 2021 Total deaths: 1,163 2020 Total deaths: 1,134 2019 Total deaths: 1,104 2018 Total deaths: 1,072 2017 Total deaths: 1,042 2016 Total deaths: 1,015 2015 Total deaths: 987 2014 Total deaths: 960 2013 Total deaths: 936 2012 Total deaths: 891
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 168 2035 Total net migration: 128 2034 Total net migration: 100 2033 Total net migration: 67 2032 Total net migration: 60 2031 Total net migration: 76 2030 Total net migration: 75 2029 Total net migration: 87 2028 Total net migration: 82 2027 Total net migration: 35 2026 Total net migration: 104 2025 Total net migration: 121 2024 Total net migration: 172 2023 Total net migration: 363 2022 Total net migration: 410 2021 Total net migration: 784 2020 Total net migration: 919 2019 Total net migration: 1,344 2018 Total net migration: 1,542 2017 Total net migration: 1,485 2016 Total net migration: 1,728 2015 Total net migration: 1,873 2014 Total net migration: 1,650 2013 Total net migration: 1,374 2012 Total net migration: 227 2036 Total out migration: 26,795 2035 Total out migration: 26,554 2034 Total out migration: 26,322 2033 Total out migration: 26,100 2032 Total out migration: 25,885 2031 Total out migration: 25,655 2030 Total out migration: 25,424 2029 Total out migration: 25,195 2028 Total out migration: 24,963 2027 Total out migration: 24,753 2026 Total out migration: 24,529 2025 Total out migration: 24,307 2024 Total out migration: 24,096 2023 Total out migration: 23,888 2022 Total out migration: 23,663 2021 Total out migration: 23,391 2020 Total out migration: 23,084 2019 Total out migration: 22,705 2018 Total out migration: 22,282 2017 Total out migration: 21,744 2016 Total out migration: 21,303 2015 Total out migration: 20,843 2014 Total out migration: 20,396 2013 Total out migration: 19,953 2012 Total out migration: 19,969 2036 Total in migration: 26,963 2035 Total in migration: 26,682 2034 Total in migration: 26,423 2033 Total in migration: 26,167 2032 Total in migration: 25,945 2031 Total in migration: 25,731 2030 Total in migration: 25,499 2029 Total in migration: 25,282 2028 Total in migration: 25,044 2027 Total in migration: 24,789 2026 Total in migration: 24,634 2025 Total in migration: 24,428 2024 Total in migration: 24,268 2023 Total in migration: 24,252 2022 Total in migration: 24,073 2021 Total in migration: 24,175 2020 Total in migration: 24,003 2019 Total in migration: 24,049 2018 Total in migration: 23,825 2017 Total in migration: 23,229 2016 Total in migration: 23,031 2015 Total in migration: 22,716 2014 Total in migration: 22,045 2013 Total in migration: 21,328 2012 Total in migration: 20,196 2036 Total net migration: 168 2035 Total net migration: 128 2034 Total net migration: 100 2033 Total net migration: 67 2032 Total net migration: 60 2031 Total net migration: 76 2030 Total net migration: 75 2029 Total net migration: 87 2028 Total net migration: 82 2027 Total net migration: 35 2026 Total net migration: 104 2025 Total net migration: 121 2024 Total net migration: 172 2023 Total net migration: 363 2022 Total net migration: 410 2021 Total net migration: 784 2020 Total net migration: 919 2019 Total net migration: 1,344 2018 Total net migration: 1,542 2017 Total net migration: 1,485 2016 Total net migration: 1,728 2015 Total net migration: 1,873 2014 Total net migration: 1,650 2013 Total net migration: 1,374 2012 Total net migration: 227 2036 Total out migration: 26,795 2035 Total out migration: 26,554 2034 Total out migration: 26,322 2033 Total out migration: 26,100 2032 Total out migration: 25,885 2031 Total out migration: 25,655 2030 Total out migration: 25,424 2029 Total out migration: 25,195 2028 Total out migration: 24,963 2027 Total out migration: 24,753 2026 Total out migration: 24,529 2025 Total out migration: 24,307 2024 Total out migration: 24,096 2023 Total out migration: 23,888 2022 Total out migration: 23,663 2021 Total out migration: 23,391 2020 Total out migration: 23,084 2019 Total out migration: 22,705 2018 Total out migration: 22,282 2017 Total out migration: 21,744 2016 Total out migration: 21,303 2015 Total out migration: 20,843 2014 Total out migration: 20,396 2013 Total out migration: 19,953 2012 Total out migration: 19,969 2036 Total in migration: 26,963 2035 Total in migration: 26,682 2034 Total in migration: 26,423 2033 Total in migration: 26,167 2032 Total in migration: 25,945 2031 Total in migration: 25,731 2030 Total in migration: 25,499 2029 Total in migration: 25,282 2028 Total in migration: 25,044 2027 Total in migration: 24,789 2026 Total in migration: 24,634 2025 Total in migration: 24,428 2024 Total in migration: 24,268 2023 Total in migration: 24,252 2022 Total in migration: 24,073 2021 Total in migration: 24,175 2020 Total in migration: 24,003 2019 Total in migration: 24,049 2018 Total in migration: 23,825 2017 Total in migration: 23,229 2016 Total in migration: 23,031 2015 Total in migration: 22,716 2014 Total in migration: 22,045 2013 Total in migration: 21,328 2012 Total in migration: 20,196
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.
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